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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 18:30 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
SV Elversberg
3 – 0
Final score
Karlsruher SC
#16 · 11 pts
✓Model correct — prediction SV Elversberg
I. Pherai (ast. L. Petkov) 26'
I. Pherai (ast. T. Zimmerschied) 53'
T. Zimmerschied (ast. L. Gunther) 62'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Karlsruher SC 18%). The final result was SV Elversberg 3–0 Karlsruher SC. In 1 previous meetings, SV Elversberg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Karlsruher SC.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
10
Shots on target
2
1.73
Actual xG
0.63
2
Saves
7
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
1
5
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
N. Rapp
⚽I. Pherai · ast. L. Petkov
26'
↕ J. Gyamerah / N. Mickelson
46'
⚽I. Pherai · ast. T. Zimmerschied
53'
⚽T. Zimmerschied · ast. L. Gunther
62'
63'
S. Fukuda / F. Schleusener ↕
63'
A. Muller / N. Rapp ↕
↕ D. Mokwa Ntusu / L. Schnellbacher
69'
72'
R. Pinto Pedrosa / S. Jung ↕
73'
D. Herold / D. Burnic ↕
↕ I. Pherai / J. Malanga
78'
↕ L. Gunther / C. Sickinger
78'
81'
R. Simic / L. Ben Farhat ↕
↕ L. Petkov / R. Adam
86'
Pre-match prediction
60.94%
SV ←
20.53%
X
18.53%
Karlsruher
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SV Elversberg) 60.94% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SV
2.17
1.73
-0.44
Karlsruher
1.09
0.63
-0.46
SV Elversberg dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.63). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 10 28
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 10 21
3 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 10 19
4 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 10 18
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 10 17
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 10 15
7 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 10 14
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 10 12
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 11 12
10 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 11 11
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 11 11
12 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 10 11
13 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 10 11
14 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 11 11
15 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 10 11
16 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 10 11
17 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 10 9
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 10 8
Lineups
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
20
G 7.30
21 L. Günther L. Günther 1 👟 78' D 7.70
31 M. Rohr M. Rohr D 6.90
19 L. Pinckert L. Pinckert D 7.30
30 J. Gyamerah J. Gyamerah 45' D 6.90
8 Ł. Poręba Ł. Poręba M 7.00
6 A. Condé A. Condé M 6.90
29 T. Zimmerschied T. Zimmerschied 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.60
22 I. Pherai I. Pherai 2 ⚽ 78' M 9.50
25 L. Petkov L. Petkov 1 👟 86' M 7.30
42 D. Mokwa D. Mokwa 69' F 7.00
Bench
17 F. Schmahl F. Schmahl M
24 L. Schnellbacher L. Schnellbacher 21' M 6.90
2 N. Mickelson N. Mickelson 45' D 6.90
15 R. Adam R. Adam 11' F 6.30
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-5-2
1 H. Bernat H. Bernat G 6.90
22 C. Kobald C. Kobald D 6.30
28
D 6.70
5
S. Ambrosius D 6.20
7 D. Burnić D. Burnić 73' M 6.50
10 M. Wanitzek M. Wanitzek M 6.90
6 N. Rapp N. Rapp 63' M 6.20
11 Philipp Förster Philipp Förster M 6.30
2 S. Jung S. Jung 72' M 6.50
19 Louey Ben Farhat Louey Ben Farhat 81' F 6.30
24 Fabian Schleusener Fabian Schleusener 63' F 6.20
Bench
16 Andreas Müller Andreas Müller 27' M 6.30
20 D. Herold D. Herold 17' D 6.90
8 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
21 Meiko Wäschenbach Meiko Wäschenbach M
36 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa Rafael Pinto Pedrosa 18' D 6.90
9 R. Šimić R. Šimić 9' F 6.30
13 S. Fukuda S. Fukuda 27' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
I. Pherai
I. Pherai
M · SV
9.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 17 pass
L. Günther
L. Günther
D · SV
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 23 pass
T. Zimmerschied
T. Zimmerschied
M · SV
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 34 pass
L. Petkov
L. Petkov
M · SV
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 20 pass
L. Pinckert
L. Pinckert
D · SV
7.30
· 39 pass
G · SV
7.30
· 42 pass
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 42 33% — — —
L. Günther D 78 7.70 — 1 1 23 19% 2 — —
M. Rohr D 90 6.90 — — — 49 43% 1 — —
L. Pinckert D 90 7.30 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
J. Gyamerah D 45 6.90 — — 1 22 19% 1 — —
Ł. Poręba M 90 7.00 — — — 41 34% — — —
A. Condé M 90 6.90 — — 1 35 28% — — —
T. Zimmerschied M 90 7.60 1 1 3 34 27% — — —
I. Pherai M 78 9.50 2 — 3 17 13% — — —
L. Petkov M 86 7.30 — 1 2 20 15% — — —
D. Mokwa F 69 7.00 — — 1 10 7% — — —
L. Schnellbacher M 21 6.90 — — — 6 5% — — —
N. Mickelson D 45 6.90 — — — 20 19% — — —
R. Adam F 11 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Bernat G 90 6.90 — — — 40 34% — — —
C. Kobald D 90 6.30 — — — 75 68% 4 — —
D 90 6.70 — — — 91 86% — — —
S. Ambrosius D 90 6.20 — — — 80 73% — — —
D. Burnić M 73 6.50 — — — 50 43% 2 — —
M. Wanitzek M 90 6.90 — — 3 75 64% 1 — —
N. Rapp M 63 6.20 — — 1 46 38% 2 1 —
Philipp Förster M 90 6.30 — — 1 79 70% — — —
S. Jung M 72 6.50 — — — 29 25% — — —
Louey Ben Farhat F 81 6.30 — — 3 23 20% 1 — —
Fabian Schleusener F 63 6.20 — — — 10 8% — — —
Andreas Müller M 27 6.30 — — — 45 40% — — —
D. Herold D 17 6.90 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa D 18 6.90 — — — 13 13% — — —
R. Šimić F 9 6.30 — — — — — 1 — —
S. Fukuda F 27 6.70 — — 1 3 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SV Elversberg vs Karlsruher SC?
The final score was SV Elversberg 3–0 Karlsruher SC.
What did the model predict before SV Elversberg vs Karlsruher SC?
The model assigned 60% probability to a SV Elversberg win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Karlsruher SC win.