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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 19 May 03, 2026 22:30 Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogota
Fortaleza FC
#15 · 22 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Bucaramanga
#3 · 20 pts
J. Herrera (ast. A. Arroyo) 39'
A. Arroyo (ast. J. Salas) 78'
90'+3 (ast. C. Romana) F. Sambueza
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza FC a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Bucaramanga 32%). The final result was Fortaleza FC 2–1 Bucaramanga.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
3
0.62
Actual xG
1.99
1
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
3
8
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
J. Garcia
↕ J. Velasquez / J. Salas
20'
⚽J. Herrera · ast. A. Arroyo
39'
↕ C. Orozco / K. A. Balanta Carabali
46'
59'
(missed pen.) E. Batalla⚽
60'
L. Pons / G. Charrupi ↕
66'
C. Romana
76'
J. Salazar / J. Mosquera ↕
⚽A. Arroyo · ast. J. Salas
78'
↕ J. Herrera / T. Wilke
85'
↕ S. Navarro / S. Ramirez
90'+1
J. Cajares
90'+1
90'+3
ast. C. Romana · F. Sambueza⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.18%
Fortaleza ←
31.08%
X
32.75%
Bucaramanga
we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza FC) 36.18% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Fortaleza
0.94
0.62
-0.32
Bucaramanga
0.85
1.99
+1.14
Bucaramanga dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 4-4-1-1
1
G 7.00
15 S. Cuero S. Cuero D 6.90
18 Jhon Balanta Jhon Balanta D 7.30
6 Y. Díaz Y. Díaz D 6.60
16 Joan Cajares Joan Cajares D 6.30
8 S. Navarro S. Navarro 89' M 7.20
20
C. Orozco 45' M 6.90
14 L. Pico L. Pico M 7.30
10 Jhon Velásquez Jhon Velásquez 20' M 6.70
33 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.60
9 Sebastian Herrera Sebastian Herrera 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.90
Bench
24 J. Salas J. Salas 1 👟 70' F 7.30
17 Kevin Balanta Kevin Balanta 45' M 6.90
26 Richardson Rivas Richardson Rivas M
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 4-2-3-1
12
G 6.50
25
C. De Las Salas D 6.50
4 J. García J. García D 5.90
23 C. Romaña C. Romaña 1 👟 D 6.60
19 A. Gutiérrez A. Gutiérrez D 6.50
20 Aldair Zárate Aldair Zárate M 6.90
6 G. Charrupí G. Charrupí 60' M 7.00
14
J. Mosquera 76' M 6.20
10 F. Sambueza F. Sambueza 1 ⚽ M 7.20
15 E. Batalla E. Batalla M 6.30
9 B. Caicedo B. Caicedo F 6.60
Bench
21 F. Charrupí F. Charrupí M
11 F. Salazar F. Salazar 14' F 6.60
7 K. Londoño K. Londoño M
27 L. Pons L. Pons 30' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
Sebastian Herrera
Sebastian Herrera
F · Fortaleza
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
A. Arroyo
A. Arroyo
F · Fortaleza
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 49 pass
Jhon Balanta
Jhon Balanta
D · Fortaleza
7.30
· 35 pass
J. Salas
J. Salas
F · Fortaleza
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 23 pass
L. Pico
L. Pico
M · Fortaleza
7.30
· 54 pass
S. Navarro
S. Navarro
M · Fortaleza
7.20
1 shots · 46 pass
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 31 13% — — —
S. Cuero D 90 6.90 — — — 34 29% 1 — —
Jhon Balanta D 90 7.30 — — — 35 33% — — —
Y. Díaz D 90 6.60 — — — 43 36% 1 — —
Joan Cajares D 90 6.30 — — — 26 24% — 1 —
S. Navarro M 89 7.20 — — 1 46 44% 1 — —
C. Orozco M 45 6.90 — — — 35 33% 1 — —
L. Pico M 90 7.30 — — — 54 48% — — —
Jhon Velásquez M 20 6.70 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
A. Arroyo F 90 7.60 1 1 4 49 46% — — —
Sebastian Herrera F 85 7.90 1 — 1 13 9% — — —
J. Salas F 70 7.30 — 1 2 23 19% 1 — —
Kevin Balanta M 45 6.90 — — — 12 10% 2 — —
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 22 14% — — —
C. De Las Salas D 90 6.50 — — — 15 14% — — —
J. García D 90 5.90 — — 1 23 17% 1 1 —
C. Romaña D 90 6.60 — 1 — 32 21% 1 1 —
A. Gutiérrez D 90 6.50 — — — 35 28% 2 — —
Aldair Zárate M 90 6.90 — — 1 29 27% 1 — —
G. Charrupí M 60 7.00 — — 1 25 19% 3 — —
J. Mosquera M 76 6.20 — — — 14 8% — — —
F. Sambueza M 90 7.20 1 — 5 30 18% 4 — —
E. Batalla M 90 6.30 — — 3 21 16% 1 — —
B. Caicedo F 90 6.60 — — 2 13 11% — — —
F. Salazar F 14 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
L. Pons F 30 6.90 — — — 7 5% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
The final score was Fortaleza FC 2–1 Bucaramanga.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Fortaleza FC win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Bucaramanga win.