Türkiye - Belgium
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.36%
Win
Türkiye
28.88%
Draw
43.77%
Win
Belgium
1.17
1.55
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.8%)
1X2 Result
1
27%
X
29%
2
44%
Double Chance
1X
56%
X2
73%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
65%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Belgium a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Türkiye. Expected goals are 1.2 for Türkiye and 1.6 for Belgium (total 2.7), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Türkiye have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Belgium.
Season Stats
5W
2D
5L
4W
1D
7L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.3
1.5
Conceded
1.4
5.3
Shots OT
5.2
5.3
Corners
6.3
55%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
75%
67%
O 2.5
58%
50%
BTTS
42%
33%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
3W
1D
2L
· at home
1W
1D
4L
· away
1.3
gls/g
1.0
1.2
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
17%
67%
Win or Draw
33%
50%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
17%
33%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Türkiye
Belgium →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Türkiye
Attack
38
Defence
42
Form
4
Belgium
Attack
52
Defence
50
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
2 Oct 2026
0–3
Unavailable
Belgium
Injured
Injured
Injured
Injured
What's at stake · League A - Group A
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #4 | #3 |
| → Türkiye | #4 | #3 |
| → Draw | #4 | #3 |
| → Belgium | #4 | #2 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?
The model gives Türkiye a 27% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 43% for an Belgium win.
How many goals are expected in Türkiye vs Belgium?
Expected goals: Türkiye 1.2, Belgium 1.6 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Türkiye vs Belgium?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.8%.