J. Puljic
45'+4
(pen.)
19'
(ast. I. Pozo)
Z. Trontelj
(pen.)
66'
A. Erceg
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Gorica a 37% win probability (draw 35%, Vukovar 27%). The final result was Vukovar 1–2 HNK Gorica. In 3 previous meetings, Vukovar have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for HNK Gorica.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
8
1.37
Actual xG
1.89
6
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
2
19
Tackles
28
5
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
ast. I. Pozo ·
Z. Trontelj⚽
K. Cabrajic
27'
M. Zivkovic
30'
K. Cabrajic
/ K. Calhanoglu
32'
M. Tadic
41'
⚽J. Puljic
(pen.)
45'+4
M. Tadic
/ A. Bosec
46'
L. Banovec
/ L. Kulusic
59'
E. Shabani
63'
66'
(pen.)
A. Erceg⚽
E. Shabani
/ P. Bugas
76'
S. Butic
/ A. Jurilj
76'
81'
O. Bakic
/
B. Bogojevic
R. Gonzalez
85'
85'
M. Cabraja
89'
T. Epailly
/
J. Prsir
Pre-match prediction
27.34%
Vukovar
35.27%
X
37.39%
HNK ←
we assigned to the actual result (HNK Gorica)
37.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.84
1.37
+0.53
1.14
1.89
+0.75
HNK Gorica dominated by xG (1.89 vs 1.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Marino Bulat
G
Marino Bulat
G
20
K. Čabrajić
32'
D
K. Čabrajić
32'
D
5
D
34
Mario Tadić
45'
D
Mario Tadić
45'
D
14
M. Živković
D
M. Živković
D
77
E. Shabani
76'
M
E. Shabani
76'
M
35
J. Gurlica
M
J. Gurlica
M
28
L. Banovec
59'
M
L. Banovec
59'
M
10
R. Gonzales
M
R. Gonzales
M
27
Š. Butić
76'
M
21
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
8
A. Bosec
45'
D
19
A. Jurilj
14'
M
26
J. Elez
D
11
Lovre Kulušić
31'
F
Lovre Kulušić
31'
F
33
Luka Klanac
F
Luka Klanac
F
71
G
19
M. Čabraja
D
M. Čabraja
D
4
D
45
S. Perić
D
S. Perić
D
25
B. Bogojević
81'
M
B. Bogojević
81'
M
36
Ante Kavelj
M
Ante Kavelj
M
8
Iker Pozo
1 👟
M
Iker Pozo
1 👟
M
22
Z. Trontelj
1 ⚽
M
24
D. Pavičić
F
D. Pavičić
F
10
J. Pršir
89'
F
J. Pršir
89'
F
50
A. Erceg
1 ⚽
F
A. Erceg
1 ⚽
F
Bench
5
Mateo Leš
D
Mateo Leš
D
7
O. Bakić
9'
M
O. Bakić
9'
M
64
T. Epailly
1'
F
T. Epailly
1'
F
11
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
F
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
F
Best on the pitch
Iker Pozo
M · HNK
8.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
S. Perić
D · HNK
7.50
· 44 pass
Z. Trontelj
M · HNK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
J. Puljić
F · Vukovar
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
M. Čabraja
D · HNK
7.30
2 shots
· 45 pass
Marino Bulat
G · Vukovar
7.20
· 22 pass
Vukovar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino Bulat | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| K. Čabrajić | D | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — | |
| Mario Tadić | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Živković | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Shabani | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Gurlica | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Banovec | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Gonzales | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Š. Butić | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Puljić | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Bosec | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Jurilj | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Lovre Kulušić | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
HNK Gorica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| M. Čabraja | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 37% | 5 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Perić | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Bogojević | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ante Kavelj | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Iker Pozo | M | 90 | 8.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| Z. Trontelj | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Pavičić | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pršir | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 29% | 6 | — | — |
| A. Erceg | F | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Bakić | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Epailly | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was Vukovar 1–2 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before Vukovar vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Vukovar win, 35% to a draw, and 37% to an HNK Gorica win.