✓Model correct — prediction St Patrick's Athl.
K. Leavy
34'
Z. Elbouzedi
(ast. L. Turner)
61'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Drogheda United 14%). The final result was St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Drogheda United. In 3 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Drogheda United.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.31
Actual xG
1.01
2
Saves
3
65%
Possession
35%
12
Corners
4
11
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
16'
M. Doyle
⚽K. Leavy
34'
37'
C. Kane
/
K. Cruise
S. Hoare
39'
R. Palmer
45'+1
⚽Z. Elbouzedi
· ast. L. Turner
61'
66'
T. Oluwa
/
E. O'Brien
66'
J. Bucknor
/
J. Godden
Z. Elbouzedi
/ A. Breslin
69'
R. Palmer
/ D. Nugent
79'
A. Keena
/ B. Baggley
80'
J. Lennon
/ C. Forrester
84'
R. Edmondson
/ M. A. Mata
84'
88'
D. Kareem
/
M. Doyle
Pre-match prediction
66.34%
St ←
19.48%
X
14.19%
Drogheda
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (St Patrick's Athl.)
66.34%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
1.31
-0.85
0.86
1.01
+0.15
xG dominance was balanced (1.31 – 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Rogers
G
D. Rogers
G
24
L. Turner
1 👟
D
L. Turner
1 👟
D
2
S. Hoare
D
S. Hoare
D
4
J. Redmond
D
J. Redmond
D
7
Z. Elbouzedi
1 ⚽
69'
M
Z. Elbouzedi
1 ⚽
69'
M
17
R. Palmer
79'
M
R. Palmer
79'
M
6
J. Lennon
84'
M
J. Lennon
84'
M
23
J. Brown
M
J. Brown
M
9
A. Keena
80'
F
A. Keena
80'
F
10
K. Leavy
1 ⚽
F
K. Leavy
1 ⚽
F
27
R. Edmondson
84'
F
R. Edmondson
84'
F
Bench
3
A. Breslin
25'
D
A. Breslin
25'
D
19
B. Baggley
14'
M
B. Baggley
14'
M
8
C. Forrester
10'
M
C. Forrester
10'
M
16
D. Nugent
15'
M
D. Nugent
15'
M
11
J. McClelland
F
J. McClelland
F
18
Max Mata
10'
F
Max Mata
10'
F
49
Sean Molloy
G
Sean Molloy
G
35
S. Rooney
F
S. Rooney
F
5
T. Grivosti
D
T. Grivosti
D
44
Fynn Talley
G
Fynn Talley
G
31
K. Cruise
37'
D
K. Cruise
37'
D
5
Leo Burney
D
Leo Burney
D
22
C. Keeley
D
C. Keeley
D
2
E. Agbaje
D
E. Agbaje
D
17
S. Farrell
D
S. Farrell
D
8
Ethan O'Brien
66'
M
Ethan O'Brien
66'
M
19
R. Brennan
M
R. Brennan
M
10
B. Kavanagh
M
B. Kavanagh
M
14
M. Doyle
88'
F
M. Doyle
88'
F
6
J. Godden
66'
F
J. Godden
66'
F
Bench
4
A. Quinn
D
A. Quinn
D
30
Cian O'Connor
M
Cian O'Connor
M
3
C. Kane
57'
D
C. Kane
57'
D
15
Dare Kareem
6'
F
Dare Kareem
6'
F
7
Jason Bucknor
28'
D
Jason Bucknor
28'
D
18
J. Bolger
D
J. Bolger
D
1
L. Dennison
G
L. Dennison
G
28
Scott Brady
M
Scott Brady
M
11
T. Oluwa
28'
F
T. Oluwa
28'
F
Best on the pitch
K. Leavy
F · St
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
L. Turner
D · St
8.00
1 👟
· 67 pass
J. Redmond
D · St
7.90
· 64 pass
Z. Elbouzedi
M · St
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
D. Rogers
G · St
7.50
· 13 pass
J. Lennon
M · St
7.50
1 shots
· 49 pass
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rogers | G | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Turner | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 67 | 58% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Hoare | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Redmond | D | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Z. Elbouzedi | M | 69 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Palmer | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Lennon | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | — | — | — |
| J. Brown | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| A. Keena | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| K. Leavy | F | 94 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Breslin | D | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Baggley | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Forrester | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Nugent | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Max Mata | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Talley | G | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 13% | — | — | — |
| K. Cruise | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Leo Burney | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| C. Keeley | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Agbaje | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ethan O'Brien | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Brennan | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Godden | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Kane | D | 57 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Dare Kareem | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jason Bucknor | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Oluwa | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
The final score was St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Drogheda United.
What did the model predict before St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
The model assigned 66% probability to a St Patrick's Athl. win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Drogheda United win.