← Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 16:30
Arouca
#10 · 39 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Santa Clara
#12 · 36 pts
H. Lee (ast. Tiago Esgaio) 8'
Tiago Esgaio (ast. T. Fukui) 84'
10' (ast. Serginho) Gabriel Silva
90'+5 Elias Manoel

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arouca a 39% win probability (draw 34%, Santa Clara 26%). The final result was Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara. In 1 previous meetings, Arouca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santa Clara.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
0.78
Actual xG
1.86
1
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
6
8
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Sanchez
5'
⚽H. Lee · ast. Tiago Esgaio
8'
10'
ast. Serginho · Gabriel Silva⚽
22'
Paulo Victor / Guilherme Romao ↕
30'
Serginho
44'
J. Tavares
H. Lee
45'+3
V. Seabra
45'
↕ J. Sanchez / M. Rocha
46'
59'
Welinton Torrao / Brenner ↕
↕ B. Kuipers / A. Dante
64'
H. Lee
68'
H. Lee
68'
↕ I. Barbero / M. Flores
75'
↕ N. Djouahra / P. Gozalbez
75'
76'
Elias Manoel / G. Paciencia ↕
76'
Vinicius Lopes / Gustavo Klismahn ↕
77'
Lucas Soares / Diogo Calila ↕
⚽Tiago Esgaio · ast. T. Fukui
84'
↕ T. Fukui / D. Monteiro
85'
89'
F. Venancio
90'+5
Elias Manoel⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.05%
Arouca
34.26%
X ←
26.69%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 34.26% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Arouca
0.87
0.78
-0.09
Santa
0.66
1.86
+1.2
Santa Clara dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.78). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Arouca Arouca 4-2-3-1
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 6.90
25 Bas Kuipers Bas Kuipers 64' D 6.30
3 José Fontán José Fontán D 6.30
15 Javi Sánchez Javi Sánchez 45' D 6.60
28 Tiago Esgaio Tiago Esgaio 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.70
22 Espen Van Ee Espen Van Ee M 6.30
21 Taichi Fukui Taichi Fukui 1 👟 85' M 7.30
7 Naïs Djouahra Naïs Djouahra 76' M 6.90
14
H. Lee 1 ⚽ 66' M 6.00
19 A. Trezza A. Trezza M 6.00
17 Barbero Barbero 75' F 6.30
Bench
46 Mateo Flores Mateo Flores 15' M 6.20
4
Matías Rocha 45' D 7.30
10 Pablo Gozálbez Pablo Gozálbez 14' M 6.20
89
Pedro Santos M
Santa Clara Santa Clara 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.50
5 Guilherme Romão Guilherme Romão 22' D 6.50
21 Frederico Venâncio Frederico Venâncio D 6.60
23 Sidney Lima Sidney Lima D 7.20
2 Diogo Calila Diogo Calila 76' D 6.20
35 Serginho Serginho 1 👟 M 7.30
65 José Tavares José Tavares M 6.90
10 Gabriel Silva Gabriel Silva 1 ⚽ M 8.00
77 Gustavo Klismahn Gustavo Klismahn 76' M 6.30
11
Brenner 59' M 6.50
39 Gonçalo Paciência Gonçalo Paciência 76' F 6.60
Bench
7 Elias Manoel Elias Manoel 1 ⚽ 14' F 6.90
42 Lucas Soares Lucas Soares 14' D 6.70
70 Vinícius Lopes Vinícius Lopes 14' F 6.70
49 Welinton Torrao Welinton Torrao 31' F 7.20
Best on the pitch
Tiago Esgaio
Tiago Esgaio
D · Arouca
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva
M · Santa
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Matías Rocha
D · Arouca
7.30
· 20 pass
Serginho
Serginho
M · Santa
7.30
1 👟
· 54 pass
Taichi Fukui
Taichi Fukui
M · Arouca
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 64 pass
Welinton Torrao
Welinton Torrao
F · Santa
7.20
· 13 pass
Arouca Arouca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 90 6.90 — — — 28 21% — — —
Bas Kuipers D 64 6.30 — — — 18 18% 1 — —
José Fontán D 90 6.30 — — — 85 80% — — —
Javi Sánchez D 45 6.60 — — — 52 49% — 1 —
Tiago Esgaio D 90 8.70 1 1 2 29 23% 1 — —
Espen Van Ee M 90 6.30 — — 3 34 30% 2 — —
Taichi Fukui M 85 7.30 — 1 1 64 61% 1 — —
Naïs Djouahra M 76 6.90 — — — 33 26% 1 — —
H. Lee M 66 6.00 1 — 1 27 24% — 2 1
A. Trezza M 90 6.00 — — — 12 8% 2 — —
Barbero F 75 6.30 — — 1 12 11% — — —
Mateo Flores M 15 6.20 — — — 2 — — — —
Matías Rocha D 45 7.30 — — — 20 18% — — —
Pablo Gozálbez M 14 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
Santa Clara Santa Clara — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 18 12% — — —
Guilherme Romão D 22 6.50 — — — 10 9% — — —
Frederico Venâncio D 90 6.60 — — 1 65 62% 2 1 —
Sidney Lima D 90 7.20 — — — 65 63% — — —
Diogo Calila D 76 6.20 — — — 20 12% — — —
Serginho M 90 7.30 — 1 — 54 50% 1 1 —
José Tavares M 90 6.90 — — 3 38 34% 2 1 —
Gabriel Silva M 90 8.00 1 — 2 22 18% — — —
Gustavo Klismahn M 76 6.30 — — — 21 18% — — —
Brenner M 59 6.50 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
Gonçalo Paciência F 76 6.60 — — 1 15 14% — — —
Elias Manoel F 14 6.90 1 — 2 2 2% — — —
Lucas Soares D 14 6.70 — — — 17 15% — — —
Vinícius Lopes F 14 6.70 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Welinton Torrao F 31 7.20 — — — 13 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arouca vs Santa Clara?
The final score was Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara.
What did the model predict before Arouca vs Santa Clara?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Arouca win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Santa Clara win.