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Ararat-Armenia - Celje

Europa League January 21, 2027 18:45
Ararat-Armenia
#36 · 0 pts
vs
Celje
#29 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.18%
Win
Ararat-Armenia
26.24%
Draw
35.57%
Win
Celje
1.22
Expected xG
1.2

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.37%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 38%
X 26%
2 36%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 64%
X2 62%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 62%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ararat-Armenia a 38% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Celje. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ararat-Armenia and 1.2 for Celje (total 2.4), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.37% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ararat-Armenia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Celje.

Season Stats

Ararat-Armenia
1W 1D 3L
Celje
1W 3D 3L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.4
2.4
Conceded
2.1
2.4
Shots OT
2.7
2.6
Corners
2.3
37%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
71%
60%
BTTS
71%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Ararat-Armenia
1W 0D 2L · at home
Celje
1W 0D 2L · away
0.7
gls/g
1.3
2.7
Conceded
2.0
33%
Win %
33%
33%
Win or Draw
33%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
67%
67%
O 3.5
33%
33%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ararat-Armenia Celje →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9% 10.7% 6.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.0% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
L AZ Alkmaar 0–4
L Jagiellonia 3–1
L Sparta Praha 1–4
W Universitatea Craiova 1–0
D Universitatea Craiova 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Celje Celje
D Red Bull Salzburg 2–2
L Omonia Nicosia 0–3
L Bayer Leverkusen 2–0
L AEK Larnaca 2–1
D AEK Larnaca 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
Attack
44
Defence
65
Form
28
Celje Celje
Attack
17
Defence
69
Form
12
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Ararat-Armenia
0
Draw
1
Celje
11 Aug 2026 Champions League 0–2
4 Aug 2026 Champions League 2–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
The model gives Ararat-Armenia a 38% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 35% for an Celje win.
How many goals are expected in Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
Expected goals: Ararat-Armenia 1.2, Celje 1.2 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Ararat-Armenia vs Celje?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.37%.