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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 21:05 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Toulouse
#13 · 5 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Monaco
#1 · 13 pts
J. Russell-Rowe (ast. D. Methalie) 61'
Emersonn 90'
6' (ast. S. Adingra) J. Teze
18' (ast. M. Akliouche) L. Camara
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 53% win probability (draw 20%, Toulouse 26%). The final result was Toulouse 2–2 Monaco. In 1 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monaco.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
5
1.75
Actual xG
0.74
3
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
2
20
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
ast. S. Adingra · J. Teze⚽
18'
ast. M. Akliouche · L. Camara⚽
C. Cresswell
31'
⚽J. Russell-Rowe · ast. D. Methalie
61'
61'
A. Golovin / A. Fati ↕
62'
C. Mawissa
R. Nicolaisen
66'
↕ J. Russell-Rowe / Emersonn
74'
75'
L. Hradecky
75'
E. Dier / M. Akliouche ↕
↕ S. Hidalgo / I. Azizi
79'
↕ A. Vossah / M. Sauer
79'
84'
M. Biereth / F. Balogun ↕
84'
P. Pogba / S. Adingra ↕
↕ D. Methalie / W. Kamanzi
90'+1
↕ P. Demba / J. Vignolo
90'+1
M. Sauer
90'+2
⚽Emersonn
90'
Pre-match prediction
26.42%
Toulouse
20.48%
X ←
53.1%
Monaco
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toulouse
1.37
1.75
+0.38
Monaco
2.24
0.74
-1.5
Toulouse dominated by xG (1.75 vs 0.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 5 13
2 Lyon Lyon 5 11
3 Paris FC Paris FC 5 11
4 Lille Lille 5 10
5 Rennes Rennes 5 10
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 5 8
7 Angers Angers 5 7
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 5 7
9 Le Mans Le Mans 5 6
10 Auxerre Auxerre 5 6
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 5 5
12 Lorient Lorient 5 5
13 Toulouse Toulouse 5 5
14 Nice Nice 5 5
15 Lens Lens 5 4
16 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 5 4
17 Marseille Marseille 5 3
18 Le Havre Le Havre 5 2
Lineups
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 G. Restes G. Restes 89' G 5.90
2 R. Nicolaisen R. Nicolaisen 89' D 6.30
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell 89' D 6.60
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie 89' D 6.90
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 1 👟 89' M 6.70
23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. Cristian Cásseres Jr. 89' M 7.00
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 79' M 6.70
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum 89' M 7.30
18 P. Diop P. Diop 89' F 6.90
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 79' F 6.30
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 1 ⚽ 74' F 6.90
Bench
19 D. Sidibé D. Sidibé D
20 Emersonn Emersonn 1 ⚽ 15' F 6.50
7 Julián Vignolo Julián Vignolo F
77 M. Sauer M. Sauer 10' M 6.30
35 S. Koumbassa S. Koumbassa D
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi D
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký L. Hrádecký 89' G 7.30
13 C. Mawissa Elebi C. Mawissa Elebi 89' D 7.20
25 W. Faes W. Faes 89' D 7.00
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer 89' D 7.20
24 Simon Adingra Simon Adingra 1 👟 84' M 6.50
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria 89' M 6.90
15 L. Camara L. Camara 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.20
4 J. Teze J. Teze 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.90
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 61' F 6.20
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 1 👟 75' F 7.00
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 84' F 6.30
Bench
23 A. Bamba A. Bamba M
10 Aleksandr Golovin Aleksandr Golovin 28' M 6.20
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly M
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba 5' M
44 Samuel Nibombe Samuel Nibombe M
Best on the pitch
J. Teze
J. Teze
M · Monaco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
A. Dønnum
A. Dønnum
M · Toulouse
7.30
3 shots · 54 pass
L. Hrádecký
L. Hrádecký
G · Monaco
7.30
· 32 pass
L. Camara
L. Camara
M · Monaco
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 57 pass
T. Kehrer
T. Kehrer
D · Monaco
7.20
· 75 pass
C. Mawissa Elebi
C. Mawissa Elebi
D · Monaco
7.20
· 50 pass
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Restes G 89 5.90 — — — 27 19% — — —
R. Nicolaisen D 89 6.30 — — — 68 59% 2 1 —
C. Cresswell D 89 6.60 — — 3 65 62% — 1 —
M. McKenzie D 89 6.90 — — — 53 48% 3 — —
D. Methalie M 89 6.70 — 1 — 27 22% 1 — —
Cristian Cásseres Jr. M 89 7.00 — — 2 91 82% 1 — —
A. Vossah M 79 6.70 — — — 29 25% 3 — —
A. Dønnum M 89 7.30 — — 3 54 44% 7 — —
P. Diop F 89 6.90 — — — 47 40% 2 — —
S. Hidalgo F 79 6.30 — — — 12 8% 1 — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 74 6.90 1 — 3 14 13% — — —
Emersonn F 15 6.50 1 — — 4 3% — — —
M. Sauer M 10 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hrádecký G 89 7.30 — — — 32 19% — 1 —
C. Mawissa Elebi D 89 7.20 — — — 50 45% 6 1 —
W. Faes D 89 7.00 — — — 48 44% 3 — —
T. Kehrer D 89 7.20 — — — 75 65% 4 — —
Simon Adingra M 84 6.50 — 1 2 31 23% — — —
D. Zakaria M 89 6.90 — — — 38 35% 4 — —
L. Camara M 89 7.20 1 — 2 57 50% 2 — —
J. Teze M 89 7.90 1 — 1 54 45% 3 — —
Ansu Fati F 61 6.20 — — 1 27 20% — — —
M. Akliouche F 75 7.00 — 1 1 40 36% 1 — —
F. Balogun F 84 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
Aleksandr Golovin M 28 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
Paul Pogba M 5 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Monaco?
The final score was Toulouse 2–2 Monaco.
What did the model predict before Toulouse vs Monaco?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Toulouse win, 20% to a draw, and 53% to an Monaco win.