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Super League · Championship Group - 34 April 25, 2026 22:30
FC Thun
#1 · 74 pts
0 – 1
Final score
FC Lugano
#3 · 64 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction FC Thun, result FC Lugano vince
(pen.) 90'+7 E. Alioski

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Thun a 63% win probability (draw 19%, FC Lugano 16%). The final result was FC Thun 0–1 FC Lugano. In 3 previous meetings, FC Thun have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for FC Lugano.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
6
0.76
Actual xG
2.48
5
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
5
9
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
↕ G. Montolio / L. Dahler
5'
M. Heule
33'
36'
A. Papadopoulos
46'
M. Belhadj / D. Dos Santos ↕
F. Fehr
46'
53'
M. Zanotti
57'
K. Behrens / G. Koutsias ↕
↕ F. Fehr / V. Matoshi
62'
↕ K. Imeri / F. Meichtry
62'
↕ C. Ibayi / B. Labeau
74'
↕ M. Kait / F. Dursun
74'
77'
E. Alioski / Y. Cimignani ↕
81'
M. Belhadj
88'
M. Bottani / R. Steffen ↕
88'
E. Pihlstrom / U. Bislimi ↕
M. Burki
90'+5
90'+7
(pen.) E. Alioski⚽
90'+10
E. Alioski
Pre-match prediction
63.26%
FC
19.96%
X
16.78%
FC ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FC Lugano) 16.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
FC
2.40
0.76
-1.64
FC
0.99
2.48
+1.49
FC Lugano dominated by xG (2.48 vs 0.76). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Thun FC Thun 37 74
1 FC Luzern FC Luzern 37 50
2 FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 37 69
2 Servette FC Servette FC 37 50
3 Lausanne Lausanne 37 42
3 FC Lugano FC Lugano 37 64
4 FC Zurich FC Zurich 37 38
4 FC Sion FC Sion 37 62
5 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 37 30
5 FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 37 56
6 BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys 37 54
6 FC Winterthur FC Winterthur 37 23
Lineups
FC Thun FC Thun 4-2-2-2
24 Niklas Steffen Niklas Steffen G 7.90
27 Michael Heule Michael Heule D 6.90
23 Marco Bürki Marco Bürki D 7.20
4
Genís Montolio 5' D
19
D 7.20
14 Mattias Käit Mattias Käit 74' M 6.70
6 Leonardo Bertone Leonardo Bertone M 7.50
7 Kastriot Imeri Kastriot Imeri 62' M 7.20
47 Fabio Fehr Fabio Fehr 62' M 6.30
74 Elmin Rastoder Elmin Rastoder F 6.20
18 Christopher Ibayi Christopher Ibayi 74' F 6.60
Bench
96 Brighton Labeau Brighton Labeau 16' F 6.50
77 E. Meichtry E. Meichtry 28' M 6.60
16 Justin Roth Justin Roth M
78 Valmir Matoshi Valmir Matoshi 28' M 5.60
FC Lugano FC Lugano 3-4-3
16
G 7.30
3 Hannes Delcroix Hannes Delcroix D 8.20
17 Lars Lukas Mai Lars Lukas Mai D 7.60
6 Antonios Papadopoulos Antonios Papadopoulos D 7.20
21 Yanis Cimignani Yanis Cimignani 77' M 7.00
8
M 6.70
25 Uran Bislimi Uran Bislimi 89' M 7.20
46 Mattia Zanotti Mattia Zanotti M 7.30
27 Daniel Dos Santos Daniel Dos Santos 45' F 6.60
9 Georgios Koutsias Georgios Koutsias 57' F 6.20
11 Renato Steffen Renato Steffen 89' F 7.30
Bench
7 Ezgjan Alioski Ezgjan Alioski 1 ⚽ 13' D 6.90
91 Kevin Behrens Kevin Behrens 33' F 6.90
29 Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud 45' M 7.00
Best on the pitch
Hannes Delcroix
Hannes Delcroix
D · FC
8.20
· 28 pass
Niklas Steffen
Niklas Steffen
G · FC
7.90
· 37 pass
Lars Lukas Mai
Lars Lukas Mai
D · FC
7.60
1 shots · 54 pass
Leonardo Bertone
Leonardo Bertone
M · FC
7.50
· 39 pass
Renato Steffen
Renato Steffen
F · FC
7.30
· 33 pass
Mattia Zanotti
Mattia Zanotti
M · FC
7.30
1 shots · 25 pass
FC Thun FC Thun — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Niklas Steffen G 90 7.90 — — — 37 30% — — —
Michael Heule D 90 6.90 — — — 30 21% 2 1 —
Marco Bürki D 90 7.20 — — — 38 35% — 1 —
Genís Montolio D 5 — — — — — — — — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
Mattias Käit M 74 6.70 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
Leonardo Bertone M 90 7.50 — — — 39 30% — — —
Kastriot Imeri M 62 7.20 — — 5 21 17% — — —
Fabio Fehr M 62 6.30 — — 2 19 10% 2 1 —
Elmin Rastoder F 90 6.20 — — 1 24 14% 2 — —
Christopher Ibayi F 74 6.60 — — 1 14 9% — — —
Brighton Labeau F 16 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
E. Meichtry M 28 6.60 — — — 4 1% 1 — —
Valmir Matoshi M 28 5.60 — — 2 4 — — — —
FC Lugano FC Lugano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 41 32% — — —
Hannes Delcroix D 90 8.20 — — — 28 26% 5 — —
Lars Lukas Mai D 90 7.60 — — 1 54 47% 2 — —
Antonios Papadopoulos D 90 7.20 — — 1 21 16% 3 1 —
Yanis Cimignani M 77 7.00 — — — 34 29% 1 — —
M 90 6.70 — — — 56 49% 1 — —
Uran Bislimi M 89 7.20 — — 1 57 49% — — —
Mattia Zanotti M 90 7.30 — — 1 25 19% 2 1 —
Daniel Dos Santos F 45 6.60 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
Georgios Koutsias F 57 6.20 — — 1 9 7% — — —
Renato Steffen F 89 7.30 — — — 33 26% — — —
Ezgjan Alioski D 13 6.90 1 — 2 6 6% — 1 —
Kevin Behrens F 33 6.90 — — 1 11 9% — — —
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud M 45 7.00 — — 2 11 10% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
The final score was FC Thun 0–1 FC Lugano.
What did the model predict before FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
The model assigned 63% probability to a FC Thun win, 19% to a draw, and 16% to an FC Lugano win.