H. Lee
(ast. Tiago Esgaio)
8'
Tiago Esgaio
(ast. T. Fukui)
84'
10'
(ast. Serginho)
Gabriel Silva
90'+5
Elias Manoel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arouca a 39% win probability (draw 34%, Santa Clara 26%). The final result was Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara. In 2 previous meetings, Arouca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Santa Clara.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
0.78
Actual xG
1.86
1
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
6
8
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Sanchez
5'
⚽H. Lee
· ast. Tiago Esgaio
8'
10'
ast. Serginho ·
Gabriel Silva⚽
22'
Paulo Victor
/
Guilherme Romao
30'
Serginho
44'
J. Tavares
H. Lee
45'+3
V. Seabra
45'
J. Sanchez
/ M. Rocha
46'
59'
Welinton Torrao
/
Brenner
B. Kuipers
/ A. Dante
64'
H. Lee
68'
H. Lee
68'
I. Barbero
/ M. Flores
75'
N. Djouahra
/ P. Gozalbez
75'
76'
Elias Manoel
/
G. Paciencia
76'
Vinicius Lopes
/
Gustavo Klismahn
77'
Lucas Soares
/
Diogo Calila
⚽Tiago Esgaio
· ast. T. Fukui
84'
T. Fukui
/ D. Monteiro
85'
89'
F. Venancio
90'+5
Elias Manoel⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.05%
Arouca
34.26%
X ←
26.69%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.87
0.78
-0.09
0.66
1.86
+1.2
Santa Clara dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
G
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
G
25
Bas Kuipers
64'
D
Bas Kuipers
64'
D
3
José Fontán
D
José Fontán
D
15
Javi Sánchez
45'
D
Javi Sánchez
45'
D
28
Tiago Esgaio
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Tiago Esgaio
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
22
Espen Van Ee
M
Espen Van Ee
M
21
Taichi Fukui
1 👟
85'
M
Taichi Fukui
1 👟
85'
M
7
Naïs Djouahra
76'
M
Naïs Djouahra
76'
M
14
Lee Hyun-Ju
1 ⚽
66'
M
Lee Hyun-Ju
1 ⚽
66'
M
19
A. Trezza
M
A. Trezza
M
17
Barbero
75'
F
Barbero
75'
F
Bench
46
Mateo Flores
15'
M
Mateo Flores
15'
M
4
M. Rocha
45'
D
M. Rocha
45'
D
10
Pablo Gozálbez
14'
M
Pablo Gozálbez
14'
M
89
Pedro Santos
M
Pedro Santos
M
1
G
5
Guilherme Romão
22'
D
Guilherme Romão
22'
D
21
Frederico Venâncio
D
Frederico Venâncio
D
23
Sidney Lima
D
Sidney Lima
D
2
Diogo Calila
76'
D
Diogo Calila
76'
D
35
Serginho
1 👟
M
65
José Tavares
M
José Tavares
M
10
Gabriel Silva
1 ⚽
M
77
Gustavo Klismahn
76'
M
11
Brenner
59'
M
39
Gonçalo Paciência
76'
F
Gonçalo Paciência
76'
F
Bench
7
Elias Manoel
1 ⚽
14'
F
Elias Manoel
1 ⚽
14'
F
42
Lucas Soares
14'
D
Lucas Soares
14'
D
70
Vinícius Lopes
14'
F
Vinícius Lopes
14'
F
49
Welinton Torrao
31'
F
Welinton Torrao
31'
F
Best on the pitch
Tiago Esgaio
D · Arouca
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 29 pass
Gabriel Silva
M · Santa
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
M. Rocha
D · Arouca
7.30
· 20 pass
Serginho
M · Santa
7.30
1 👟
· 54 pass
Taichi Fukui
M · Arouca
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 64 pass
Welinton Torrao
F · Santa
7.20
· 13 pass
Arouca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio de Arruabarrena | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Bas Kuipers | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| José Fontán | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 85 | 80% | — | — | — |
| Javi Sánchez | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Esgaio | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Espen Van Ee | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Taichi Fukui | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 64 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Naïs Djouahra | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Hyun-Ju | M | 66 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | — | 2 | 1 |
| A. Trezza | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Barbero | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Flores | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Rocha | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Gozálbez | M | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Santa Clara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Frederico Venâncio | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 62% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sidney Lima | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 63% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Calila | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Serginho | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 54 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| José Tavares | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Silva | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Klismahn | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Brenner | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | F | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Elias Manoel | F | 14 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Welinton Torrao | F | 31 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Arouca vs Santa Clara?
The final score was Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara.
What did the model predict before Arouca vs Santa Clara?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Arouca win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Santa Clara win.