✓Model correct — prediction Sporting CP
P. Goncalves
22'
(pen.)
D. Braganca
(ast. R. Nel)
39'
Trincao
(ast. H. Morita)
42'
R. Nel
(ast. E. Quaresma)
90'
3'
(ast. Fernando)
Gustavo Klismahn
89'
(ast. Brenner)
G. Paciencia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 75% win probability (draw 16%, Santa Clara 8%). The final result was Sporting CP 4–2 Santa Clara. In 2 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Santa Clara.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
2.66
Actual xG
0.65
2
Saves
4
71%
Possession
29%
9
Corners
5
19
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
ast. Fernando ·
Gustavo Klismahn⚽
⚽P. Goncalves
(pen.)
22'
Francisco Trincão
24'
⚽D. Braganca
· ast. R. Nel
39'
⚽Trincao
· ast. H. Morita
42'
44'
Pedro Ferreira
P. Goncalves
/ M. Araujo
46'
59'
Vinicius Lopes
/
Welinton Torrao
59'
J. Tavares
/
P. Ferreira
D. Braganca
/ J. Simoes
60'
H. Morita
/ M. Hjulmand
68'
R. Mangas
/ S. Faye
68'
71'
Darlan
/
Gustavo Klismahn
71'
Brenner
/
H. Silva
João Simões
75'
Giorgos Vagiannidis
76'
77'
G. Paciencia
/
Fernando
84'
G. Catamo
/ F. Goncalves
88'
89'
ast. Brenner ·
G. Paciencia⚽
Morten Hjulmand
90'+7
90'+7
Gonçalo Paciência
90'
José Tavares
⚽R. Nel
· ast. E. Quaresma
90'
Pre-match prediction
75.55%
Sporting ←
16.28%
X
8.17%
Santa
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP)
75.55%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
2.66
+0.24
0.77
0.65
-0.12
Sporting CP dominated by xG (2.66 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
91
Ricardo Mangas
68'
D
Ricardo Mangas
68'
D
6
Z. Debast
D
Z. Debast
D
72
Eduardo Quaresma
1 👟
D
Eduardo Quaresma
1 👟
D
13
G. Vagiannidis
D
G. Vagiannidis
D
5
H. Morita
1 👟
68'
M
H. Morita
1 👟
68'
M
23
Daniel Bragança
1 ⚽
60'
M
Daniel Bragança
1 ⚽
60'
M
8
Pote
1 ⚽
45'
M
Pote
1 ⚽
45'
M
17
Trincão
1 ⚽
M
Trincão
1 ⚽
M
10
Geny Catamo
88'
M
Geny Catamo
88'
M
90
Rafael Ferreira Nel
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Rafael Ferreira Nel
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
58
Flávio Gonçalves
10'
F
Flávio Gonçalves
10'
F
14
G. Kochorashvili
M
G. Kochorashvili
M
25
Gonçalo Inácio
D
Gonçalo Inácio
D
52
João Simões
30'
M
João Simões
30'
M
20
M. Araújo
45'
M
M. Araújo
45'
M
42
M. Hjulmand
22'
M
M. Hjulmand
22'
M
26
O. Diomande
D
O. Diomande
D
1
G
5
Guilherme Romão
D
Guilherme Romão
D
94
Henrique Silva
D
Henrique Silva
D
23
Sidney Lima
D
Sidney Lima
D
42
Lucas Soares
D
Lucas Soares
D
49
Welinton Torrão
59'
M
Welinton Torrão
59'
M
35
Serginho
M
8
Pedro Ferreira
59'
M
Pedro Ferreira
59'
M
10
Gabriel Silva
71'
M
Gabriel Silva
71'
M
26
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
1 👟
77'
F
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
1 👟
77'
F
77
Gustavo Klismahn
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
11
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
1 👟
19'
F
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
1 👟
19'
F
2
Diogo Calila
D
Diogo Calila
D
21
Frederico Venâncio
D
Frederico Venâncio
D
39
Gonçalo Paciência
1 ⚽
13'
F
Gonçalo Paciência
1 ⚽
13'
F
65
José Luís Rocha Tavares
31'
M
José Luís Rocha Tavares
31'
M
70
Vinícius Lopes
31'
F
Vinícius Lopes
31'
F
Best on the pitch
Eduardo Quaresma
D · Sporting
8.20
1 👟
· 89 pass
Rafael Ferreira Nel
F · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 16 pass
H. Morita
M · Sporting
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 43 pass
Daniel Bragança
M · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 44 pass
Trincão
M · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 62 pass
Geny Catamo
M · Sporting
7.70
3 shots
· 35 pass
Sporting CP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | D | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Debast | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 96 | 93% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 89 | 84% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Vagiannidis | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Morita | M | 68 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 43 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Bragança | M | 60 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Pote | M | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Trincão | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| Geny Catamo | M | 88 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Ferreira Nel | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Flávio Gonçalves | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| João Simões | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
Santa Clara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Henrique Silva | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Sidney Lima | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Welinton Torrão | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Serginho | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Silva | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira | F | 77 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Klismahn | F | 71 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | F | 13 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | F | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?
The final score was Sporting CP 4–2 Santa Clara.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Santa Clara?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Sporting CP win, 16% to a draw, and 8% to an Santa Clara win.