Alanyaspor 2–3 Samsunspor — pre-match prediction — Süper Lig — April 27, 2026

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Süper Lig · Regular Season - 31 April 27, 2026 18:00

Alanyaspor

#10 · 37 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Samsunspor

#7 · 48 pts

G. Yalcin 90'+6

M. Elia (ast. Ruan) 90'+7

37' (ast. A. B. Diabbate) E. Tavsan

39' (ast. Marius) O. Ntcham

90'+1 (ast. C. Holse) Marius

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alanyaspor a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Samsunspor 33%). The final result was Alanyaspor 2–3 Samsunspor. In 1 previous meetings, Alanyaspor have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Samsunspor.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.10

Actual xG

1.54

Saves

48%

Possession

52%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

17'

E. Tavsan

S. Mounie

23'

37'

ast. A. B. Diabbate · E. Tavsan⚽

39'

ast. Marius · O. Ntcham⚽

45'

A. B. Diabbate

↕ I. Kaya / M. Elia

46'

↕ U. Akdag / B. Mogultay

46'

N. Lima

48'

57'

L. Satka / Y. E. Cift ↕

57'

R. Van Drongelen / A. B. Diabbate ↕

↕ S. Mounie / G. Yalcin

68'

↕ F. Aksoy / I. Celik

69'

72'

A. Makoumbou / O. Ntcham ↕

↕ Hwang Ui-Jo / E. Keskin

87'

↕ Maestro / G. Makouta

87'

89'

S. Gonul

90'+1

ast. C. Holse · Marius⚽

⚽G. Yalcin

90'+6

⚽M. Elia · ast. Ruan

90'+7

90'

E. Albak / J. Mendes ↕

90'

T. Coulibaly / E. Tavsan ↕

Pre-match prediction

35.12%

Alanyaspor

31.24%

33.64%

Samsunspor ←

we assigned to the actual result (Samsunspor) 33.64% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Alanyaspor

1.22

1.10

-0.12

Samsunspor

1.33

1.54

+0.21

Samsunspor dominated by xG (1.54 vs 1.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Galatasaray	33	77
2	Fenerbahçe	33	73
3	Trabzonspor	33	69
4	Beşiktaş	33	59
5	Göztepe	33	55
6	Başakşehir	33	54
7	Samsunspor	33	48
8	Rizespor	33	40
9	Konyaspor	33	40
10	Alanyaspor	33	37
11	Kocaelispor	33	37
12	Gaziantep FK	33	37
13	Eyüpspor	33	32
14	Kasımpaşa	33	32
15	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	33	31
16	Antalyaspor	33	29
17	Fatih Karagümrük	33	27
18	Kayserispor	33	27

Lineups

Alanyaspor 3-4-3

Paulo Victor G 6.30

U. Akdag 45' D 6.20

N. Lima D 6.50

F. Aksoy 69' D 6.90

Ruan 1 👟 M 6.30

N. Janvier M 7.50

Maestro 87' M 7.20

F. Hadergjonaj M 6.90

Hwang Ui-Jo 87' F 6.20

S. Mounie 68' F 6.90

Ibrahim Kaya 45' F 6.60

Bench

Bruno Viana D

Efecan Karaca M

E. Keskin 11' M 6.50

G. Makouta 11' M 6.50

G. Yalcin 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.60

M. Elia 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.20

Samsunspor 3-4-2-1

G 7.30

A. B. Diabbate 1 👟 57' D 6.90

Y. E. Cift 57' D 7.00

D 6.50

S. Gonul M 6.90

O. Ntcham 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.60

Y. Kayan M 6.50

J. Mendes 89' M 7.90

C. Holse 1 👟 F 6.60

E. Tavsan 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90

Marius 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.30

Bench

A. Makoumbou 18' M 6.20

L. Satka 33' D 6.50

L. Tomasson D

R. Van Drongelen 33' D 6.00

T. Coulibaly 8' F 6.30

Z. Yavru D

Best on the pitch

Marius

F · Samsunspor

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 15 pass

J. Mendes

M · Samsunspor

7.90

· 27 pass

E. Tavsan

F · Samsunspor

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 16 pass

O. Ntcham

M · Samsunspor

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 55 pass

G. Yalcin

F · Alanyaspor

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 11 pass

N. Janvier

M · Alanyaspor

7.50

2 shots · 61 pass

Alanyaspor — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Paulo Victor	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	37	23%	—	—	—
U. Akdag	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	24	19%	3	—	—
N. Lima	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	36	33%	—	1	—
F. Aksoy	D	69	6.90	—	—	1	29	28%	2	—	—
Ruan	M	90	6.30	—	1	1	24	23%	—	—	—
N. Janvier	M	90	7.50	—	—	2	61	54%	1	—	—
Maestro	M	87	7.20	—	—	—	42	41%	2	—	—
F. Hadergjonaj	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	28	21%	—	—	—
Hwang Ui-Jo	F	87	6.20	—	—	1	23	20%	1	—	—
S. Mounie	F	68	6.90	—	—	3	17	14%	—	1	—
Ibrahim Kaya	F	45	6.60	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—
E. Keskin	M	11	6.50	—	—	1	3	2%	—	—	—
G. Makouta	M	11	6.50	—	—	—	8	8%	1	—	—
G. Yalcin	F	22	7.60	1	—	1	11	5%	—	—	—
M. Elia	F	45	7.20	1	—	2	7	5%	—	—	—

Samsunspor — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	43	27%	—	—	—
A. B. Diabbate	D	57	6.90	—	1	—	44	38%	1	1	—
Y. E. Cift	D	57	7.00	—	—	—	35	31%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	38	33%	3	—	—
S. Gonul	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	37	30%	4	1	—
O. Ntcham	M	72	7.60	1	—	1	55	51%	—	—	—
Y. Kayan	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	38	33%	2	—	—
J. Mendes	M	89	7.90	—	—	—	27	25%	2	—	—
C. Holse	F	90	6.60	—	1	1	35	31%	3	—	—
E. Tavsan	F	89	7.90	1	—	2	16	14%	4	1	—
Marius	F	90	8.30	1	1	3	15	10%	—	—	—
A. Makoumbou	M	18	6.20	—	—	—	10	6%	1	—	—
L. Satka	D	33	6.50	—	—	—	10	8%	1	—	—
R. Van Drongelen	D	33	6.00	—	—	—	19	11%	—	—	—
T. Coulibaly	F	8	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?

The final score was Alanyaspor 2–3 Samsunspor.

What did the model predict before Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Alanyaspor win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Samsunspor win.