Palmeiras - Vasco DA Gama
Copa do Brasil
November 01, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.07%
Win
Palmeiras
20.56%
Draw
16.37%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
2.29
1.09
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Palmeiras
63.07%
Probability
83.3%
1X2 accuracy · 6 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.76%)
1X2 Result
1
63%
X
21%
2
16%
Double Chance
1X
84%
X2
37%
12
79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
81%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palmeiras a 63% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Vasco DA Gama. Expected goals are 2.3 for Palmeiras and 1.1 for Vasco DA Gama (total 3.4), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.76% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Palmeiras have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vasco DA Gama.
Season Stats
6W
1D
3L
6W
7D
2L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.3
0.7
Conceded
0.7
5.4
Shots OT
4.9
5.1
Corners
4.3
51%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
70%
O 1.5
67%
60%
O 2.5
33%
20%
BTTS
53%
60%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
5%
O 3.5
15%
BTTS
4W
0D
1L
· at home
5W
4D
1L
· away
2.4
gls/g
1.5
0.4
Conceded
0.4
80%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
90%
100%
O 1.5
70%
80%
O 2.5
30%
0%
O 3.5
10%
0%
BTTS
30%
80%
Clean Sht
60%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Palmeiras
Attack
50
Defence
78
Form
67
Vasco DA Gama
Attack
42
Defence
71
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model gives Palmeiras a 63% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 16% for an Vasco DA Gama win.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Expected goals: Palmeiras 2.3, Vasco DA Gama 1.1 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.76%.