← HNL
HNL · Regular Season - 31 April 22, 2026 17:30
Vukovar
#10 · 28 pts
1 – 2
Final score
HNK Gorica
#8 · 38 pts
J. Puljic 45'+4 (pen.)
19' (ast. I. Pozo) Z. Trontelj
(pen.) 66' A. Erceg

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Gorica a 37% win probability (draw 35%, Vukovar 27%). The final result was Vukovar 1–2 HNK Gorica. In 3 previous meetings, Vukovar have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for HNK Gorica.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
8
1.37
Actual xG
1.89
6
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
2
19
Tackles
28
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
ast. I. Pozo · Z. Trontelj⚽
K. Cabrajic
27'
M. Zivkovic
30'
↕ K. Cabrajic / K. Calhanoglu
32'
M. Tadic
41'
⚽J. Puljic (pen.)
45'+4
↕ M. Tadic / A. Bosec
46'
↕ L. Banovec / L. Kulusic
59'
E. Shabani
63'
66'
(pen.) A. Erceg⚽
↕ E. Shabani / P. Bugas
76'
↕ S. Butic / A. Jurilj
76'
81'
O. Bakic / B. Bogojevic ↕
R. Gonzalez
85'
85'
M. Cabraja
89'
T. Epailly / J. Prsir ↕
Pre-match prediction
27.34%
Vukovar
35.27%
X
37.39%
HNK ←
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Gorica) 37.39% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vukovar
0.84
1.37
+0.53
HNK
1.14
1.89
+0.75
HNK Gorica dominated by xG (1.89 vs 1.37). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
Vukovar Vukovar 4-2-3-1
1
M. Bulat G 7.20
20
K. Cabrajic 32' D 6.30
5
D 6.90
34
M. Tadic 45' D 6.20
14
M. Zivkovic D 6.00
77
E. Shabani 76' M 6.90
35
J. Gurlica M 7.00
28
L. Banovec 59' M 6.90
10 R. Gonzales R. Gonzales M 6.20
27
S. Butic 76' M 6.30
21 J. Puljić J. Puljić 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
8
A. Bosec 45' D 6.50
19
A. Jurilj 14' M 6.70
26
J. Elez D
33
L. Klanac F
11
L. Kulusic 31' F 6.60
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1
71
G 6.30
19 M. Čabraja M. Čabraja D 7.30
4
D 5.90
45 Stefan Perić Stefan Perić D 7.50
25 Bruno Bogojević Bruno Bogojević 81' M 7.20
36 Ante Kavelj Ante Kavelj M 6.90
8 Iker Pozo Iker Pozo 1 👟 M 8.90
22 Žan Trontelj Žan Trontelj 1 ⚽ M 7.30
24 Domagoj Pavičić Domagoj Pavičić F 7.20
10 J. Pršir J. Pršir 89' F 6.90
50 Ante Erceg Ante Erceg 1 ⚽ F 6.30
Bench
5 Mateo Leš Mateo Leš D
7 Ognjen Bakić Ognjen Bakić 9' M 6.70
64 Theo Epailly Theo Epailly 1' F
11 Wisdom Aondowase Sule Wisdom Aondowase Sule F
Best on the pitch
Iker Pozo
Iker Pozo
M · HNK
8.90
1 👟
1 shots · 48 pass
Stefan Perić
Stefan Perić
D · HNK
7.50
· 44 pass
Žan Trontelj
Žan Trontelj
M · HNK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
J. Puljić
J. Puljić
F · Vukovar
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
M. Čabraja
M. Čabraja
D · HNK
7.30
2 shots · 45 pass
M. Bulat
G · Vukovar
7.20
· 22 pass
Vukovar Vukovar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Bulat G 90 7.20 — — — 22 13% — — —
K. Cabrajic D 32 6.30 — — — 18 11% — 1 —
D 90 6.90 — — — 51 47% 3 — —
M. Tadic D 45 6.20 — — — 22 18% — 1 —
M. Zivkovic D 90 6.00 — — — 31 23% 2 1 —
E. Shabani M 76 6.90 — — 1 42 36% 1 1 —
J. Gurlica M 90 7.00 — — 1 39 30% 2 — —
L. Banovec M 59 6.90 — — — 15 13% 3 — —
R. Gonzales M 90 6.20 — — 2 31 23% — 1 —
S. Butic M 76 6.30 — — 1 8 6% — — —
J. Puljić F 90 7.30 1 — 1 27 19% 3 — —
A. Bosec D 45 6.50 — — — 16 11% 3 — —
A. Jurilj M 14 6.70 — — 1 2 — — — —
L. Kulusic F 31 6.60 — — — 3 2% 2 — —
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 26 13% — — —
M. Čabraja D 90 7.30 — — 2 45 37% 5 1 —
D 90 5.90 — — — 29 26% 1 — —
Stefan Perić D 90 7.50 — — — 44 35% 1 — —
Bruno Bogojević M 81 7.20 — — 4 13 9% — — —
Ante Kavelj M 90 6.90 — — — 28 23% 3 — —
Iker Pozo M 90 8.90 — 1 1 48 43% 5 — —
Žan Trontelj M 90 7.30 1 — 1 31 27% 1 — —
Domagoj Pavičić F 90 7.20 — — 1 40 35% 1 — —
J. Pršir F 89 6.90 — — 2 39 29% 6 — —
Ante Erceg F 90 6.30 1 — 3 35 28% 4 — —
Ognjen Bakić M 9 6.70 — — — 4 1% 1 — —
Theo Epailly F 1 — — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was Vukovar 1–2 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Vukovar win, 35% to a draw, and 37% to an HNK Gorica win.