Cavalry FC 4–2 Pacific FC — pre-match prediction — Canadian Premier League — October 17, 2026

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Canadian Premier League · Group Stage October 17, 2026 22:00 ATCO Field, Foothills County

Cavalry FC

#1 · 60 pts

4 – 2

Final score

Pacific FC

#8 · 15 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Cavalry FC

Daan Klomp (ast. B. Kamdem) 12'

Tobias Warschewski 17' (pen.)

B. Kamdem 45'+1

Ali Musse 51' (pen.)

9' (ast. Marco Bustos) M. Vales

(pen.) 44' Marco Bustos

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cavalry FC a 83% win probability (draw 9%, Pacific FC 6%). The final result was Cavalry FC 4–2 Pacific FC. In 3 previous meetings, Cavalry FC have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pacific FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.84

Actual xG

1.61

Saves

40%

Possession

60%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. Marco Bustos · M. Vales⚽

⚽Daan Klomp · ast. B. Kamdem

12'

⚽Tobias Warschewski (pen.)

17'

25'

J. Kadin Brian Chung

Adam Pearlman

42'

44'

(pen.) Marco Bustos⚽

⚽B. Kamdem

45'+1

↕ Adam Pearlman / Nathaniel Edwards

45'

50'

Juan David Quintana Echeverry

⚽Ali Musse (pen.)

51'

52'

Christian Greco-Taylor / J. Kadin Brian Chung ↕

63'

Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi

64'

Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt / Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi ↕

65'

Y. Toualy / Aidan Daniels ↕

↕ Michael Baldisimo / Maël Henry

71'

↕ Caniggia Elva / Owen Graham-Roache

71'

77'

Alejandro Diaz / Marco Bustos ↕

77'

Marley Edwards / R. Kratt ↕

↕ Ali Musse / Levi Laing

81'

Maël Henry

82'

↕ Goteh Ntignee / James McGlinchey

85'

Pre-match prediction

83.73%

Cavalry ←

9.67%

6.6%

Pacific

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cavalry FC) 83.73% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Cavalry

3.23

2.84

-0.39

Pacific

0.70

1.61

+0.91

Cavalry FC dominated by xG (2.84 vs 1.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	28	60
2	Forge	28	58
3	Atlético Ottawa	28	43
4	Supra du Quebec	28	38
5	Vancouver FC	28	37
6	York United	28	30
7	HFX Wanderers FC	28	28
8	Pacific FC	28	15

Lineups

Cavalry FC 4-2-3-1

N. Ingham G 6.00

B. Kamdem 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 7.08

A. Didic D 6.60

D. Klomp 1 ⚽ D 7.07

A. Pearlman 45' D 6.18

M. Baldisimo 71' M 6.18

N. Myroniuk M 6.45

G. Ntignee 85' M 5.74

T. Warschewski 1 ⚽ M 6.52

A. Musse 1 ⚽ 81' M 6.94

C. Elva 71' F 6.38

Bench

J. Holliday G 0.00

J. McGlinchey 5' M 5.80

L. Laing 9' D 6.35

M. Henry 19' M 5.88

N. Edwards 45' M 6.02

Owen Graham-Roache 19' F 6.56

Robert Owen Antoniuk F 0.00

Pacific FC 3-4-3

E. Himaras G 5.48

D 5.59

D. Konincks D 6.29

J. Quintana D 5.07

M. Vales 1 ⚽ M 7.00

R. Juhmi 64' M 4.92

T. Gomulka M 6.44

K. Chung 52' M 5.48

A. Daniels 65' F 6.25

R. Kratt 77' F 6.23

M. Bustos 1 ⚽ 1 👟 77' F 7.59

Bench

A. Díaz 13' F 6.58

C. Greco-Taylor 38' D 6.05

J. Belluz D 0.00

L. Browning-Lagerfeldt 26' M 5.85

M. Edwards 13' M 5.79

S. Melvin G 0.00

Y. Toualy 25' F 6.29

Best on the pitch

M. Bustos

F · Pacific

7.59

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 23 pass

B. Kamdem

D · Cavalry

7.08

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 22 pass

D. Klomp

D · Cavalry

7.07

1 ⚽

1 shots · 28 pass

M. Vales

M · Pacific

7.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 26 pass

A. Musse

M · Cavalry

6.94

1 ⚽

2 shots · 15 pass

A. Didic

D · Cavalry

6.60

· 41 pass

Cavalry FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Ingham	G	90	6.00	—	—	0	26	17%	0	—	—
B. Kamdem	D	90	7.08	1	1	1	22	17%	1	—	—
A. Didic	D	90	6.60	—	—	0	41	35%	1	—	—
D. Klomp	D	90	7.07	1	—	1	28	22%	0	—	—
A. Pearlman	D	45	6.18	—	—	0	11	9%	4	1	—
M. Baldisimo	M	71	6.18	—	—	0	49	39%	2	—	—
N. Myroniuk	M	90	6.45	—	—	1	22	19%	1	—	—
G. Ntignee	M	85	5.74	—	—	3	12	11%	0	—	—
T. Warschewski	M	90	6.52	1	—	1	18	12%	2	—	—
A. Musse	M	81	6.94	1	—	2	15	11%	1	—	—
C. Elva	F	71	6.38	—	—	2	14	12%	0	—	—
J. McGlinchey	M	5	5.80	—	—	0	3	3%	0	—	—
L. Laing	D	9	6.35	—	—	0	3	2%	1	—	—
M. Henry	M	19	5.88	—	—	0	2	2%	1	1	—
N. Edwards	M	45	6.02	—	—	0	13	11%	2	—	—
Owen Graham-Roache	F	19	6.56	—	—	1	2	2%	0	—	—

Pacific FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Himaras	G	90	5.48	—	—	0	27	19%	0	—	—
	D	90	5.59	—	—	0	39	30%	1	—	—
D. Konincks	D	90	6.29	—	—	1	58	55%	0	—	—
J. Quintana	D	90	5.07	—	—	0	56	47%	2	1	—
M. Vales	M	90	7.00	1	—	2	26	21%	1	—	—
R. Juhmi	M	64	4.92	—	—	0	21	14%	0	1	—
T. Gomulka	M	90	6.44	—	—	0	56	48%	4	—	—
K. Chung	M	52	5.48	—	—	0	12	7%	1	1	—
A. Daniels	F	65	6.25	—	—	0	12	11%	0	—	—
R. Kratt	F	77	6.23	—	—	0	12	10%	0	—	—
M. Bustos	F	77	7.59	1	1	3	23	15%	1	—	—
A. Díaz	F	13	6.58	—	—	0	5	3%	0	—	—
C. Greco-Taylor	D	38	6.05	—	—	0	40	34%	1	—	—
L. Browning-Lagerfeldt	M	26	5.85	—	—	0	16	13%	1	—	—
M. Edwards	M	13	5.79	—	—	0	3	3%	1	—	—
Y. Toualy	F	25	6.29	—	—	2	16	14%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC?

The final score was Cavalry FC 4–2 Pacific FC.

What did the model predict before Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC?

The model assigned 83% probability to a Cavalry FC win, 9% to a draw, and 6% to an Pacific FC win.