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Torquay - Dover

National League South November 17, 2026 20:45
Torquay
#13 · 20 pts
vs
Dover
#11 · 22 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.47%
Win
Torquay
20.4%
Draw
18.12%
Win
Dover
2.05
Expected xG
0.92
Most likely outcome
Torquay
61.47%
Probability
70.8%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.8%)
1X2 Result
1 61%
X 20%
2 18%
Double Chance
1X 82%
X2 39%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Torquay a 61% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Dover. Expected goals are 2.1 for Torquay and 0.9 for Dover (total 3.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.8% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Torquay have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Dover.

Season Stats

Torquay
5W 5D 5L
Dover
6W 5D 4L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
67%
53%
O 2.5
40%
53%
BTTS
47%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Torquay
4W 5D 1L · at home
Dover
3W 2D 5L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.0
1.3
Conceded
1.7
40%
Win %
30%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
40%
90%
BTTS
50%
10%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Torquay Dover →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% —
1 10.5% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.4% 6.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% —
4 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Torquay Torquay
W Walton & Hersham 0–3
L AFC Totton 1–0
D Maidstone Utd 1–1
W Slough Town 5–1
L Billericay Town 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Dover Dover
W Farnham Town 1–0
L Chelmsford City 0–1
D Salisbury 1–1
D Dorking Wanderers 1–1
W AFC Totton 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Torquay Torquay
Attack
51
Defence
70
Form
57
Dover Dover
Attack
22
Defence
82
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2
Torquay
0
Draw
0
Dover
3 Feb 2026 National League South 3–2
25 Aug 2025 National League South 3–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 14 31
2 Truro City Truro City 14 30
3 Maidstone Utd Maidstone Utd 15 29
4 Salisbury Salisbury 14 28
5 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 15 27
6 Farnham Town Farnham Town 15 26
7 Billericay Town Billericay Town 13 25
8 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 15 24
9 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 15 24
10 Horsham Horsham 15 22
11 Dover Dover 14 22
12 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 14 21
13 Torquay Torquay 14 20
14 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta 15 20
15 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 14 18
16 Farnborough Farnborough 15 17
17 Braintree Braintree 14 16
18 AFC Totton AFC Totton 15 16
19 Maidenhead Maidenhead 15 15
20 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 15 15
21 Chesham United Chesham United 14 11
22 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 15 9
23 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 14 8
24 Slough Town Slough Town 15 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Torquay vs Dover?
The model gives Torquay a 61% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 18% for an Dover win.
How many goals are expected in Torquay vs Dover?
Expected goals: Torquay 2.1, Dover 0.9 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Torquay vs Dover?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.8%.