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Estudiantes L.P. - Flamengo

Copa Libertadores October 13, 2026 22:00
Estudiantes L.P.
#2 · 9 pts
vs
Flamengo
#1 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.3%
Win
Estudiantes L.P.
30.18%
Draw
31.52%
Win
Flamengo
1.03
Expected xG
0.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.8%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 30%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 62%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 60%
Over 2.5 30%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Estudiantes L.P. a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Flamengo. Expected goals are 1.0 for Estudiantes L.P. and 0.9 for Flamengo (total 1.9), with a 60% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.8% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Estudiantes L.P. have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Flamengo.

Season Stats

Estudiantes L.P.
4W 5D 1L
Flamengo
6W 3D 0L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.9
0.7
Conceded
0.6
5.0
Shots OT
6.9
5.1
Corners
4.4
49%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
70%
O 1.5
89%
20%
O 2.5
33%
60%
BTTS
56%
30%
Clean Sht
44%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Estudiantes L.P.
2W 3D 0L · at home
Flamengo
2W 2D 0L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.5
0.8
Conceded
0.5
40%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
80%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
80%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Estudiantes L.P. Flamengo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7% 13.0% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.8% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 2.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
W Corinthians 0–1
D Corinthians 1–1
W U. Catolica 0–3
D U. Catolica 1–1
W Independiente Medellin 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Flamengo Flamengo
D Independiente del Valle 1–1
W Independiente del Valle 0–2
W Cruzeiro 2–1
D Cruzeiro 1–1
W Cusco 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
Attack
44
Defence
73
Form
50
Flamengo Flamengo
Attack
46
Defence
76
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Estudiantes L.P.
1
Draw
1
Flamengo
21 May 2026 Copa Libertadores 0–1
30 Apr 2026 Copa Libertadores 1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
The model gives Estudiantes L.P. a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an Flamengo win.
How many goals are expected in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Expected goals: Estudiantes L.P. 1.0, Flamengo 0.9 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 60%.
What is the most likely score in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.8%.