Skip to main content
← Cup

Baltika - Zenit

Cup October 29, 2026 19:45 Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
vs
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 9.9°C 💨 8 km/h · Kaliningrad
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.97%
Win
Baltika
30.03%
Draw
46.0%
Win
Zenit
0.7
Expected xG
1.13

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (18.75%)
1X2 Result
1 24%
X 30%
2 46%
Double Chance
1X 54%
X2 76%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 42%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Zenit a 46% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Baltika. Expected goals are 0.7 for Baltika and 1.1 for Zenit (total 1.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 18.75% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Baltika have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 4 wins for Zenit.

Season Stats

Baltika
3W 3D 6L
Zenit
12W 2D 1L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.9
1.0
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
53%
25%
O 2.5
53%
33%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
7%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
Baltika
1W 2D 3L · at home
Zenit
6W 1D 0L · away
0.8
gls/g
1.7
1.0
Conceded
0.7
17%
Win %
86%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
43%
33%
O 2.5
43%
0%
O 3.5
14%
33%
BTTS
43%
33%
Clean Sht
57%
50%
Failed to Score
14%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Baltika Zenit →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1% 18.1% 10.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 3.9% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

W Krylia Sovetov 0–2
D Krylia Sovetov 0–0
D Dinamo Makhachkala 1–1
L Zenit 1–0
L Zenit 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
W Dinamo Makhachkala 1–2
W Dinamo Makhachkala 3–0
D Krylia Sovetov 0–0
W Baltika 1–0
D Spartak Moscow 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 44%

Playing profile

Baltika Baltika
Attack
27
Defence
75
Form
51
Zenit Zenit
Attack
50
Defence
77
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Baltika vs Zenit?
The model gives Baltika a 23% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 46% for an Zenit win.
How many goals are expected in Baltika vs Zenit?
Expected goals: Baltika 0.7, Zenit 1.1 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Baltika vs Zenit?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.75%.