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#18 · 0 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#4 · 3 pts
Kaiky Naves (ast. Nabil Touaizi) 9'
Marko Milovanović (ast. Chiquinho) 71'
49' (ast. Bas Kuipers) Espen Van Ee
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alverca a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Arouca 27%). The final result was Alverca 2–1 Arouca. In 1 previous meetings, Alverca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arouca.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
3
1.06
Actual xG
0.88
1
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
6
Corners
3
6
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
Kaiky Naves · ast. Nabil Touaizi
9'
35'
Tiago Esgaio
49'
ast. Bas Kuipers · Espen Van Ee
60'
Alfonso Trezza / Pablo Gozálbez
61'
Jose Fontán
67'
Matías Rocha
Sandro Lima / Marko Milovanović
68'
Sergi Gomez / Steven Baseya
68'
70'
Espen Van Ee
Marko Milovanović · ast. Chiquinho
71'
75'
Pedro Santos / Espen Van Ee
75'
Mateo Flores / Hyun-ju Lee
Figueiredo / Davy Gui
82'
83'
Brian Mansilla / Taichi Fukui
83'
Fally Mayulu / Matías Rocha
89'
Alfonso Trezza
Chiquinho / Diogo Spencer
90'
Rhaldney / Vasco Moreira
90'
Pre-match prediction
44.48%
Alverca ←
27.62%
X
27.9%
Arouca
we assigned to the actual result (Alverca) 44.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alverca
1.35
1.06
-0.29
Arouca
1.00
0.88
-0.12
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 1 3
2 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 1 3
3 Maritimo Maritimo 1 3
4 Arouca Arouca 1 3
5 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 1
6 SC Braga SC Braga 1 1
7 Nacional Nacional 1 1
8 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1 1
9 Famalicao Famalicao 1 1
10 Estrela Estrela 1 1
11 Estoril Estoril 1 1
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1 1
13 Moreirense Moreirense 1 1
14 Benfica Benfica 1 1
15 Vitória SC Vitória SC 1 0
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1 0
17 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1 0
18 Alverca Alverca 1 0
Lineups
Alverca Alverca 3-4-2-1
31
G 6.50
33
D 6.60
5 Sergi Gómez Sergi Gómez 68' D 7.20
4 Kaiky Naves Kaiky Naves 1 ⚽ D 7.20
12
M 7.20
18 Lincoln Lincoln M 6.20
26 Rhaldney Rhaldney M 6.90
2
1 👟 M 7.50
10 Chiquinho Chiquinho 1 👟 F 7.30
20 Figueiredo Figueiredo 82' F 7.30
91
Sandro Lima 68' F 6.30
Bench
11 Cédric Nuozzi Cédric Nuozzi F
9 Marko Milovanović Marko Milovanović 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.50
Arouca Arouca 4-2-3-1
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 6.60
25 Bas Kuipers Bas Kuipers 1 👟 D 6.60
3 Jose Fontán Jose Fontán D 7.00
4 M. Rocha M. Rocha 83' D 6.60
28 Tiago Esgaio Tiago Esgaio D 6.00
22 Espen Van Ee Espen Van Ee 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.20
21 Taichi Fukui Taichi Fukui 83' M 6.90
7 N. Djouahra N. Djouahra M 6.50
14 Hyun-ju Lee Hyun-ju Lee 75' M 6.20
10 Pablo Gozálbez Pablo Gozálbez 60' M 6.20
17 Barbero Barbero F 6.00
Bench
19 Alfonso Trezza Alfonso Trezza 36' F 6.30
46 Mateo Flores Mateo Flores 21' M 6.50
89 Pedro Santos Pedro Santos 21' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Marko Milovanović
Marko Milovanović
F · Alverca
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
M · Alverca
7.50
1 👟
· 21 pass
Chiquinho
Chiquinho
F · Alverca
7.30
1 👟
· 16 pass
Figueiredo
Figueiredo
F · Alverca
7.30
3 shots · 28 pass
Sergi Gómez
Sergi Gómez
D · Alverca
7.20
· 19 pass
Kaiky Naves
Kaiky Naves
D · Alverca
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
Alverca Alverca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.50 21 14%
D 96 6.60 35 31% 2
Sergi Gómez D 68 7.20 19 16%
Kaiky Naves D 96 7.20 1 1 42 28%
M 96 7.20 34 24% 1
Lincoln M 96 6.20 43 30% 1
Rhaldney M 91 6.90 23 20% 2
M 96 7.50 1 21 15%
Chiquinho F 91 7.30 1 16 12%
Figueiredo F 82 7.30 3 28 23%
Sandro Lima F 68 6.30 17 12%
Marko Milovanović F 28 7.50 1 1 4 3%
Arouca Arouca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 96 6.60 43 39%
Bas Kuipers D 96 6.60 1 1 38 30% 2
Jose Fontán D 96 7.00 103 95% 1
M. Rocha D 83 6.60 90 78% 2 1
Tiago Esgaio D 96 6.00 50 35% 4 1
Espen Van Ee M 75 7.20 1 2 47 43% 2 1
Taichi Fukui M 83 6.90 2 55 51% 2
N. Djouahra M 96 6.50 45 32%
Hyun-ju Lee M 75 6.20 28 24%
Pablo Gozálbez M 60 6.20 1 24 19%
Barbero F 96 6.00 2 19 13% 1
Alfonso Trezza F 36 6.30 1 9 6% 1
Mateo Flores M 21 6.50 10 9%
Pedro Santos M 21 6.90 16 14% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alverca vs Arouca?
The final score was Alverca 2–1 Arouca.
What did the model predict before Alverca vs Arouca?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Alverca win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Arouca win.