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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 17:00 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Strasbourg
#8 · 7 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Nice
#14 · 5 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Strasbourg
M. Godo (ast. G. Doue) 28'
J. Enciso (ast. S. El Mourabet) 36'
S. El Mourabet 42'
82' (ast. Dante) A. Mendy
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 68% win probability (draw 18%, Nice 12%). The final result was Strasbourg 3–1 Nice. In 2 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Nice.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
3
2.26
Actual xG
0.32
2
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
10
18
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Godo · ast. G. Doue
28'
⚽J. Enciso · ast. S. El Mourabet
36'
⚽S. El Mourabet
42'
43'
Morgan Sanson
46'
Dante / J. Bah ↕
46'
C. Vanhoutte / S. Diop ↕
46'
M. Cho / I. Jansson ↕
↕ S. El Mourabet / V. Barco
58'
↕ B. Chilwell / L. Hogsberg
58'
64'
A. Abdi / M. Sanson ↕
↕ M. Godo / E. Emegha
77'
↕ A. Omobamidele / A. Anselmino
77'
80'
K. Boudache / E. Wahi ↕
82'
ast. Dante · A. Mendy⚽
↕ J. Enciso / M. Amougou
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
68.54%
Strasbourg ←
18.74%
X
12.73%
Nice
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg) 68.54% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Strasbourg
2.26
2.26
+0.0
Nice
0.96
0.32
-0.65
Strasbourg dominated by xG (2.26 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 5 13
2 Lyon Lyon 5 11
3 Paris FC Paris FC 5 11
4 Lille Lille 5 10
5 Rennes Rennes 5 10
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 5 8
7 Angers Angers 5 7
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 5 7
9 Le Mans Le Mans 5 6
10 Auxerre Auxerre 5 6
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 5 5
12 Lorient Lorient 5 5
13 Toulouse Toulouse 5 5
14 Nice Nice 5 5
15 Lens Lens 5 4
16 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 5 4
17 Marseille Marseille 5 3
18 Le Havre Le Havre 5 2
Lineups
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-2-3-1
39
G 6.90
3 B. Chilwell B. Chilwell 58' D 7.00
6 I. Doukouré I. Doukouré D 6.90
2 A. Omobamidele A. Omobamidele 77' D 7.50
22 G. Doué G. Doué 1 👟 D 8.00
8 Maxi Oyedele Maxi Oyedele M 7.00
29 S. El Mourabet S. El Mourabet 1 ⚽ 1 👟 58' M 8.20
20 M. Godo M. Godo 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
11 S. Nanasi S. Nanasi M 5.50
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine M 9.20
19 J. Enciso J. Enciso 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.90
Bench
15 D. Fofana D. Fofana F
10 Emmanuel Emegha Emmanuel Emegha 13' F 6.60
24 L. Høgsberg L. Høgsberg 32' D 6.50
17 M. Amougou M. Amougou 1' M
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw S. Amo-Ameyaw F
32 V. Barco V. Barco 32' M 6.20
Nice Nice 4-4-2
80 Y. Diouf Y. Diouf G 7.70
26 M. Bard M. Bard D 6.30
28 Abdulay Bah Abdulay Bah 45' D 6.20
33 A. Mendy A. Mendy 1 ⚽ D 7.30
92 J. Clauss J. Clauss D 6.00
10 S. Diop S. Diop 45' M 6.50
6 H. Boudaoui H. Boudaoui M 6.60
8 M. Sanson M. Sanson 64' M 7.20
20
Tom Louchet M 6.30
11
Elye Wahi 80' F 6.50
21 I. Jansson I. Jansson 45' F 6.20
Bench
2 A. Abdi A. Abdi 26' D 6.50
24 C. Vanhoutte C. Vanhoutte 45' M 6.60
4 Dante Dante 1 👟 45' D 7.00
23 G. Bernardeau G. Bernardeau M
32 K. Boudache K. Boudache 10' F 6.50
25 M. Cho M. Cho 45' F 6.30
31 M. Dupé M. Dupé G
99 Salis Abdul Samed Salis Abdul Samed M
22
Tanguy Ndombélé M
Best on the pitch
Gessime Yassine
Gessime Yassine
M · Strasbourg
9.20
3 shots · 37 pass
J. Enciso
J. Enciso
F · Strasbourg
8.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 18 pass
S. El Mourabet
S. El Mourabet
M · Strasbourg
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 37 pass
M. Godo
M. Godo
M · Strasbourg
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
G. Doué
G. Doué
D · Strasbourg
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 68 pass
Y. Diouf
Y. Diouf
G · Nice
7.70
· 25 pass
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 51 45% — — —
B. Chilwell D 58 7.00 — — — 35 29% — — —
I. Doukouré D 90 6.90 — — — 82 79% — — —
A. Omobamidele D 77 7.50 — — — 81 78% — — —
G. Doué D 90 8.00 — 1 1 68 62% 3 — —
Maxi Oyedele M 90 7.00 — — — 66 63% — — —
S. El Mourabet M 58 8.20 1 1 1 37 30% 2 — —
M. Godo M 77 8.20 1 — 3 22 19% 2 — —
S. Nanasi M 90 5.50 — — — 35 25% — — —
Gessime Yassine M 90 9.20 — — 3 37 33% 9 — —
J. Enciso F 89 8.90 1 — 5 18 13% 2 — —
Emmanuel Emegha F 13 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
L. Høgsberg D 32 6.50 — — — 26 25% — — —
M. Amougou M 1 — — — — 3 3% — — —
V. Barco M 32 6.20 — — — 24 19% — — —
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Diouf G 90 7.70 — — — 25 17% — — —
M. Bard D 90 6.30 — — — 35 29% 6 — —
Abdulay Bah D 45 6.20 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
A. Mendy D 90 7.30 1 — 1 50 41% 1 — —
J. Clauss D 90 6.00 — — — 46 42% 3 — —
S. Diop M 45 6.50 — — — 18 14% 3 — —
H. Boudaoui M 90 6.60 — — — 39 35% 3 — —
M. Sanson M 64 7.20 — — — 32 26% 1 1 —
Tom Louchet M 90 6.30 — — — 37 33% 3 — —
Elye Wahi F 80 6.50 — — 2 13 11% 1 — —
I. Jansson F 45 6.20 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
A. Abdi D 26 6.50 — — — 15 12% — — —
C. Vanhoutte M 45 6.60 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
Dante D 45 7.00 — 1 — 12 11% 2 — —
K. Boudache F 10 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
M. Cho F 45 6.30 — — 1 17 14% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Strasbourg vs Nice?
The final score was Strasbourg 3–1 Nice.
What did the model predict before Strasbourg vs Nice?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Strasbourg win, 18% to a draw, and 12% to an Nice win.