2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 30
April 17, 2026 18:30
Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
✓Model correct — prediction SV Elversberg
I. Pherai
(ast. L. Petkov)
26'
I. Pherai
(ast. T. Zimmerschied)
53'
T. Zimmerschied
(ast. L. Gunther)
62'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Karlsruher SC 18%). The final result was SV Elversberg 3–0 Karlsruher SC. In 1 previous meetings, SV Elversberg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Karlsruher SC.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
10
Shots on target
2
1.73
Actual xG
0.63
2
Saves
7
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
1
5
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
23'
N. Rapp
⚽I. Pherai
· ast. L. Petkov
26'
J. Gyamerah
/ N. Mickelson
46'
⚽I. Pherai
· ast. T. Zimmerschied
53'
⚽T. Zimmerschied
· ast. L. Gunther
62'
63'
S. Fukuda
/
F. Schleusener
63'
A. Muller
/
N. Rapp
D. Mokwa Ntusu
/ L. Schnellbacher
69'
72'
R. Pinto Pedrosa
/
S. Jung
73'
D. Herold
/
D. Burnic
I. Pherai
/ J. Malanga
78'
L. Gunther
/ C. Sickinger
78'
81'
R. Simic
/
L. Ben Farhat
L. Petkov
/ R. Adam
86'
Pre-match prediction
60.94%
SV ←
20.53%
X
18.53%
Karlsruher
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (SV Elversberg)
60.94%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.17
1.73
-0.44
1.09
0.63
-0.46
SV Elversberg dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
20
G
21
L. Günther
1 👟
78'
D
L. Günther
1 👟
78'
D
31
Maximilian Rohr
D
Maximilian Rohr
D
19
L. Pinckert
D
L. Pinckert
D
30
Jan Gyamerah
45'
D
Jan Gyamerah
45'
D
8
Łukasz Poręba
M
Łukasz Poręba
M
6
A. Condé
M
A. Condé
M
29
T. Zimmerschied
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
T. Zimmerschied
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
22
Immanuel Pherai
2 ⚽
78'
M
Immanuel Pherai
2 ⚽
78'
M
25
L. Petkov
1 👟
86'
M
L. Petkov
1 👟
86'
M
42
David Mokwa
69'
F
David Mokwa
69'
F
Bench
17
Frederik Schmahl
M
Frederik Schmahl
M
24
Luca Schnellbacher
21'
M
Luca Schnellbacher
21'
M
2
Nicholas Mickelson
45'
D
Nicholas Mickelson
45'
D
15
Raif Adam
11'
F
Raif Adam
11'
F
1
Hans Christian Bernat
G
Hans Christian Bernat
G
22
C. Kobald
D
C. Kobald
D
28
D
5
S. Ambrosius
D
7
Dženis Burnić
73'
M
Dženis Burnić
73'
M
10
M. Wanitzek
M
M. Wanitzek
M
6
Nicolai Rapp
63'
M
Nicolai Rapp
63'
M
11
Philipp Förster
M
Philipp Förster
M
2
Sebastian Jung
72'
M
Sebastian Jung
72'
M
19
Louey Ben Farhat
81'
F
Louey Ben Farhat
81'
F
24
F. Schleusener
63'
F
F. Schleusener
63'
F
Bench
16
A. Muller
27'
M
20
D. Herold
17'
D
D. Herold
17'
D
8
Hyeok-kyu Kwon
M
Hyeok-kyu Kwon
M
21
Meiko Wäschenbach
M
Meiko Wäschenbach
M
36
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
18'
D
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
18'
D
9
Roko Šimić
9'
F
Roko Šimić
9'
F
13
Shio Fukuda
27'
F
Shio Fukuda
27'
F
Best on the pitch
Immanuel Pherai
M · SV
9.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
L. Günther
D · SV
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
T. Zimmerschied
M · SV
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 34 pass
L. Petkov
M · SV
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 20 pass
L. Pinckert
D · SV
7.30
· 39 pass
G · SV
7.30
· 42 pass
SV Elversberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| L. Günther | D | 78 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximilian Rohr | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Pinckert | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Gyamerah | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Łukasz Poręba | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| A. Condé | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| T. Zimmerschied | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Immanuel Pherai | M | 78 | 9.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Petkov | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| David Mokwa | F | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Luca Schnellbacher | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Mickelson | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Raif Adam | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Karlsruher SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Christian Bernat | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| C. Kobald | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 75 | 68% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 91 | 86% | — | — | — | |
| S. Ambrosius | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 80 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Dženis Burnić | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Wanitzek | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 75 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolai Rapp | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Philipp Förster | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Jung | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Louey Ben Farhat | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Schleusener | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Muller | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| D. Herold | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Pinto Pedrosa | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Roko Šimić | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Shio Fukuda | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SV Elversberg vs Karlsruher SC?
The final score was SV Elversberg 3–0 Karlsruher SC.
What did the model predict before SV Elversberg vs Karlsruher SC?
The model assigned 60% probability to a SV Elversberg win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Karlsruher SC win.