← 2. Bundesliga
2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 13:30
SV Elversberg
#2 · 59 pts
5 – 1
Final score
SC Paderborn 07
#4 · 59 pts
M. Rohr (ast. L. Petkov) 4'
D. Mokwa Ntusu (ast. L. Gunther) 17'
L. Petkov (ast. L. Poreba) 28'
L. Petkov (ast. T. Zimmerschied) 41'
R. Adam (ast. L. Schnellbacher) 90'+4
65' (ast. N. Batzner) C. Brackelmann

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 54% win probability (draw 19%, SC Paderborn 07 26%). The final result was SV Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn 07. In 1 previous meetings, SV Elversberg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
6
2.72
Actual xG
0.97
4
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
6
9
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Rohr · ast. L. Petkov
4'
⚽D. Mokwa Ntusu · ast. L. Gunther
17'
⚽L. Petkov · ast. L. Poreba
28'
J. Gyamerah
38'
⚽L. Petkov · ast. T. Zimmerschied
41'
I. Pherai
43'
46'
K. Okpala / R. Muller ↕
46'
S. Tigges / F. Gotze ↕
47'
T. Scheller
↕ L. Gunther / N. Mickelson
62'
62'
N. Batzner / M. Baur ↕
A. Conde
64'
65'
ast. N. Batzner · C. Brackelmann⚽
68'
S. Michel / S. Marino ↕
↕ L. Petkov / J. Malanga
73'
↕ I. Pherai / F. Schmahl
73'
74'
K. Okpala
78'
S. Tigges
81'
N. Mohr / T. Scheller ↕
↕ D. Mokwa Ntusu / L. Schnellbacher
85'
↕ T. Zimmerschied / R. Adam
85'
⚽R. Adam · ast. L. Schnellbacher
90'+4
90'+6
S. Tigges
90'+6
S. Tigges
90'
N. Batzner
Pre-match prediction
54.14%
SV ←
19.27%
X
26.59%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (SV Elversberg) 54.14% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SV
2.36
2.72
+0.36
SC
1.59
0.97
-0.62
SV Elversberg dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.97). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Lineups
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
20
G 6.90
21 Lasse Günther Lasse Günther 1 👟 62' D 6.90
3
D 7.00
31 Maximilian Rohr Maximilian Rohr 1 ⚽ D 8.20
30 Jan Gyamerah Jan Gyamerah D 6.90
8 Łukasz Poręba Łukasz Poręba 1 👟 M 7.90
6 A. Condé A. Condé M 6.30
29 Tom Zimmerschied Tom Zimmerschied 1 👟 85' M 6.20
22 Immanuel Pherai Immanuel Pherai 73' M 6.50
25 Lukas Petkov Lukas Petkov 2 ⚽ 1 👟 73' M 10.00
42 David Mokwa David Mokwa 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20
Bench
17 Frederik Schmahl Frederik Schmahl 17' M 6.60
24 Luca Schnellbacher Luca Schnellbacher 1 👟 11' M 7.20
2 Nicholas Mickelson Nicholas Mickelson 28' D 6.70
15 Raif Adam Raif Adam 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.30
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 5-3-2
41
G 4.60
3
J. Sticker D 5.70
4
Calvin Brackelmann 1 ⚽ D 6.30
20
Felix Götze 45' D 5.90
25
Tjark Lasse Scheller 81' D 5.90
17
Laurin Curda D 5.20
7
F. Bilbija M 6.20
14
M. Baur 62' M 6.00
5
Santiago Castaneda M 6.90
30
S. Marino 68' F 6.90
2
R. Muller 45' F 6.30
Bench
10
Kennedy Okpala 45' F 6.30
22
Mattes Hansen M
9
N. Batzner 1 👟 28' M 7.20
26
S. Klaas M
11
S. Michel 22' F 6.30
27
S. Tigges 50' F 5.90
Best on the pitch
Lukas Petkov
Lukas Petkov
M · SV
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
Maximilian Rohr
Maximilian Rohr
D · SV
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
Łukasz Poręba
Łukasz Poręba
M · SV
7.90
1 👟
· 35 pass
Raif Adam
Raif Adam
F · SV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
Luca Schnellbacher
Luca Schnellbacher
M · SV
7.20
1 👟
· 4 pass
David Mokwa
David Mokwa
F · SV
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 59 43% — — —
Lasse Günther D 62 6.90 — 1 — 17 9% — — —
D 90 7.00 — — — 62 45% 2 — —
Maximilian Rohr D 90 8.20 1 — 1 36 35% 3 — —
Jan Gyamerah D 90 6.90 — — — 29 24% 1 1 —
Łukasz Poręba M 90 7.90 — 1 — 35 29% 1 — —
A. Condé M 90 6.30 — — — 23 17% — 1 —
Tom Zimmerschied M 85 6.20 — 1 — 19 11% — — —
Immanuel Pherai M 73 6.50 — — 1 15 9% — 1 —
Lukas Petkov M 73 10.00 2 1 2 14 7% 1 — —
David Mokwa F 85 7.20 1 — 2 6 4% — — —
Frederik Schmahl M 17 6.60 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Luca Schnellbacher M 11 7.20 — 1 — 4 3% — — —
Nicholas Mickelson D 28 6.70 — — — 4 2% — — —
Raif Adam F 11 7.30 1 — 1 — — — — —
SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 4.60 — — — 34 22% — — —
J. Sticker D 90 5.70 — — 1 32 27% 2 — —
Calvin Brackelmann D 90 6.30 1 — 1 41 28% 1 — —
Felix Götze D 45 5.90 — — — 44 41% — — —
Tjark Lasse Scheller D 81 5.90 — — — 49 41% 1 1 —
Laurin Curda D 90 5.20 — — — 37 30% 3 — —
F. Bilbija M 90 6.20 — — 3 24 15% 2 — —
M. Baur M 62 6.00 — — — 42 36% — — —
Santiago Castaneda M 90 6.90 — — 2 49 41% 4 — —
S. Marino F 68 6.90 — — 2 15 11% 2 — —
R. Muller F 45 6.30 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Kennedy Okpala F 45 6.30 — — 1 10 9% — 1 —
N. Batzner M 28 7.20 — 1 — 17 14% 1 1 —
S. Michel F 22 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
S. Tigges F 50 5.90 — — — 13 5% — 2 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07?
The final score was SV Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn 07.
What did the model predict before SV Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07?
The model assigned 54% probability to a SV Elversberg win, 19% to a draw, and 26% to an SC Paderborn 07 win.