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CSKA Sofia - Qarabag

Friendlies Clubs June 27, 2026 17:00
CSKA Sofia
vs
Qarabag
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.43%
Win
CSKA Sofia
27.89%
Draw
42.67%
Win
Qarabag
0.84
Expected xG
4.44

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–4 (8.3%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 28%
2 43%
Double Chance
1X 57%
X2 71%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Qarabag a 42% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 29% for CSKA Sofia. Expected goals are 0.8 for CSKA Sofia and 4.4 for Qarabag (total 5.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–4 at 8.3% probability. In 2 previous meetings, CSKA Sofia have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Qarabag.

Season Stats

CSKA Sofia
3W 1D 3L
Qarabag
3W 0D 0L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
3.7
1.7
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
100%
57%
BTTS
67%
14%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
CSKA Sofia
2W 1D 3L · at home
Qarabag
2W 0D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
3.0
1.8
Conceded
1.0
33%
Win %
100%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
83%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
17%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ CSKA Sofia Qarabag →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 2.3% 5.0% 7.4% 8.3% 7.3%
1 0.4% 1.9% 4.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.1%
2 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 2.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7%
4 — — 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
W Marek 3–0
W Odra Opole 2–3
L Polessya 0–4
W Brinje-Grosuplje 1–2
W Dunav Ruse 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Qarabag Qarabag
L Ferencvarosi TC 1–0
L FC Kharkiv 2–6
W WSG Wattens 0–4
W Zaglebie Lubin 1–3
W NK Osijek 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
Attack
27
Defence
42
Form
43
Qarabag Qarabag
Attack
83
Defence
83
Form
88
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
CSKA Sofia
2
Draw
0
Qarabag
30 Jul 2026 Europa League 0–0
23 Jul 2026 Europa League 0–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
The model gives CSKA Sofia a 29% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 42% for an Qarabag win.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
Expected goals: CSKA Sofia 0.8, Qarabag 4.4 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag?
0–4 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.3%.