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Pro League · Relegation Group - 33 April 19, 2026 18:00
Dender
#4 · 25 pts
1 – 4
Final score
Cercle Brugge
#2 · 41 pts
N. Mbamba (ast. A. Jahanbakhsh) 45'+2
2' (ast. Nazinho) G. Kondo
46' I. Diaby
54' (ast. Nazinho) S. Ngoura
61' (ast. G. Kondo) E. Diop

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cercle Brugge a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Dender 22%). The final result was Dender 1–4 Cercle Brugge. In 3 previous meetings, Dender have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Cercle Brugge.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
11
0.78
Actual xG
2.98
5
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
4
15
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
2'
ast. Nazinho · G. Kondo⚽
A. Jahanbakhsh
40'
M. Sambu
41'
⚽N. Mbamba · ast. A. Jahanbakhsh
45'+2
46'
I. Diaby⚽
54'
ast. Nazinho · S. Ngoura⚽
↕ D. Hrncar / L. De Fougerolles
60'
↕ B. De Kerf / R. Oratmangoen
60'
61'
ast. G. Kondo · E. Diop⚽
66'
O. Adewumi / D. Vanzeir ↕
66'
H. Jurado / P. Gerkens ↕
66'
O. Diakite / S. Ngoura ↕
↕ G. Gallon / G. Dietsch
67'
M. Viltard
67'
↕ D. Toshevski / B. Nsimba
72'
↕ B. Goncalves / N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
73'
74'
R. Caicedo / I. Diakite ↕
80'
N. De Wilde / H. van der Bruggen ↕
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
22.41%
Dender
25.32%
X
52.27%
Cercle ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cercle Brugge) 52.27% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dender
0.82
0.78
-0.04
Cercle
1.64
2.98
+1.34
Cercle Brugge dominated by xG (2.98 vs 0.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
Dender Dender 4-2-3-1
93
G. Gallon 66' G 7.20
7
B. Goncalves 72' D 5.70
5
L. Marijnissen 84' D 6.20
6
Bo De Kerf 60' D 5.30
70
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ 84' D 6.00
24
M. Viltard 84' M 6.50
18
N. Rodes 84' M 6.90
20
David Hrnčár 60' M 6.50
17
N. Mbamba 1 ⚽ 84' M 8.00
27
A. Jahanbakhsh 1 👟 84' M 6.50
9
David Toshevski 72' F 6.60
Bench
77
B. Nsimba 12' F 6.50
23
D. Acquah M
15
K. Koton M
44
L. De Fougerolles 24' D 6.30
90
M. Berte F
67
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui 12' D 6.70
11
R. Oratmangoen 24' F 6.30
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-5-2
1
84' G 6.30
12
K. Valy 84' D 6.70
24
G. Kondo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 84' D 8.60
19
I. Diaby 1 ⚽ 84' D 7.30
20
Flávio Nazinho 2 👟 84' M 8.00
37
Edan Diop 1 ⚽ 84' M 6.70
28
Hannes Van Der Bruggen 80' M 6.60
18
P. Gerkens 66' M 6.20
2
I. Diakite 74' M 6.50
9
S. Ngoura 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.90
13
D. Vanzeir 66' F 6.90
Bench
23
H. Jurado 18' M 6.70
6
L. Agyekum M
17
O. Adewumi 18' F 6.30
10
O. Diakite 18' F 6.20
33
R. Caicedo 10' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
G. Kondo
D · Cercle
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 36 pass
Flávio Nazinho
M · Cercle
8.00
2 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
N. Mbamba
M · Dender
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
S. Ngoura
F · Cercle
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
I. Diaby
D · Cercle
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
G. Gallon
G · Dender
7.20
· 32 pass
Dender Dender — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Gallon G 66 7.20 — — — 32 23% — — —
B. Goncalves D 72 5.70 — — — 28 18% 1 — —
L. Marijnissen D 84 6.20 — — — 58 46% 2 — —
Bo De Kerf D 60 5.30 — — — 33 19% 1 — —
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​ D 84 6.00 — — — 30 26% 3 1 —
M. Viltard M 84 6.50 — — — 54 41% 1 1 —
N. Rodes M 84 6.90 — — — 44 32% 4 — —
David Hrnčár M 60 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
N. Mbamba M 84 8.00 1 — 1 29 23% 2 — —
A. Jahanbakhsh M 84 6.50 — 1 1 30 19% — 1 —
David Toshevski F 72 6.60 — — 2 14 12% 1 — —
B. Nsimba F 12 6.50 — — 1 3 1% — — —
L. De Fougerolles D 24 6.30 — — — 16 15% — — —
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui D 12 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
R. Oratmangoen F 24 6.30 — — — 13 9% — — —
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 84 6.30 — — — 31 16% — — —
K. Valy D 84 6.70 — — — 22 19% 1 — —
G. Kondo D 84 8.60 1 1 2 36 28% 1 — —
I. Diaby D 84 7.30 1 — 2 26 20% 2 — —
Flávio Nazinho M 84 8.00 — 2 1 41 30% 1 — —
Edan Diop M 84 6.70 1 — 3 31 24% 2 — —
Hannes Van Der Bruggen M 80 6.60 — — — 26 21% 4 — —
P. Gerkens M 66 6.20 — — 1 13 7% — — —
I. Diakite M 74 6.50 — — — 15 10% 1 — —
S. Ngoura F 66 7.90 1 — 4 13 9% — — —
D. Vanzeir F 66 6.90 — — 1 13 9% — — —
H. Jurado M 18 6.70 — — — 8 5% — — —
O. Adewumi F 18 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
O. Diakite F 18 6.20 — — 1 4 2% — — —
R. Caicedo D 10 6.20 — — — 3 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dender vs Cercle Brugge?
The final score was Dender 1–4 Cercle Brugge.
What did the model predict before Dender vs Cercle Brugge?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Dender win, 25% to a draw, and 52% to an Cercle Brugge win.