✓Model correct — prediction St Patrick's Athl.
K. Leavy
34'
Z. Elbouzedi
(ast. L. Turner)
61'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 66% win probability (draw 19%, Drogheda United 14%). The final result was St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Drogheda United. In 2 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Drogheda United.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.31
Actual xG
1.01
2
Saves
3
65%
Possession
35%
12
Corners
4
11
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
16'
M. Doyle
⚽K. Leavy
34'
37'
C. Kane
/
K. Cruise
S. Hoare
39'
R. Palmer
45'+1
⚽Z. Elbouzedi
· ast. L. Turner
61'
66'
T. Oluwa
/
E. O'Brien
66'
J. Bucknor
/
J. Godden
Z. Elbouzedi
/ A. Breslin
69'
R. Palmer
/ D. Nugent
79'
A. Keena
/ B. Baggley
80'
J. Lennon
/ C. Forrester
84'
R. Edmondson
/ M. A. Mata
84'
88'
D. Kareem
/
M. Doyle
Pre-match prediction
66.34%
St ←
19.48%
X
14.19%
Drogheda
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (St Patrick's Athl.)
66.34%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
1.31
-0.85
0.86
1.01
+0.15
xG dominance was balanced (1.31 – 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Danny Rogers
G
Danny Rogers
G
24
Luke Turner
1 👟
D
Luke Turner
1 👟
D
2
S. Hoare
D
S. Hoare
D
4
Joe Redmond
D
Joe Redmond
D
7
Z. Elbouzedi
1 ⚽
69'
M
Z. Elbouzedi
1 ⚽
69'
M
17
Romal Palmer
79'
M
Romal Palmer
79'
M
6
Jamie Lennon
84'
M
Jamie Lennon
84'
M
23
James Brown
M
James Brown
M
9
Aidan Keena
80'
F
Aidan Keena
80'
F
10
K. Leavy
1 ⚽
F
K. Leavy
1 ⚽
F
27
R. Edmondson
84'
F
R. Edmondson
84'
F
Bench
3
Anto Breslin
25'
D
Anto Breslin
25'
D
19
Barry Baggley
14'
M
Barry Baggley
14'
M
8
Chris Forrester
10'
M
Chris Forrester
10'
M
16
Darragh Nugent
15'
M
Darragh Nugent
15'
M
11
Jason McClelland
F
Jason McClelland
F
18
Max Mata
10'
F
Max Mata
10'
F
35
Sam Rooney
F
Sam Rooney
F
49
Sean Molloy
G
Sean Molloy
G
5
Tom Grivosti
D
Tom Grivosti
D
44
Fynn Talley
G
Fynn Talley
G
31
Kieran Cruise
37'
D
Kieran Cruise
37'
D
5
Leo Burney
D
Leo Burney
D
22
Conor Keeley
D
Conor Keeley
D
2
Edwin Agbaje
D
Edwin Agbaje
D
17
S. Farrell
D
S. Farrell
D
8
Ethan O'Brien
66'
M
Ethan O'Brien
66'
M
19
R. Brennan
M
R. Brennan
M
10
B. Kavanagh
M
B. Kavanagh
M
14
M. Doyle
88'
F
M. Doyle
88'
F
6
Jago Godden
66'
F
Jago Godden
66'
F
Bench
4
Andrew Quinn
D
Andrew Quinn
D
30
Cian O'Connor
M
Cian O'Connor
M
3
Conor Kane
57'
D
Conor Kane
57'
D
15
Dare Kareem
6'
F
Dare Kareem
6'
F
18
James Bolger
D
James Bolger
D
7
Jason Bucknor
28'
D
Jason Bucknor
28'
D
1
Luke Dennison
G
Luke Dennison
G
28
Scott Brady
M
Scott Brady
M
11
Thomas Oluwa
28'
F
Thomas Oluwa
28'
F
Best on the pitch
K. Leavy
F · St
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
Luke Turner
D · St
8.00
1 👟
· 67 pass
Joe Redmond
D · St
7.90
· 64 pass
Z. Elbouzedi
M · St
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Danny Rogers
G · St
7.50
· 13 pass
Jamie Lennon
M · St
7.50
1 shots
· 49 pass
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Rogers | G | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Luke Turner | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 67 | 58% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Hoare | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| Joe Redmond | D | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Z. Elbouzedi | M | 69 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Romal Palmer | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jamie Lennon | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | — | — | — |
| James Brown | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Aidan Keena | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| K. Leavy | F | 94 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Anto Breslin | D | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Barry Baggley | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Chris Forrester | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Darragh Nugent | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Max Mata | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Drogheda United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fynn Talley | G | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kieran Cruise | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Leo Burney | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Conor Keeley | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwin Agbaje | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Farrell | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ethan O'Brien | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Brennan | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Kavanagh | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Doyle | F | 88 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Jago Godden | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Conor Kane | D | 57 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Dare Kareem | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jason Bucknor | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Oluwa | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
The final score was St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Drogheda United.
What did the model predict before St Patrick's Athl. vs Drogheda United?
The model assigned 66% probability to a St Patrick's Athl. win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Drogheda United win.