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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 17:00 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Strasbourg
#8 · 53 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Nice
#16 · 32 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Strasbourg
M. Godo (ast. G. Doue) 28'
J. Enciso (ast. S. El Mourabet) 36'
S. El Mourabet 42'
82' (ast. Dante) A. Mendy
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 68% win probability (draw 18%, Nice 12%). The final result was Strasbourg 3–1 Nice. In 2 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Nice.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
3
2.26
Actual xG
0.32
2
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
10
18
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Godo · ast. G. Doue
28'
⚽J. Enciso · ast. S. El Mourabet
36'
⚽S. El Mourabet
42'
43'
Morgan Sanson
46'
Dante / J. Bah ↕
46'
C. Vanhoutte / S. Diop ↕
46'
M. Cho / I. Jansson ↕
↕ S. El Mourabet / V. Barco
58'
↕ B. Chilwell / L. Hogsberg
58'
64'
A. Abdi / M. Sanson ↕
↕ M. Godo / E. Emegha
77'
↕ A. Omobamidele / A. Anselmino
77'
80'
K. Boudache / E. Wahi ↕
82'
ast. Dante · A. Mendy⚽
↕ J. Enciso / M. Amougou
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
68.54%
Strasbourg ←
18.74%
X
12.73%
Nice
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg) 68.54% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Strasbourg
2.26
2.26
+0.0
Nice
0.96
0.32
-0.65
Strasbourg dominated by xG (2.26 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-2-3-1
39
G 6.90
3 Ben Chilwell Ben Chilwell 58' D 7.00
6 I. Doukouré I. Doukouré D 6.90
2 Andrew Omobamidele Andrew Omobamidele 77' D 7.50
22 G. Doué G. Doué 1 👟 D 8.00
8 Maxi Oyedele Maxi Oyedele M 7.00
29 Samir El Mourabet Samir El Mourabet 1 ⚽ 1 👟 58' M 8.20
20 M. Godo M. Godo 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
11 S. Nanasi S. Nanasi M 5.50
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine M 9.20
19 J. Enciso J. Enciso 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.90
Bench
15 D. Fofana D. Fofana F
10
E. Emegha 13' F 6.60
24 Lucas Høgsberg Lucas Høgsberg 32' D 6.50
17 Mathis Amougou Mathis Amougou 1' M
27 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw Samuel Amo-Ameyaw F
32 V. Barco V. Barco 32' M 6.20
Nice Nice 4-4-2
80 Yehvann Diouf Yehvann Diouf G 7.70
26 Melvin Bard Melvin Bard D 6.30
28 Abdulay Juma Bah Abdulay Juma Bah 45' D 6.20
33 Antoine Mendy Antoine Mendy 1 ⚽ D 7.30
92 J. Clauss J. Clauss D 6.00
10 S. Diop S. Diop 45' M 6.50
6 Hicham Boudaoui Hicham Boudaoui M 6.60
8 M. Sanson M. Sanson 64' M 7.20
20 Tom Louchet Tom Louchet M 6.30
11 E. Wahi E. Wahi 80' F 6.50
21 Isak Jansson Isak Jansson 45' F 6.20
Bench
2 A. Abdi A. Abdi 26' D 6.50
24 Charles Vanhoutte Charles Vanhoutte 45' M 6.60
4 Dante Dante 1 👟 45' D 7.00
23
G. Bernardeau M
32 Kaïl Boudache Kaïl Boudache 10' F 6.50
31 Maxime Dupé Maxime Dupé G
25 M. Cho M. Cho 45' F 6.30
99 Salis Abdul Samed Salis Abdul Samed M
22
Tanguy Ndombélé M
Best on the pitch
Gessime Yassine
Gessime Yassine
M · Strasbourg
9.20
3 shots · 37 pass
J. Enciso
J. Enciso
F · Strasbourg
8.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 18 pass
Samir El Mourabet
Samir El Mourabet
M · Strasbourg
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 37 pass
M. Godo
M. Godo
M · Strasbourg
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
G. Doué
G. Doué
D · Strasbourg
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 68 pass
Yehvann Diouf
Yehvann Diouf
G · Nice
7.70
· 25 pass
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 51 45% — — —
Ben Chilwell D 58 7.00 — — — 35 29% — — —
I. Doukouré D 90 6.90 — — — 82 79% — — —
Andrew Omobamidele D 77 7.50 — — — 81 78% — — —
G. Doué D 90 8.00 — 1 1 68 62% 3 — —
Maxi Oyedele M 90 7.00 — — — 66 63% — — —
Samir El Mourabet M 58 8.20 1 1 1 37 30% 2 — —
M. Godo M 77 8.20 1 — 3 22 19% 2 — —
S. Nanasi M 90 5.50 — — — 35 25% — — —
Gessime Yassine M 90 9.20 — — 3 37 33% 9 — —
J. Enciso F 89 8.90 1 — 5 18 13% 2 — —
E. Emegha F 13 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
Lucas Høgsberg D 32 6.50 — — — 26 25% — — —
Mathis Amougou M 1 — — — — 3 3% — — —
V. Barco M 32 6.20 — — — 24 19% — — —
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Yehvann Diouf G 90 7.70 — — — 25 17% — — —
Melvin Bard D 90 6.30 — — — 35 29% 6 — —
Abdulay Juma Bah D 45 6.20 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
Antoine Mendy D 90 7.30 1 — 1 50 41% 1 — —
J. Clauss D 90 6.00 — — — 46 42% 3 — —
S. Diop M 45 6.50 — — — 18 14% 3 — —
Hicham Boudaoui M 90 6.60 — — — 39 35% 3 — —
M. Sanson M 64 7.20 — — — 32 26% 1 1 —
Tom Louchet M 90 6.30 — — — 37 33% 3 — —
E. Wahi F 80 6.50 — — 2 13 11% 1 — —
Isak Jansson F 45 6.20 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
A. Abdi D 26 6.50 — — — 15 12% — — —
Charles Vanhoutte M 45 6.60 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
Dante D 45 7.00 — 1 — 12 11% 2 — —
Kaïl Boudache F 10 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
M. Cho F 45 6.30 — — 1 17 14% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Strasbourg vs Nice?
The final score was Strasbourg 3–1 Nice.
What did the model predict before Strasbourg vs Nice?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Strasbourg win, 18% to a draw, and 12% to an Nice win.