HNL · Regular Season - 29 April 13, 2026 18:00 Gradski Stadion, Kavadarci

Vukovar

1 – 4

Final score

Dinamo Zagreb

#4 · 13 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Dinamo Zagreb

J. Puljic (ast. E. Shabani) 63'

32' (ast. J. Misic) D. Beljo

(pen.) 51' D. Beljo

(og) 68' J. Elez

90'+5 (ast. M. Lisica) D. Beljo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dinamo Zagreb a 81% win probability (draw 8%, Vukovar 9%). The final result was Vukovar 1–4 Dinamo Zagreb. In 3 previous meetings, Vukovar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Dinamo Zagreb.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

13

4

Shots on target

7

1.78

Actual xG

1.97

4

Saves

3

33%

Possession

67%

3

Corners

6

10

Tackles

20

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

32'

ast. J. Misic · D. Beljo⚽

51'

(pen.) D. Beljo⚽

61'

M. Lisica / G. Vidovic ↕

61'

A. Hoxha / M. Bakrar ↕

⚽J. Puljic · ast. E. Shabani

63'

J. Gurlica

66'

68'

(og) J. Elez⚽

72'

M. Soldo / L. Stojkovic ↕

↕ A. Bosec / L. Klanac

75'

↕ L. Banovec / A. Jurilj

75'

↕ S. Butic / P. Bugas

82'

83'

M. Valincic / B. Goda ↕

85'

M. Soldo

↕ J. Gurlica / J. Spoljaric

88'

↕ K. Cabrajic / M. Ticinovic

88'

90'+5

ast. M. Lisica · D. Beljo⚽

Pre-match prediction

9.78%

Vukovar

8.9%

X

81.33%

Dinamo ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Dinamo Zagreb) 81.33% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Vukovar

0.65

1.78

+1.13

Dinamo

3.60

1.97

-1.64

xG dominance was balanced (1.78 – 1.97). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	7	16
2	NK Osijek	7	15
3	NK Varazdin	7	14
4	Dinamo Zagreb	6	13
5	HNK Rijeka	6	11
6	Istra 1961	7	9
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	7	7
8	NK Slaven Belupo	7	6
9	Rudes	7	3
10	HNK Gorica	7	2

Lineups

Vukovar 4-2-3-1

1 Marino Bulat G 5.90

20 K. Čabrajić 88' D 6.50

26

J. Elez 1 ⚽ D 5.30

5

D 5.90

8

A. Bosec 75' D 5.60

77 E. Shabani 1 👟 M 7.90

35 J. Gurlica 88' M 6.30

28 L. Banovec 75' M 5.90

10 R. Gonzales M 6.20

27

Š. Butić 82' M 6.20

21 J. Puljić 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Bench

19

A. Jurilj 15' M 6.30

33 Luka Klanac 15' F 6.20

34 Mario Tadić D

Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3

44

G 7.90

3 B. Goda 83' D 7.00

26 S. McKenna D 6.70

36 Sergi Domínguez D 7.60

15 N. Galešić D 6.90

8 M. Zajc M 6.50

27 J. Mišić 1 👟 M 7.90

7 L. Stojković 72' M 6.20

10 G. Vidović 61' M 6.20

9 D. Beljo 3 ⚽ F 9.60

71 M. Bakrar 61' M 6.30

Bench

11 A. Hoxha 29' F 6.70

21 M. Lisica 1 👟 29' F 6.70

14 M. Soldo 18' M 7.00

25 M. Valinčić 13' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

D. Beljo

F · Dinamo

9.60

3 ⚽

6 shots · 14 pass

E. Shabani

M · Vukovar

7.90

1 👟

· 34 pass

J. Mišić

M · Dinamo

7.90

1 👟

· 45 pass

G · Dinamo

7.90

· 21 pass

Sergi Domínguez

D · Dinamo

7.60

· 79 pass

J. Puljić

F · Vukovar

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 18 pass

Vukovar — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Marino Bulat	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	15	10%	—	—	—
K. Čabrajić	D	88	6.50	—	—	—	21	15%	—	—	—
J. Elez	D	90	5.30	1	—	—	34	23%	1	—	—
	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	25	18%	—	—	—
A. Bosec	D	75	5.60	—	—	—	16	7%	1	—	—
E. Shabani	M	90	7.90	—	1	—	34	27%	3	—	—
J. Gurlica	M	88	6.30	—	—	1	14	9%	—	1	—
L. Banovec	M	75	5.90	—	—	—	21	12%	2	—	—
R. Gonzales	M	90	6.20	—	—	2	23	16%	2	—	—
Š. Butić	M	82	6.20	—	—	2	10	6%	—	—	—
J. Puljić	F	90	7.30	1	—	3	18	14%	1	—	—
A. Jurilj	M	15	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
Luka Klanac	F	15	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Dinamo Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	21	15%	—	—	—
B. Goda	D	83	7.00	—	—	—	55	48%	2	—	—
S. McKenna	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	81	74%	—	—	—
Sergi Domínguez	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	79	72%	2	—	—
N. Galešić	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	43	28%	6	—	—
M. Zajc	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	54	43%	—	—	—
J. Mišić	M	90	7.90	—	1	—	45	37%	3	—	—
L. Stojković	M	72	6.20	—	—	1	29	21%	4	—	—
G. Vidović	M	61	6.20	—	—	2	22	19%	—	—	—
D. Beljo	F	90	9.60	3	—	6	14	11%	—	—	—
M. Bakrar	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	12	11%	1	—	—
A. Hoxha	F	29	6.70	—	—	1	11	7%	1	—	—
M. Lisica	F	29	6.70	—	1	—	7	7%	—	—	—
M. Soldo	M	18	7.00	—	—	1	15	13%	1	1	—
M. Valinčić	D	13	6.60	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—