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Pro League · Relegation Group - 33 April 19, 2026 16:00 Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Dender
1 – 4
Final score
Cercle Brugge
#17 · 3 pts
N. Mbamba (ast. A. Jahanbakhsh) 45'+2
2' (ast. Nazinho) G. Kondo
46' I. Diaby
54' (ast. Nazinho) S. Ngoura
61' (ast. G. Kondo) E. Diop
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cercle Brugge a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Dender 22%). The final result was Dender 1–4 Cercle Brugge. In 3 previous meetings, Dender have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Cercle Brugge.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
11
0.78
Actual xG
2.98
5
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
4
15
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
2'
ast. Nazinho · G. Kondo⚽
A. Jahanbakhsh
40'
M. Sambu
41'
⚽N. Mbamba · ast. A. Jahanbakhsh
45'+2
46'
I. Diaby⚽
54'
ast. Nazinho · S. Ngoura⚽
↕ D. Hrncar / L. De Fougerolles
60'
↕ B. De Kerf / R. Oratmangoen
60'
61'
ast. G. Kondo · E. Diop⚽
66'
O. Adewumi / D. Vanzeir ↕
66'
H. Jurado / P. Gerkens ↕
66'
O. Diakite / S. Ngoura ↕
↕ G. Gallon / G. Dietsch
67'
M. Viltard
67'
↕ D. Toshevski / B. Nsimba
72'
↕ B. Goncalves / N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
73'
74'
R. Caicedo / I. Diakite ↕
80'
N. De Wilde / H. van der Bruggen ↕
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
22.41%
Dender
25.32%
X
52.27%
Cercle ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cercle Brugge) 52.27% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dender
0.82
0.78
-0.04
Cercle
1.64
2.98
+1.34
Cercle Brugge dominated by xG (2.98 vs 0.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 7 19
2 Gent Gent 7 19
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 7 18
4 Charleroi Charleroi 7 18
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 7 13
6 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 7 11
7 Standard Liege Standard Liege 7 11
8 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 7 10
9 SK Beveren SK Beveren 7 9
10 Genk Genk 7 9
11 St. Truiden St. Truiden 7 8
12 Lommel United Lommel United 7 8
13 Antwerp Antwerp 7 7
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 7 4
15 OH Leuven OH Leuven 7 4
16 Kortrijk Kortrijk 7 3
17 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 7 3
18 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 7 3
Lineups
Dender Dender 4-2-3-1
93 G. Gallon G. Gallon 66' G 7.20
7 Bryan Goncalves Bryan Goncalves 72' D 5.70
5 L. Marijnissen L. Marijnissen 84' D 6.20
6 Bo De Kerf Bo De Kerf 60' D 5.30
70 M. Sambu M. Sambu 84' D 6.00
24 M. Viltard M. Viltard 84' M 6.50
18 N. Rôdes N. Rôdes 84' M 6.90
20
David Hrnčár 60' M 6.50
17 N. Mbamba N. Mbamba 1 ⚽ 84' M 8.00
27 A. Jahanbakhsh A. Jahanbakhsh 1 👟 84' M 6.50
9 D. Toševski D. Toševski 72' F 6.60
Bench
77 B. Nsimba B. Nsimba 12' F 6.50
23 Desmond Acquah Desmond Acquah M
15 K. Koton K. Koton M
44 Luc De Fougerolles Luc De Fougerolles 24' D 6.30
90 M. Berte M. Berte F
67 Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui 12' D 6.70
11
Ragnar Oratmangoen 24' F 6.30
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-5-2
1
84' G 6.30
12 V. Konaté V. Konaté 84' D 6.70
24 G. Kondo G. Kondo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 84' D 8.60
19 Makaya Ibrahima Diaby Makaya Ibrahima Diaby 1 ⚽ 84' D 7.30
20 Flávio Nazinho Flávio Nazinho 2 👟 84' M 8.00
37 E. Diop E. Diop 1 ⚽ 84' M 6.70
28 H. Van der Bruggen H. Van der Bruggen 80' M 6.60
18
P. Gerkens 66' M 6.20
2 I. Diakité I. Diakité 74' M 6.50
9 S. Ngoura S. Ngoura 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.90
13 D. Vanzeir D. Vanzeir 66' F 6.90
Bench
23 H. Jurado H. Jurado 18' M 6.70
6 Lawrence Agyekum Lawrence Agyekum M
17 O. Adewumi O. Adewumi 18' F 6.30
10 O. Diakité O. Diakité 18' F 6.20
33 Royer Caicedo Royer Caicedo 10' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
G. Kondo
G. Kondo
D · Cercle
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 36 pass
Flávio Nazinho
Flávio Nazinho
M · Cercle
8.00
2 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
N. Mbamba
N. Mbamba
M · Dender
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
S. Ngoura
S. Ngoura
F · Cercle
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
D · Cercle
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
G. Gallon
G. Gallon
G · Dender
7.20
· 32 pass
Dender Dender — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Gallon G 66 7.20 — — — 32 23% — — —
Bryan Goncalves D 72 5.70 — — — 28 18% 1 — —
L. Marijnissen D 84 6.20 — — — 58 46% 2 — —
Bo De Kerf D 60 5.30 — — — 33 19% 1 — —
M. Sambu D 84 6.00 — — — 30 26% 3 1 —
M. Viltard M 84 6.50 — — — 54 41% 1 1 —
N. Rôdes M 84 6.90 — — — 44 32% 4 — —
David Hrnčár M 60 6.50 — — — 10 6% — — —
N. Mbamba M 84 8.00 1 — 1 29 23% 2 — —
A. Jahanbakhsh M 84 6.50 — 1 1 30 19% — 1 —
D. Toševski F 72 6.60 — — 2 14 12% 1 — —
B. Nsimba F 12 6.50 — — 1 3 1% — — —
Luc De Fougerolles D 24 6.30 — — — 16 15% — — —
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui D 12 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
Ragnar Oratmangoen F 24 6.30 — — — 13 9% — — —
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 84 6.30 — — — 31 16% — — —
V. Konaté D 84 6.70 — — — 22 19% 1 — —
G. Kondo D 84 8.60 1 1 2 36 28% 1 — —
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby D 84 7.30 1 — 2 26 20% 2 — —
Flávio Nazinho M 84 8.00 — 2 1 41 30% 1 — —
E. Diop M 84 6.70 1 — 3 31 24% 2 — —
H. Van der Bruggen M 80 6.60 — — — 26 21% 4 — —
P. Gerkens M 66 6.20 — — 1 13 7% — — —
I. Diakité M 74 6.50 — — — 15 10% 1 — —
S. Ngoura F 66 7.90 1 — 4 13 9% — — —
D. Vanzeir F 66 6.90 — — 1 13 9% — — —
H. Jurado M 18 6.70 — — — 8 5% — — —
O. Adewumi F 18 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
O. Diakité F 18 6.20 — — 1 4 2% — — —
Royer Caicedo D 10 6.20 — — — 3 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dender vs Cercle Brugge?
The final score was Dender 1–4 Cercle Brugge.
What did the model predict before Dender vs Cercle Brugge?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Dender win, 25% to a draw, and 52% to an Cercle Brugge win.