Sweden - Bosnia & Herzegovina
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.45%
Win
Sweden
34.38%
Draw
17.16%
Win
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1.21
0.6
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(18.3%)
1X2 Result
1
48%
X
34%
2
17%
Double Chance
1X
83%
X2
52%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sweden a 48% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 17% for Bosnia & Herzegovina. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sweden and 0.6 for Bosnia & Herzegovina (total 1.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 18.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Sweden have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Season Stats
8W
2D
0L
2W
4D
4L
Averages per game
2.6
Goals
1.0
0.7
Conceded
2.0
7.8
Shots OT
2.6
6.6
Corners
2.4
61%
Poss.
39%
Percentages
90%
O 1.5
70%
80%
O 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
5W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
2D
2L
· away
3.2
gls/g
1.2
0.6
Conceded
2.8
100%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
60%
100%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
0%
Failed to Score
60%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Sweden
Bosnia & Herzegovina →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.4% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 19.8% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sweden
Attack
41
Defence
63
Form
55
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Attack
30
Defence
68
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
2 Oct 2026
1–1
Unavailable
Sweden
Injured
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Injured
League B - Group D
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sweden
|
4 | 10 |
| 2 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina
|
4 | 8 |
| 3 |
Poland
|
4 | 4 |
| 4 |
Romania
|
4 | 0 |
What's at stake · League B - Group D
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #2 |
| → Sweden | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Bosnia & Herzegovina | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
The model gives Sweden a 48% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 17% for an Bosnia & Herzegovina win.
How many goals are expected in Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Expected goals: Sweden 1.2, Bosnia & Herzegovina 0.6 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.3%.