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← Scottish Premiership

Dundee - Kilmarnock

#5 · 14 pts
vs
#11 · 8 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 10.0°C 💨 12 km/h · Dundee
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.07%
Win
Dundee
32.72%
Draw
25.2%
Win
Kilmarnock
0.97
Expected xG
0.56

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (16.87%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 33%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 58%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dundee a 42% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Kilmarnock. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dundee and 0.6 for Kilmarnock (total 1.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.87% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Dundee have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Kilmarnock.

Season Stats

Dundee
7W 2D 6L
Kilmarnock
6W 2D 7L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.7
4.4
Shots OT
4.3
4.7
Corners
4.5
44%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
67%
O 2.5
67%
60%
BTTS
47%
27%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Premiership. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Dundee
5W 3D 2L · at home
Kilmarnock
3W 1D 6L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.3
1.2
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
90%
O 1.5
70%
70%
O 2.5
70%
30%
O 3.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Dundee Kilmarnock →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.8% 12.2% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 21.1% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 10.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% — —
3 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% — — —
5 0.2% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

L ST Mirren 2–1
D Rangers 2–2
W Falkirk 1–2
W Motherwell 2–1
L Heart Of Midlothian 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
L Falkirk 3–0
W Motherwell 3–2
L Rangers 3–1
D Heart Of Midlothian 1–1
W Hibernian 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Dundee Dundee
Attack
40
Defence
53
Form
50
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
Attack
30
Defence
53
Form
33
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
The model gives Dundee a 42% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 25% for an Kilmarnock win.
How many goals are expected in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Expected goals: Dundee 1.0, Kilmarnock 0.6 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.87%.