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#10 · 8 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#5 · 11 pts
Kaiky Naves (ast. Nabil Touaizi) 9'
Marko Milovanović (ast. Chiquinho) 71'
49' (ast. Bas Kuipers) Espen Van Ee
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alverca a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Arouca 27%). The final result was Alverca 2–1 Arouca. In 1 previous meetings, Alverca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arouca.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
3
1.06
Actual xG
0.88
1
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
6
Corners
3
6
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
⚽Kaiky Naves · ast. Nabil Touaizi
9'
35'
Tiago Esgaio
49'
ast. Bas Kuipers · Espen Van Ee⚽
60'
Alfonso Trezza / Pablo Gozálbez ↕
61'
Jose Fontán
67'
Matías Rocha
↕ Sandro Lima / Marko Milovanović
68'
↕ Sergi Gomez / Steven Baseya
68'
70'
Espen Van Ee
⚽Marko Milovanović · ast. Chiquinho
71'
75'
Pedro Santos / Espen Van Ee ↕
75'
Mateo Flores / Hyun-ju Lee ↕
↕ Figueiredo / Davy Gui
82'
83'
Brian Mansilla / Taichi Fukui ↕
83'
Fally Mayulu / Matías Rocha ↕
89'
Alfonso Trezza
↕ Chiquinho / Diogo Spencer
90'
↕ Rhaldney / Vasco Moreira
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.48%
Alverca ←
27.62%
X
27.9%
Arouca
we assigned to the actual result (Alverca) 44.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alverca
1.35
1.06
-0.29
Arouca
1.00
0.88
-0.12
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 7 21
2 Benfica Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 7 15
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 7 15
5 Arouca Arouca 7 11
6 SC Braga SC Braga 6 11
7 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 7 11
8 Estrela Estrela 7 10
9 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 6 8
10 Alverca Alverca 7 8
11 Maritimo Maritimo 7 8
12 Moreirense Moreirense 7 8
13 Famalicao Famalicao 7 7
14 Vitória SC Vitória SC 7 5
15 Nacional Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 7 4
17 Casa Pia Casa Pia 7 4
18 Estoril Estoril 7 2
Lineups
Alverca Alverca 3-4-2-1
31
G 6.50
33
D 6.60
5 Sergi Gómez Sergi Gómez 68' D 7.20
4 Kaiky Naves Kaiky Naves 1 ⚽ D 7.20
12
M 7.20
18 Lincoln Lincoln M 6.20
26 Rhaldney Rhaldney M 6.90
2
1 👟 M 7.50
10 Chiquinho Chiquinho 1 👟 F 7.30
20 Figueiredo Figueiredo 82' F 7.30
91 Sandro Lima Sandro Lima 68' F 6.30
Bench
11 C. Nuozzi C. Nuozzi F
9 M. Milovanović M. Milovanović 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.50
Arouca Arouca 4-2-3-1
12 I. de Arruabarrena I. de Arruabarrena G 6.60
25 B. Kuipers B. Kuipers 1 👟 D 6.60
3 José Fontán José Fontán D 7.00
4 M. Rocha M. Rocha 83' D 6.60
28 Tiago Esgaio Tiago Esgaio D 6.00
22 E. van Ee E. van Ee 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.20
21 T. Fukui T. Fukui 83' M 6.90
7 N. Djouahra N. Djouahra M 6.50
14 Lee Hyun-Ju Lee Hyun-Ju 75' M 6.20
10 Pablo Gozálbez Pablo Gozálbez 60' M 6.20
17 Barbero Barbero F 6.00
Bench
19 A. Trezza A. Trezza 36' F 6.30
46 Mateo Flores Mateo Flores 21' M 6.50
89 Pedro Santos Pedro Santos 21' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
M. Milovanović
M. Milovanović
F · Alverca
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
M · Alverca
7.50
1 👟
· 21 pass
Chiquinho
Chiquinho
F · Alverca
7.30
1 👟
· 16 pass
Figueiredo
Figueiredo
F · Alverca
7.30
3 shots · 28 pass
Sergi Gómez
Sergi Gómez
D · Alverca
7.20
· 19 pass
Kaiky Naves
Kaiky Naves
D · Alverca
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
Alverca Alverca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.50 — — — 21 14% — — —
D 96 6.60 — — — 35 31% 2 — —
Sergi Gómez D 68 7.20 — — — 19 16% — — —
Kaiky Naves D 96 7.20 1 — 1 42 28% — — —
M 96 7.20 — — — 34 24% 1 — —
Lincoln M 96 6.20 — — — 43 30% 1 — —
Rhaldney M 91 6.90 — — — 23 20% 2 — —
M 96 7.50 — 1 — 21 15% — — —
Chiquinho F 91 7.30 — 1 — 16 12% — — —
Figueiredo F 82 7.30 — — 3 28 23% — — —
Sandro Lima F 68 6.30 — — — 17 12% — — —
M. Milovanović F 28 7.50 1 — 1 4 3% — — —
Arouca Arouca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. de Arruabarrena G 96 6.60 — — — 43 39% — — —
B. Kuipers D 96 6.60 — 1 1 38 30% 2 — —
José Fontán D 96 7.00 — — — 103 95% — 1 —
M. Rocha D 83 6.60 — — — 90 78% 2 1 —
Tiago Esgaio D 96 6.00 — — — 50 35% 4 1 —
E. van Ee M 75 7.20 1 — 2 47 43% 2 1 —
T. Fukui M 83 6.90 — — 2 55 51% 2 — —
N. Djouahra M 96 6.50 — — — 45 32% — — —
Lee Hyun-Ju M 75 6.20 — — — 28 24% — — —
Pablo Gozálbez M 60 6.20 — — 1 24 19% — — —
Barbero F 96 6.00 — — 2 19 13% 1 — —
A. Trezza F 36 6.30 — — 1 9 6% — 1 —
Mateo Flores M 21 6.50 — — — 10 9% — — —
Pedro Santos M 21 6.90 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alverca vs Arouca?
The final score was Alverca 2–1 Arouca.
What did the model predict before Alverca vs Arouca?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Alverca win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Arouca win.