J. Puljic
45'+4
(pen.)
19'
(ast. I. Pozo)
Z. Trontelj
(pen.)
66'
A. Erceg
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Gorica a 37% win probability (draw 35%, Vukovar 27%). The final result was Vukovar 1–2 HNK Gorica. In 3 previous meetings, Vukovar have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for HNK Gorica.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
8
1.37
Actual xG
1.89
6
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
2
19
Tackles
28
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
ast. I. Pozo ·
Z. Trontelj⚽
K. Cabrajic
27'
M. Zivkovic
30'
K. Cabrajic
/ K. Calhanoglu
32'
M. Tadic
41'
⚽J. Puljic
(pen.)
45'+4
M. Tadic
/ A. Bosec
46'
L. Banovec
/ L. Kulusic
59'
E. Shabani
63'
66'
(pen.)
A. Erceg⚽
E. Shabani
/ P. Bugas
76'
S. Butic
/ A. Jurilj
76'
81'
O. Bakic
/
B. Bogojevic
R. Gonzalez
85'
85'
M. Cabraja
89'
T. Epailly
/
J. Prsir
Pre-match prediction
27.34%
Vukovar
35.27%
X
37.39%
HNK ←
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Gorica)
37.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.84
1.37
+0.53
1.14
1.89
+0.75
HNK Gorica dominated by xG (1.89 vs 1.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Marino Bulat
G
Marino Bulat
G
20
Kristijan Čabrajić
32'
D
Kristijan Čabrajić
32'
D
5
D
34
Mario Tadić
45'
D
Mario Tadić
45'
D
14
Moreno Živković
D
Moreno Živković
D
77
Eniss Shabani
76'
M
Eniss Shabani
76'
M
35
Jakov Gurlica
M
Jakov Gurlica
M
28
Lovro Banovec
59'
M
Lovro Banovec
59'
M
10
R. Gonzales
M
R. Gonzales
M
27
Šimun Butić
76'
M
Šimun Butić
76'
M
21
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Jurilj
14'
M
8
Antonio Bosec
45'
D
Antonio Bosec
45'
D
26
J. Elez
D
11
L. Kulusic
31'
F
33
Luka Klanac
F
Luka Klanac
F
71
G
19
M. Čabraja
D
M. Čabraja
D
4
D
45
Stefan Perić
D
Stefan Perić
D
25
Bruno Bogojević
81'
M
Bruno Bogojević
81'
M
36
Ante Kavelj
M
Ante Kavelj
M
8
Iker Pozo
1 👟
M
Iker Pozo
1 👟
M
22
Žan Trontelj
1 ⚽
M
Žan Trontelj
1 ⚽
M
24
Domagoj Pavičić
F
Domagoj Pavičić
F
10
J. Pršir
89'
F
J. Pršir
89'
F
50
Ante Erceg
1 ⚽
F
Ante Erceg
1 ⚽
F
Bench
5
Mateo Leš
D
Mateo Leš
D
7
Ognjen Bakić
9'
M
Ognjen Bakić
9'
M
64
Theo Epailly
1'
F
Theo Epailly
1'
F
11
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
F
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
F
Best on the pitch
Iker Pozo
M · HNK
8.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
Stefan Perić
D · HNK
7.50
· 44 pass
Žan Trontelj
M · HNK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
J. Puljić
F · Vukovar
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
M. Čabraja
D · HNK
7.30
2 shots
· 45 pass
Marino Bulat
G · Vukovar
7.20
· 22 pass
Vukovar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino Bulat | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kristijan Čabrajić | D | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — | |
| Mario Tadić | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Moreno Živković | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Eniss Shabani | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jakov Gurlica | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Lovro Banovec | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Gonzales | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Šimun Butić | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Puljić | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Jurilj | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Bosec | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Kulusic | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
HNK Gorica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| M. Čabraja | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 37% | 5 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| Stefan Perić | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Bogojević | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ante Kavelj | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Iker Pozo | M | 90 | 8.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| Žan Trontelj | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Domagoj Pavičić | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pršir | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 29% | 6 | — | — |
| Ante Erceg | F | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Ognjen Bakić | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Theo Epailly | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was Vukovar 1–2 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Vukovar win, 35% to a draw, and 37% to an HNK Gorica win.