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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 21:05 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Toulouse
#10 · 44 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Monaco
#7 · 54 pts
J. Russell-Rowe (ast. D. Methalie) 61'
Emersonn 90'
6' (ast. S. Adingra) J. Teze
18' (ast. M. Akliouche) L. Camara
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 53% win probability (draw 20%, Toulouse 26%). The final result was Toulouse 2–2 Monaco. In 1 previous meetings, Toulouse have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monaco.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
5
1.75
Actual xG
0.74
3
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
2
20
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
ast. S. Adingra · J. Teze⚽
18'
ast. M. Akliouche · L. Camara⚽
C. Cresswell
31'
⚽J. Russell-Rowe · ast. D. Methalie
61'
61'
A. Golovin / A. Fati ↕
62'
C. Mawissa
R. Nicolaisen
66'
↕ J. Russell-Rowe / Emersonn
74'
75'
L. Hradecky
75'
E. Dier / M. Akliouche ↕
↕ S. Hidalgo / I. Azizi
79'
↕ A. Vossah / M. Sauer
79'
84'
M. Biereth / F. Balogun ↕
84'
P. Pogba / S. Adingra ↕
↕ D. Methalie / W. Kamanzi
90'+1
↕ P. Demba / J. Vignolo
90'+1
M. Sauer
90'+2
⚽Emersonn
90'
Pre-match prediction
26.42%
Toulouse
20.48%
X ←
53.1%
Monaco
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toulouse
1.37
1.75
+0.38
Monaco
2.24
0.74
-1.5
Toulouse dominated by xG (1.75 vs 0.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 Guillaume Restes Guillaume Restes 89' G 5.90
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen Rasmus Nicolaisen 89' D 6.30
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell 89' D 6.60
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie 89' D 6.90
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 1 👟 89' M 6.70
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 89' M 7.00
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 79' M 6.70
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum 89' M 7.30
18 P. Diop P. Diop 89' F 6.90
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 79' F 6.30
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 1 ⚽ 74' F 6.90
Bench
19 Djibril Sidibé Djibril Sidibé D
20 Emersonn Emersonn 1 ⚽ 15' F 6.50
7 Julian Vignolo Julian Vignolo F
77
Mario Sauer 10' M 6.30
35 Seny Koumbassa Seny Koumbassa D
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi D
Monaco Monaco 3-4-2-1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký Lukáš Hrádecký 89' G 7.30
13 Christian Mawissa Christian Mawissa 89' D 7.20
25 Wout Faes Wout Faes 89' D 7.00
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer 89' D 7.20
24 S. Adingra S. Adingra 1 👟 84' M 6.50
6 Denis Zakaria Denis Zakaria 89' M 6.90
15 Lamine Camara Lamine Camara 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.20
4 J. Teze J. Teze 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.90
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 61' F 6.20
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 1 👟 75' F 7.00
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 84' F 6.30
Bench
10 A. Golovin A. Golovin 28' M 6.20
23 Aladji Bamba Aladji Bamba M
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly M
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba 5' M
44 Samuel Nibombe Samuel Nibombe M
Best on the pitch
J. Teze
J. Teze
M · Monaco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
A. Dønnum
A. Dønnum
M · Toulouse
7.30
3 shots · 54 pass
Lukáš Hrádecký
Lukáš Hrádecký
G · Monaco
7.30
· 32 pass
Lamine Camara
Lamine Camara
M · Monaco
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 57 pass
T. Kehrer
T. Kehrer
D · Monaco
7.20
· 75 pass
Christian Mawissa
Christian Mawissa
D · Monaco
7.20
· 50 pass
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Guillaume Restes G 89 5.90 — — — 27 19% — — —
Rasmus Nicolaisen D 89 6.30 — — — 68 59% 2 1 —
C. Cresswell D 89 6.60 — — 3 65 62% — 1 —
M. McKenzie D 89 6.90 — — — 53 48% 3 — —
D. Methalie M 89 6.70 — 1 — 27 22% 1 — —
C. Cásseres M 89 7.00 — — 2 91 82% 1 — —
A. Vossah M 79 6.70 — — — 29 25% 3 — —
A. Dønnum M 89 7.30 — — 3 54 44% 7 — —
P. Diop F 89 6.90 — — — 47 40% 2 — —
S. Hidalgo F 79 6.30 — — — 12 8% 1 — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 74 6.90 1 — 3 14 13% — — —
Emersonn F 15 6.50 1 — — 4 3% — — —
Mario Sauer M 10 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Hrádecký G 89 7.30 — — — 32 19% — 1 —
Christian Mawissa D 89 7.20 — — — 50 45% 6 1 —
Wout Faes D 89 7.00 — — — 48 44% 3 — —
T. Kehrer D 89 7.20 — — — 75 65% 4 — —
S. Adingra M 84 6.50 — 1 2 31 23% — — —
Denis Zakaria M 89 6.90 — — — 38 35% 4 — —
Lamine Camara M 89 7.20 1 — 2 57 50% 2 — —
J. Teze M 89 7.90 1 — 1 54 45% 3 — —
Ansu Fati F 61 6.20 — — 1 27 20% — — —
M. Akliouche F 75 7.00 — 1 1 40 36% 1 — —
F. Balogun F 84 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
A. Golovin M 28 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
Paul Pogba M 5 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Monaco?
The final score was Toulouse 2–2 Monaco.
What did the model predict before Toulouse vs Monaco?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Toulouse win, 20% to a draw, and 53% to an Monaco win.