Skip to main content
← Ekstraklasa

Wisla Plock - Lech Poznan

Ekstraklasa December 17, 2026 18:00
Wisla Plock
#11 · 11 pts
vs
Lech Poznan
#3 · 19 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.76%
Win
Wisla Plock
30.01%
Draw
39.24%
Win
Lech Poznan
1.34
Expected xG
2.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.78%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 30%
2 39%
Double Chance
1X 61%
X2 69%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
✓ 84.6% hit rate (78 picks)
Over 2.5 53%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lech Poznan a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Wisla Plock. Expected goals are 1.3 for Wisla Plock and 2.3 for Lech Poznan (total 3.6), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.78% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Wisla Plock have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Lech Poznan.

Season Stats

Wisla Plock
5W 3D 7L
Lech Poznan
10W 4D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.2
1.6
Conceded
1.0
4.3
Shots OT
6.5
6.3
Corners
7.0
47%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
73%
40%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Ekstraklasa. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Wisla Plock
3W 1D 6L · at home
Lech Poznan
7W 1D 2L · away
0.6
gls/g
1.6
1.5
Conceded
1.0
30%
Win %
70%
40%
Win or Draw
80%
60%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
20%
20%
BTTS
70%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
70%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Wisla Plock Lech Poznan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6% 6.1% 7.0% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.3% 7.1% 4.1% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.4% 6.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.3%
3 1.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
W Zaglebie Lubin 0–2
W Cracovia Krakow 3–1
D Pogon Szczecin 1–1
L Korona Kielce 0–2
L GKS Katowice 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
W Radomiak Radom 5–1
L Gornik Zabrze 2–1
W Raków Częstochowa 1–0
W Jagiellonia 2–1
W Widzew Łódź 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
Attack
42
Defence
57
Form
37
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
Attack
47
Defence
67
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Wisla Plock
2
Draw
0
Lech Poznan
23 May 2026 Ekstraklasa 2–2
30 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 9 22
2 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 9 19
3 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 8 19
4 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 9 17
5 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 8 15
6 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 9 15
7 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 9 15
8 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 9 13
9 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 8 12
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 8 12
11 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 8 11
12 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 9 9
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 9 8
14 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 9 8
15 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 9 6
16 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 9 6
17 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 8 5
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 9 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?
The model gives Wisla Plock a 30% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 39% for an Lech Poznan win.
How many goals are expected in Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?
Expected goals: Wisla Plock 1.3, Lech Poznan 2.3 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Wisla Plock vs Lech Poznan?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.78%.