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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28 April 03, 2026 23:30
Sporting CP
#2 · 79 pts
4 – 2
Final score
Santa Clara
#12 · 36 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sporting CP
P. Goncalves 22' (pen.)
D. Braganca (ast. R. Nel) 39'
Trincao (ast. H. Morita) 42'
R. Nel (ast. E. Quaresma) 90'
3' (ast. Fernando) Gustavo Klismahn
89' (ast. Brenner) G. Paciencia

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 75% win probability (draw 16%, Santa Clara 8%). The final result was Sporting CP 4–2 Santa Clara. In 2 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Santa Clara.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
2.66
Actual xG
0.65
2
Saves
4
71%
Possession
29%
9
Corners
5
19
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. Fernando · Gustavo Klismahn⚽
⚽P. Goncalves (pen.)
22'
Francisco Trincão
24'
⚽D. Braganca · ast. R. Nel
39'
⚽Trincao · ast. H. Morita
42'
44'
Pedro Ferreira
↕ P. Goncalves / M. Araujo
46'
59'
Vinicius Lopes / Welinton Torrao ↕
59'
J. Tavares / P. Ferreira ↕
↕ D. Braganca / J. Simoes
60'
↕ H. Morita / M. Hjulmand
68'
↕ R. Mangas / S. Faye
68'
71'
Darlan / Gustavo Klismahn ↕
71'
Brenner / H. Silva ↕
João Simões
75'
Giorgos Vagiannidis
76'
77'
G. Paciencia / Fernando ↕
84'
↕ G. Catamo / F. Goncalves
88'
89'
ast. Brenner · G. Paciencia⚽
Morten Hjulmand
90'+7
90'+7
Gonçalo Paciência
90'
José Tavares
⚽R. Nel · ast. E. Quaresma
90'
Pre-match prediction
75.55%
Sporting ←
16.28%
X
8.17%
Santa
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP) 75.55% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
2.42
2.66
+0.24
Santa
0.77
0.65
-0.12
Sporting CP dominated by xG (2.66 vs 0.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 6.90
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas 68' D 6.30
6
Z. Debast D 6.90
72 Quaresma Quaresma 1 👟 D 8.20
13
Giorgos Vagiannidis D 6.70
5 Hidemasa Morita Hidemasa Morita 1 👟 68' M 7.90
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.90
8 Pote Pote 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.30
17 Trincão Trincão 1 ⚽ M 7.90
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 88' M 7.70
90 Rafael Nel Rafael Nel 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.20
Bench
58
F. Goncalves 10' F 6.60
14 Giorgi Kochorashvili Giorgi Kochorashvili M
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D
52
João Simões 30' M 6.20
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo 45' M 6.20
42 M. Hjulmand M. Hjulmand 22' M 6.70
26 Ousmane Diomande Ousmane Diomande D
Santa Clara Santa Clara 4-4-2
1
G 7.20
5 Guilherme Romão Guilherme Romão D 5.20
94 Henrique Silva Henrique Silva D 6.20
23 Sidney Lima Sidney Lima D 6.70
42 Lucas Soares Lucas Soares D 6.00
49 Welinton Torrao Welinton Torrao 59' M 6.50
35 Serginho Serginho M 6.30
8
Pedro Ferreira 59' M 6.60
10 Gabriel Silva Gabriel Silva 71' M 6.20
26 Luis Fernando Luis Fernando 1 👟 77' F 7.00
77 Gustavo Klismahn Gustavo Klismahn 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.30
Bench
11
Brenner 1 👟 19' F 6.60
2 Diogo Calila Diogo Calila D
21 Frederico Venâncio Frederico Venâncio D
39 Gonçalo Paciência Gonçalo Paciência 1 ⚽ 13' F 7.70
65 José Tavares José Tavares 31' M 6.30
70 Vinícius Lopes Vinícius Lopes 31' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Quaresma
Quaresma
D · Sporting
8.20
1 👟
· 89 pass
Rafael Nel
Rafael Nel
F · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 16 pass
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita
M · Sporting
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 43 pass
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança
M · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
Trincão
Trincão
M · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 62 pass
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo
M · Sporting
7.70
3 shots · 35 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 90 6.90 — — — 27 24% — — —
Ricardo Mangas D 68 6.30 — — — 26 23% 2 — —
Z. Debast D 90 6.90 — — — 96 93% 2 — —
Quaresma D 90 8.20 — 1 — 89 84% 5 — —
Giorgos Vagiannidis D 90 6.70 — — — 37 35% 2 1 —
Hidemasa Morita M 68 7.90 — 1 2 43 40% 2 — —
Daniel Bragança M 60 7.90 1 — 1 44 42% 4 — —
Pote M 45 7.30 1 — 2 21 17% — — —
Trincão M 90 7.90 1 — 1 62 55% — 1 —
Geny Catamo M 88 7.70 — — 3 35 32% — — —
Rafael Nel F 90 8.20 1 1 3 16 13% 1 — —
F. Goncalves F 10 6.60 — — — 3 2% — — —
João Simões M 30 6.20 — — — 9 8% 1 1 —
M. Araújo M 45 6.20 — — — 23 18% — — —
M. Hjulmand M 22 6.70 — — — 13 11% — 1 —
Santa Clara Santa Clara — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 26 16% — — —
Guilherme Romão D 90 5.20 — — — 15 12% — — —
Henrique Silva D 90 6.20 — — — 20 14% 1 — —
Sidney Lima D 90 6.70 — — — 23 18% 2 — —
Lucas Soares D 90 6.00 — — — 24 21% 2 — —
Welinton Torrao M 59 6.50 — — — 14 10% 1 — —
Serginho M 90 6.30 — — — 29 24% 3 — —
Pedro Ferreira M 59 6.60 — — — 12 10% 2 1 —
Gabriel Silva M 71 6.20 — — 2 10 8% 1 — —
Luis Fernando F 77 7.00 — 1 2 16 15% 2 — —
Gustavo Klismahn F 71 7.30 1 — 1 16 11% — — —
Brenner F 19 6.60 — 1 — — — 1 — —
Gonçalo Paciência F 13 7.70 1 — 1 1 1% — 1 —
José Tavares M 31 6.30 — — — 5 5% 1 1 —
Vinícius Lopes F 31 6.20 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?
The final score was Sporting CP 4–2 Santa Clara.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Sporting CP win, 16% to a draw, and 8% to an Santa Clara win.