CAF Champions League
· Semi-finals
April 12, 2026 21:00
51'
(ast. Thapelo Morena)
Brayan Léon Muñiz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mamelodi Sundowns a 37% win probability (draw 30%, ES Tunis 32%). The final result was ES Tunis 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. In 1 previous meetings, ES Tunis have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mamelodi Sundowns.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
1.05
Actual xG
0.73
1
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
9
Corners
3
11
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
51'
ast. Thapelo Morena ·
Brayan Léon Muñiz⚽
Yan Sasse
/ Jack Diarra
63'
Kouceila Boualia
/ Aboubacar Diakite
63'
69'
Hamza Jelassi
70'
73'
Ronwen Williams
73'
Tashreeq Matthews
/
Arthur Sales
76'
Bathusi Aubaas
/
Marcelo Allende
Houssem Teka
/ Moez Haj Ali
81'
84'
Grant Kekana
88'
Khulumani Ndamane
/
Thapelo Morena
88'
Zuko Mdunyelwa
/
Brayan Léon Muñiz
90'+5
Khuliso Mudau
Abdramane Konate
/ Achref Jabri
90'
Pre-match prediction
32.21%
ES
30.24%
X
37.54%
Mamelodi ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mamelodi Sundowns)
37.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.05
-0.34
1.81
0.73
-1.08
ES Tunis dominated by xG (1.05 vs 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
32
B. Ben Said
G
20
D
15
D
6
H. Jelassi
D
H. Jelassi
D
23
D
14
O. Ogbelu
M
7
K. Boualia
63'
M
K. Boualia
63'
M
21
Abdramane Konate
89'
M
8
Houssem Teka
81'
M
Houssem Teka
81'
M
10
Yan Sasse
63'
M
Yan Sasse
63'
M
22
F. Danho
F
Bench
29
Aboubacar Diakite
27'
F
Aboubacar Diakite
27'
F
30
Ronwen Williams
G
Ronwen Williams
G
29
D
24
D
20
G. Kekana
84'
D
G. Kekana
84'
D
25
K. Mudau
D
K. Mudau
D
8
J. Adams
M
J. Adams
M
4
T. Mokoena
M
T. Mokoena
M
11
M. Allende
76'
M
M. Allende
76'
M
27
Thapelo Morena
1 👟
88'
M
12
B. León
1 ⚽
88'
F
B. León
1 ⚽
88'
F
9
Arthur Sales
73'
F
Arthur Sales
73'
F
Bench
13
I. Rayners
F
I. Rayners
F
17
T. Matthews
17'
F
T. Matthews
17'
F
34
T. Ntsabeleng
M
28
Zuko Mdunyelwa
13'
D
Zuko Mdunyelwa
13'
D
Best on the pitch
K. Mudau
D · Mamelodi
7.90
· 29 pass
Ronwen Williams
G · Mamelodi
7.70
· 52 pass
Abdramane Konate
M · ES
7.50
· 24 pass
B. León
F · Mamelodi
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
J. Adams
M · Mamelodi
7.00
· 40 pass
D · ES
7.00
· 46 pass
ES Tunis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ben Said | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — | |
| H. Jelassi | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 1 | — | — | |
| O. Ogbelu | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| K. Boualia | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Abdramane Konate | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Houssem Teka | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Yan Sasse | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Danho | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Aboubacar Diakite | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mamelodi Sundowns — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronwen Williams | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| G. Kekana | D | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | 1 |
| K. Mudau | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Adams | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Mokoena | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Allende | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Thapelo Morena | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| B. León | F | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Sales | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Matthews | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Zuko Mdunyelwa | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The final score was ES Tunis 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns.
What did the model predict before ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The model assigned 32% probability to a ES Tunis win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an Mamelodi Sundowns win.