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0 – 1
Final score
51' (ast. Thapelo Morena) Brayan Léon Muñiz
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mamelodi Sundowns a 37% win probability (draw 30%, ES Tunis 32%). The final result was ES Tunis 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. In 1 previous meetings, ES Tunis have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mamelodi Sundowns.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
1.05
Actual xG
0.73
1
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
9
Corners
3
11
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
51'
ast. Thapelo Morena · Brayan Léon Muñiz⚽
↕ Yan Sasse / Jack Diarra
63'
↕ Kouceila Boualia / Aboubacar Diakite
63'
69'
Hamza Jelassi
70'
73'
Ronwen Williams
73'
Tashreeq Matthews / Arthur Sales ↕
76'
Bathusi Aubaas / Marcelo Allende ↕
↕ Houssem Teka / Moez Haj Ali
81'
84'
Grant Kekana
88'
Khulumani Ndamane / Thapelo Morena ↕
88'
Zuko Mdunyelwa / Brayan Léon Muñiz ↕
90'+5
Khuliso Mudau
↕ Abdramane Konate / Achref Jabri
90'
Pre-match prediction
32.21%
ES
30.24%
X
37.54%
Mamelodi ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mamelodi Sundowns) 37.54% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
ES
1.39
1.05
-0.34
Mamelodi
1.81
0.73
-1.08
ES Tunis dominated by xG (1.05 vs 0.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-1-4-1
32
B. Ben Said G 6.30
20
D 7.00
15
D 7.00
6 H. Jelassi H. Jelassi D 6.70
23
D 6.90
14
O. Ogbelu M 7.00
7 K. Boualia K. Boualia 63' M 6.20
21
Abdramane Konate 89' M 7.50
8 Houssem Teka Houssem Teka 81' M 6.50
10 Yan Sasse Yan Sasse 63' M 6.90
22
F. Danho F 6.60
Bench
29 Aboubacar Diakite Aboubacar Diakite 27' F 6.50
30 R. Williams R. Williams G 7.70
29
D 6.90
24
D 7.00
20 G. Kekana G. Kekana 84' D 6.20
25 K. Mudau K. Mudau D 7.90
8 J. Adams J. Adams M 7.00
4 T. Mokoena T. Mokoena M 6.90
11 M. Allende M. Allende 76' M 6.90
27 T. Morena T. Morena 1 👟 88' M 6.90
12 B. León B. León 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.30
9 Arthur Sales Arthur Sales 73' F 6.90
Bench
13 I. Rayners I. Rayners F
17 T. Matthews T. Matthews 17' F 6.20
34
T. Ntsabeleng M
28 Zuko Mdunyelwa Zuko Mdunyelwa 13' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
K. Mudau
K. Mudau
D · Mamelodi
7.90
· 29 pass
R. Williams
R. Williams
G · Mamelodi
7.70
· 52 pass
Abdramane Konate
M · ES
7.50
· 24 pass
B. León
B. León
F · Mamelodi
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
J. Adams
J. Adams
M · Mamelodi
7.00
· 40 pass
D · ES
7.00
· 46 pass
ES Tunis ES Tunis — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Ben Said G 90 6.30 — — — 18 14% — — —
D 90 7.00 — — — 46 41% 1 — —
D 90 7.00 — — 2 45 36% 1 — —
H. Jelassi D 90 6.70 — — 2 52 46% 1 1 —
D 90 6.90 — — — 49 40% 1 — —
O. Ogbelu M 90 7.00 — — 2 32 26% — — —
K. Boualia M 63 6.20 — — — 17 13% — — —
Abdramane Konate M 89 7.50 — — — 24 21% 4 — —
Houssem Teka M 81 6.50 — — — 25 22% 1 — —
Yan Sasse M 63 6.90 — — 1 16 12% 1 — —
F. Danho F 90 6.60 — — 4 10 5% 1 — —
Aboubacar Diakite F 27 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Williams G 90 7.70 — — — 52 30% — 1 —
D 90 6.90 — — — 24 18% — — —
D 90 7.00 — — 1 37 33% — — —
G. Kekana D 84 6.20 — — — 40 33% — — 1
K. Mudau D 90 7.90 — — — 29 22% 3 1 —
J. Adams M 90 7.00 — — — 40 31% 1 — —
T. Mokoena M 90 6.90 — — 1 43 38% 2 — —
M. Allende M 76 6.90 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
T. Morena M 88 6.90 — 1 — 21 15% — — —
B. León F 88 7.30 1 — 3 10 10% — — —
Arthur Sales F 73 6.90 — — — 18 16% 3 — —
T. Matthews F 17 6.20 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Zuko Mdunyelwa D 13 6.70 — — — 2 — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The final score was ES Tunis 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns.
What did the model predict before ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The model assigned 32% probability to a ES Tunis win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an Mamelodi Sundowns win.