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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 13:30 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
SV Elversberg
5 – 1
Final score
SC Paderborn 07
M. Rohr (ast. L. Petkov) 4'
D. Mokwa Ntusu (ast. L. Gunther) 17'
L. Petkov (ast. L. Poreba) 28'
L. Petkov (ast. T. Zimmerschied) 41'
R. Adam (ast. L. Schnellbacher) 90'+4
65' (ast. N. Batzner) C. Brackelmann
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 54% win probability (draw 19%, SC Paderborn 07 26%). The final result was SV Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn 07. In 1 previous meetings, SV Elversberg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
6
2.72
Actual xG
0.97
4
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
6
9
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Rohr · ast. L. Petkov
4'
⚽D. Mokwa Ntusu · ast. L. Gunther
17'
⚽L. Petkov · ast. L. Poreba
28'
J. Gyamerah
38'
⚽L. Petkov · ast. T. Zimmerschied
41'
I. Pherai
43'
46'
K. Okpala / R. Muller ↕
46'
S. Tigges / F. Gotze ↕
47'
T. Scheller
↕ L. Gunther / N. Mickelson
62'
62'
N. Batzner / M. Baur ↕
A. Conde
64'
65'
ast. N. Batzner · C. Brackelmann⚽
68'
S. Michel / S. Marino ↕
↕ L. Petkov / J. Malanga
73'
↕ I. Pherai / F. Schmahl
73'
74'
K. Okpala
78'
S. Tigges
81'
N. Mohr / T. Scheller ↕
↕ D. Mokwa Ntusu / L. Schnellbacher
85'
↕ T. Zimmerschied / R. Adam
85'
⚽R. Adam · ast. L. Schnellbacher
90'+4
90'+6
S. Tigges
90'+6
S. Tigges
90'
N. Batzner
Pre-match prediction
54.14%
SV ←
19.27%
X
26.59%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (SV Elversberg) 54.14% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SV
2.36
2.72
+0.36
SC
1.59
0.97
-0.62
SV Elversberg dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.97). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 6 7
9 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 6 7
10 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4
Lineups
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
20
G 6.90
21 L. Günther L. Günther 1 👟 62' D 6.90
3
D 7.00
31 M. Rohr M. Rohr 1 ⚽ D 8.20
30 J. Gyamerah J. Gyamerah D 6.90
8 Ł. Poręba Ł. Poręba 1 👟 M 7.90
6 A. Condé A. Condé M 6.30
29 T. Zimmerschied T. Zimmerschied 1 👟 85' M 6.20
22 I. Pherai I. Pherai 73' M 6.50
25 L. Petkov L. Petkov 2 ⚽ 1 👟 73' M 10.00
42 D. Mokwa D. Mokwa 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20
Bench
17 Frederik Schmahl Frederik Schmahl 17' M 6.60
24 L. Schnellbacher L. Schnellbacher 1 👟 11' M 7.20
2 N. Mickelson N. Mickelson 28' D 6.70
15 Raif Adam Raif Adam 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.30
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 5-3-2
41
G 4.60
3 Jonah Benedict Sticker Jonah Benedict Sticker D 5.70
4 C. Brackelmann C. Brackelmann 1 ⚽ D 6.30
20 F. Götze F. Götze 45' D 5.90
25 T. Scheller T. Scheller 81' D 5.90
17 L. Curda L. Curda D 5.20
7 F. Bilbija F. Bilbija M 6.20
14 M. Baur M. Baur 62' M 6.00
5 S. Castañeda S. Castañeda M 6.90
30 S. Marino S. Marino 68' F 6.90
2 Ruben Müller Ruben Müller 45' F 6.30
Bench
10 K. Okpala K. Okpala 45' F 6.30
22 M. Hansen M. Hansen M
9 Nick Bätzner Nick Bätzner 1 👟 28' M 7.20
26 Sebastian Klaas Sebastian Klaas M
11 S. Michel S. Michel 22' F 6.30
27 S. Tigges S. Tigges 50' F 5.90
Best on the pitch
L. Petkov
L. Petkov
M · SV
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
M. Rohr
M. Rohr
D · SV
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
Ł. Poręba
Ł. Poręba
M · SV
7.90
1 👟
· 35 pass
Raif Adam
Raif Adam
F · SV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
L. Schnellbacher
L. Schnellbacher
M · SV
7.20
1 👟
· 4 pass
D. Mokwa
D. Mokwa
F · SV
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 59 43% — — —
L. Günther D 62 6.90 — 1 — 17 9% — — —
D 90 7.00 — — — 62 45% 2 — —
M. Rohr D 90 8.20 1 — 1 36 35% 3 — —
J. Gyamerah D 90 6.90 — — — 29 24% 1 1 —
Ł. Poręba M 90 7.90 — 1 — 35 29% 1 — —
A. Condé M 90 6.30 — — — 23 17% — 1 —
T. Zimmerschied M 85 6.20 — 1 — 19 11% — — —
I. Pherai M 73 6.50 — — 1 15 9% — 1 —
L. Petkov M 73 10.00 2 1 2 14 7% 1 — —
D. Mokwa F 85 7.20 1 — 2 6 4% — — —
Frederik Schmahl M 17 6.60 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
L. Schnellbacher M 11 7.20 — 1 — 4 3% — — —
N. Mickelson D 28 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
Raif Adam F 11 7.30 1 — 1 — — — — —
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 4.60 — — — 34 22% — — —
Jonah Benedict Sticker D 90 5.70 — — 1 32 27% 2 — —
C. Brackelmann D 90 6.30 1 — 1 41 28% 1 — —
F. Götze D 45 5.90 — — — 44 41% — — —
T. Scheller D 81 5.90 — — — 49 41% 1 1 —
L. Curda D 90 5.20 — — — 37 30% 3 — —
F. Bilbija M 90 6.20 — — 3 24 15% 2 — —
M. Baur M 62 6.00 — — — 42 36% — — —
S. Castañeda M 90 6.90 — — 2 49 41% 4 — —
S. Marino F 68 6.90 — — 2 15 11% 2 — —
Ruben Müller F 45 6.30 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
K. Okpala F 45 6.30 — — 1 10 9% — 1 —
Nick Bätzner M 28 7.20 — 1 — 17 14% 1 1 —
S. Michel F 22 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
S. Tigges F 50 5.90 — — — 13 5% — 2 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07?
The final score was SV Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn 07.
What did the model predict before SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07?
The model assigned 54% probability to a SV Elversberg win, 19% to a draw, and 26% to an SC Paderborn 07 win.