J. Herrera
(ast. A. Arroyo)
39'
A. Arroyo
(ast. J. Salas)
78'
90'+3
(ast. C. Romana)
F. Sambueza
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fortaleza FC a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Bucaramanga 32%). The final result was Fortaleza FC 2–1 Bucaramanga.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
3
0.62
Actual xG
1.99
1
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
3
8
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
J. Garcia
J. Velasquez
/ J. Salas
20'
⚽J. Herrera
· ast. A. Arroyo
39'
C. Orozco
/ K. A. Balanta Carabali
46'
59'
(missed pen.)
E. Batalla⚽
60'
L. Pons
/
G. Charrupi
66'
C. Romana
76'
J. Salazar
/
J. Mosquera
⚽A. Arroyo
· ast. J. Salas
78'
J. Herrera
/ T. Wilke
85'
S. Navarro
/ S. Ramirez
90'+1
J. Cajares
90'+1
90'+3
ast. C. Romana ·
F. Sambueza⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.18%
Fortaleza ←
31.08%
X
32.75%
Bucaramanga
we assigned to the actual result (Fortaleza FC)
36.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
0.62
-0.32
0.85
1.99
+1.14
Bucaramanga dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
S. Cuero
D
18
Jhon Balanta
D
Jhon Balanta
D
6
Yesid Díaz
D
Yesid Díaz
D
16
Joan Cajares
D
Joan Cajares
D
8
Sebastián Navarro
89'
M
Sebastián Navarro
89'
M
20
C. Orozco
45'
M
14
Leonardo Pico
M
Leonardo Pico
M
10
Jhon Velásquez
20'
M
Jhon Velásquez
20'
M
33
A. Arroyo
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
A. Arroyo
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
9
Sebastian Herrera
1 ⚽
85'
F
Sebastian Herrera
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
24
J. Salas
1 👟
70'
F
17
Kevin Balanta
45'
M
Kevin Balanta
45'
M
26
Richardson Rivas
M
Richardson Rivas
M
12
G
25
C. De Las Salas
D
4
José García
D
José García
D
23
Carlos Romaña
1 👟
D
Carlos Romaña
1 👟
D
19
Aldair Gutiérrez
D
Aldair Gutiérrez
D
20
Aldair Zárate
M
Aldair Zárate
M
6
Gustavo Charrupi
60'
M
Gustavo Charrupi
60'
M
14
J. Mosquera
76'
M
10
F. Sambueza
1 ⚽
M
F. Sambueza
1 ⚽
M
15
E. Batalla
M
E. Batalla
M
9
Brandon Caicedo
F
Brandon Caicedo
F
Bench
21
Felix Charrupí
M
Felix Charrupí
M
11
Fredy Salazar
14'
F
Fredy Salazar
14'
F
7
Kevin Londoño
M
Kevin Londoño
M
27
L. Pons
30'
F
L. Pons
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Sebastian Herrera
F · Fortaleza
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
A. Arroyo
F · Fortaleza
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 49 pass
Jhon Balanta
D · Fortaleza
7.30
· 35 pass
J. Salas
F · Fortaleza
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
Leonardo Pico
M · Fortaleza
7.30
· 54 pass
Sebastián Navarro
M · Fortaleza
7.20
1 shots
· 46 pass
Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| S. Cuero | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Balanta | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Yesid Díaz | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Joan Cajares | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Navarro | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Orozco | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Pico | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Velásquez | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Arroyo | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Herrera | F | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Salas | F | 70 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Balanta | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
Bucaramanga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| C. De Las Salas | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| José García | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Romaña | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aldair Gutiérrez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Aldair Zárate | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Charrupi | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mosquera | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| F. Sambueza | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 30 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Batalla | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Brandon Caicedo | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Fredy Salazar | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Pons | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
The final score was Fortaleza FC 2–1 Bucaramanga.
What did the model predict before Fortaleza FC vs Bucaramanga?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Fortaleza FC win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Bucaramanga win.