Ukraine - Georgia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.16%
Win
Ukraine
50.0%
Draw
21.84%
Win
Georgia
0.53
0.45
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(39.19%)
1X2 Result
1
28%
X
50%
2
22%
Double Chance
1X
78%
X2
72%
12
50%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ukraine a 28% win probability, against 50% for a draw and 21% for Georgia. Expected goals are 0.5 for Ukraine and 0.4 for Georgia (total 1.0), with a 60% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 39.19% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Ukraine have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Georgia.
Season Stats
4W
3D
5L
4W
3D
5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.3
1.4
Conceded
0.8
3.4
Shots OT
4.4
4.0
Corners
5.4
49%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
42%
58%
O 2.5
33%
58%
BTTS
33%
25%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
9%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
2W
1D
3L
· at home
2W
1D
3L
· away
1.2
gls/g
0.8
1.5
Conceded
0.7
33%
Win %
33%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
83%
O 1.5
33%
67%
O 2.5
33%
17%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
17%
17%
Clean Sht
50%
17%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Ukraine
Georgia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37.8% | 16.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 2 | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Ukraine
Attack
22
Defence
66
Form
23
Georgia
Attack
26
Defence
72
Form
16
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League B - Group B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Northern Ireland
|
4 | 8 |
| 2 |
Hungary
|
4 | 7 |
| 3 |
Ukraine
|
4 | 4 |
| 4 |
Georgia
|
4 | 2 |
What's at stake · League B - Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #4 |
| → Ukraine | #3 | #4 |
| → Draw | #3 | #4 |
| → Georgia | #4 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ukraine vs Georgia?
The model gives Ukraine a 28% win probability, 50% for a draw, and 21% for an Georgia win.
How many goals are expected in Ukraine vs Georgia?
Expected goals: Ukraine 0.5, Georgia 0.4 (total 1.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 60%.
What is the most likely score in Ukraine vs Georgia?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 39.19%.