Premier Division
· Regular Season - 16
May 08, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction St Patrick's Athl.
C. Forrester
45'+3
(pen.)
Z. Elbouzedi
57'
Z. Elbouzedi
(ast. K. Leavy)
60'
R. Edmondson
(ast. Z. Elbouzedi)
77'
5'
(ast. T. Lonergan)
J. Mahon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St Patrick's Athl. a 72% win probability (draw 17%, Waterford 10%). The final result was St Patrick's Athl. 4–1 Waterford. In 1 previous meetings, St Patrick's Athl. have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Waterford.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
7
10
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
6
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
5
6
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
ast. T. Lonergan ·
J. Mahon⚽
7'
S. Glenfield
⚽C. Forrester
(pen.)
45'+3
46'
L. Heeney
/
S. Glenfield
⚽Z. Elbouzedi
57'
⚽Z. Elbouzedi
· ast. K. Leavy
60'
68'
W. Johnson
/
D. McMenamy
75'
J. Faria
/
J. Houston
⚽R. Edmondson
· ast. Z. Elbouzedi
77'
K. Leavy
/ J. Lennon
78'
C. Forrester
/ R. Palmer
79'
R. Edmondson
/ M. A. Mata
79'
83'
J. Voilas
/
C. Noonan
84'
C. Carty
/
P. Amond
Z. Elbouzedi
/ A. Breslin
84'
B. Baggley
/ S. Rooney
87'
Pre-match prediction
72.22%
St ←
17.33%
X
10.44%
Waterford
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (St Patrick's Athl.)
72.22%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.64
—
—
0.81
—
—
Lineups
94
J. Anang
89'
G
24
89'
D
2
S. Hoare
89'
D
4
Joe Redmond
89'
D
7
Z. Elbouzedi
2 ⚽
1 👟
84'
M
Z. Elbouzedi
2 ⚽
1 👟
84'
M
19
B. Baggley
87'
M
16
Darragh Nugent
89'
M
23
J. Brown
89'
M
8
C. Forrester
1 ⚽
79'
F
27
R. Edmondson
1 ⚽
79'
F
R. Edmondson
1 ⚽
79'
F
10
K. Leavy
1 👟
78'
F
K. Leavy
1 👟
78'
F
Bench
3
A. Breslin
5'
D
6
Jamie Lennon
11'
M
11
Jason McClelland
F
17
R. Palmer
10'
M
R. Palmer
10'
M
21
89'
G
3
B. Couto
89'
D
5
J. Mahon
1 ⚽
89'
D
13
Kevin Long
89'
D
16
89'
D
2
J. Houston
75'
D
27
Dean McMenamy
68'
M
19
S. Glenfield
45'
M
S. Glenfield
45'
M
10
C. Noonan
83'
M
18
T. Lonergan
1 👟
89'
F
T. Lonergan
1 👟
89'
F
9
P. Amond
83'
F
P. Amond
83'
F
Bench
6
C. Barrett
D
7
C. Carty
6'
F
17
J. Faria
14'
M
20
J. Voilas
6'
F
15
L. Heeney
44'
M
22
R. Mansfield
F
11
T. Coyle
F
Best on the pitch
Z. Elbouzedi
M · St
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 21 pass
K. Leavy
F · St
8.50
1 👟
3 shots
· 40 pass
Joe Redmond
D · St
8.20
· 82 pass
S. Hoare
D · St
7.50
2 shots
· 62 pass
C. Forrester
F · St
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 44 pass
D · St
7.30
· 51 pass
St Patrick's Athl. — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Anang | G | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | — | — | — | |
| S. Hoare | D | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Redmond | D | 89 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Elbouzedi | M | 84 | 10.00 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| B. Baggley | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Darragh Nugent | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Brown | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| C. Forrester | F | 79 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 5 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Edmondson | F | 79 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| K. Leavy | F | 78 | 8.50 | — | 1 | 3 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Breslin | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Lennon | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Palmer | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Waterford — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| B. Couto | D | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mahon | D | 89 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Long | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Houston | D | 75 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| Dean McMenamy | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Glenfield | M | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Noonan | M | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Lonergan | F | 89 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Amond | F | 83 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Carty | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Faria | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Voilas | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Heeney | M | 44 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
The final score was St Patrick's Athl. 4–1 Waterford.
What did the model predict before St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
The model assigned 72% probability to a St Patrick's Athl. win, 17% to a draw, and 10% to an Waterford win.