Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 24, 2026 23:15

Alverca

#11 · 39 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Arouca

#10 · 39 pts

Kaiky Naves (ast. Nabil Touaizi) 9'

Marko Milovanović (ast. Chiquinho) 71'

49' (ast. Bas Kuipers) Espen Van Ee

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alverca a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Arouca 27%). The final result was Alverca 2–1 Arouca. In 1 previous meetings, Alverca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arouca.

Match statistics

5

Total shots

9

3

Shots on target

3

1.06

Actual xG

0.88

1

Saves

1

36%

Possession

64%

6

Corners

3

6

Tackles

14

0

🟨 Yellow cards

5

Match Events

⚽Kaiky Naves · ast. Nabil Touaizi

9'

35'

Tiago Esgaio

49'

ast. Bas Kuipers · Espen Van Ee⚽

60'

Alfonso Trezza / Pablo Gozálbez ↕

61'

Jose Fontán

67'

Matías Rocha

↕ Sandro Lima / Marko Milovanović

68'

↕ Sergi Gomez / Steven Baseya

68'

70'

Espen Van Ee

⚽Marko Milovanović · ast. Chiquinho

71'

75'

Pedro Santos / Espen Van Ee ↕

75'

Mateo Flores / Hyun-ju Lee ↕

↕ Figueiredo / Davy Gui

82'

83'

Brian Mansilla / Taichi Fukui ↕

83'

Fally Mayulu / Matías Rocha ↕

89'

Alfonso Trezza

↕ Chiquinho / Diogo Spencer

90'

↕ Rhaldney / Vasco Moreira

90'

Pre-match prediction

44.48%

Alverca ←

27.62%

X

27.9%

Arouca

we assigned to the actual result (Alverca) 44.48% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Alverca

1.35

1.06

-0.29

Arouca

1.00

0.88

-0.12

xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	33	85
2	Sporting CP	33	79
3	Benfica	33	77
4	SC Braga	33	58
5	Famalicao	33	53
6	GIL Vicente	33	50
7	Moreirense	33	42
8	Guimaraes	33	42
9	Estoril	33	39
10	Arouca	33	39
11	Alverca	33	39
12	Santa Clara	33	36
13	Rio Ave	33	35
14	Nacional	33	31
15	Estrela	33	29
16	Casa Pia	33	29
17	Tondela	33	28
18	AVS	33	20

Lineups

Alverca 3-4-2-1

31

G 6.50

33

D 6.60

5 Sergi Gómez 68' D 7.20

4 Kaiky Naves 1 ⚽ D 7.20

12

M 7.20

18 Lincoln M 6.20

26 Rhaldney M 6.90

2

1 👟 M 7.50

10

Chiquinho 1 👟 F 7.30

20 Figueiredo 82' F 7.30

91 Sandro Lima 68' F 6.30

Bench

11 Cédric Nuozzi F

9 M. Milovanović 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.50

Arouca 4-2-3-1

12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 6.60

25 Bas Kuipers 1 👟 D 6.60

3 José Fontán D 7.00

4

Matías Rocha 83' D 6.60

28 Tiago Esgaio D 6.00

22 Espen Van Ee 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.20

21 Taichi Fukui 83' M 6.90

7 Naïs Djouahra M 6.50

14

H. Lee 75' M 6.20

10 Pablo Gozálbez 60' M 6.20

17 Barbero F 6.00

Bench

19 A. Trezza 36' F 6.30

46 Mateo Flores 21' M 6.50

89

Pedro Santos 21' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

M. Milovanović

F · Alverca

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

M · Alverca

7.50

1 👟

· 21 pass

Chiquinho

F · Alverca

7.30

1 👟

· 16 pass

Figueiredo

F · Alverca

7.30

3 shots · 28 pass

Sergi Gómez

D · Alverca

7.20

· 19 pass

Kaiky Naves

D · Alverca

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 42 pass

Alverca — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	6.50	—	—	—	21	14%	—	—	—
	D	96	6.60	—	—	—	35	31%	2	—	—
Sergi Gómez	D	68	7.20	—	—	—	19	16%	—	—	—
Kaiky Naves	D	96	7.20	1	—	1	42	28%	—	—	—
	M	96	7.20	—	—	—	34	24%	1	—	—
Lincoln	M	96	6.20	—	—	—	43	30%	1	—	—
Rhaldney	M	91	6.90	—	—	—	23	20%	2	—	—
	M	96	7.50	—	1	—	21	15%	—	—	—
Chiquinho	F	91	7.30	—	1	—	16	12%	—	—	—
Figueiredo	F	82	7.30	—	—	3	28	23%	—	—	—
Sandro Lima	F	68	6.30	—	—	—	17	12%	—	—	—
M. Milovanović	F	28	7.50	1	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—

Arouca — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ignacio de Arruabarrena	G	96	6.60	—	—	—	43	39%	—	—	—
Bas Kuipers	D	96	6.60	—	1	1	38	30%	2	—	—
José Fontán	D	96	7.00	—	—	—	103	95%	—	1	—
Matías Rocha	D	83	6.60	—	—	—	90	78%	2	1	—
Tiago Esgaio	D	96	6.00	—	—	—	50	35%	4	1	—
Espen Van Ee	M	75	7.20	1	—	2	47	43%	2	1	—
Taichi Fukui	M	83	6.90	—	—	2	55	51%	2	—	—
Naïs Djouahra	M	96	6.50	—	—	—	45	32%	—	—	—
H. Lee	M	75	6.20	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
Pablo Gozálbez	M	60	6.20	—	—	1	24	19%	—	—	—
Barbero	F	96	6.00	—	—	2	19	13%	1	—	—
A. Trezza	F	36	6.30	—	—	1	9	6%	—	1	—
Mateo Flores	M	21	6.50	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
Pedro Santos	M	21	6.90	—	—	—	16	14%	1	—	—