← Scottish Premiership
Scottish Premiership · Championship Group - 34 April 26, 2026 19:30
Hibernian
#5 · 51 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Heart Of Midlothian
#1 · 70 pts
M. Boyle (ast. J. McGrath) 7'
(og) 65' W. O'Hora
86' (ast. S. Kerjota) B. Spittal

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Heart Of Midlothian 31%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian. In 3 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
6
0.52
Actual xG
1.83
24%
Possession
76%
0
Corners
11
19
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Boyle · ast. J. McGrath
7'
R. Sallinger
14'
↕ N. Cadden / J. Smith
15'
W. O'Hora
45'+1
45'+2
S. Kingsley
F. Passlack
45'+3
46'
S. Kerjota / J. Altena ↕
F. Passlack
48'
F. Passlack
48'
↕ O. Elding / K. Megwa
50'
58'
B. Spittal / M. Steinwender ↕
58'
A. Kyziridis / P. Kabore ↕
↕ D. Barlaser / J. Newell
64'
↕ J. McGrath / J. Campbell
64'
↕ M. Boyle / A. Suto
64'
65'
(og) W. O'Hora⚽
86'
ast. S. Kerjota · B. Spittal⚽
J. Newell
90'+1
90'+2
L. Shankland
90'+2
M. Leonard
R. Bushiri
90'+2
90'+3
I. Chesnokov / C. Braga ↕
90'
J. McCart / S. Kingsley ↕
Pre-match prediction
37.19%
Hibernian
30.88%
X
31.94%
Heart ←
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian) 31.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hibernian
1.10
0.52
-0.58
Heart
0.98
1.83
+0.85
Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
Hibernian Hibernian 3-4-1-2
1 Raphael Sallinger Raphael Sallinger 14' G 3.00
21 Jordan Obita Jordan Obita D 6.70
33 Rocky Bushiri Rocky Bushiri D 6.60
5 Warren O'Hora Warren O'Hora 1 ⚽ D 6.30
19 Nicky Cadden Nicky Cadden 15' M 6.70
22 Daniel Barlaser Daniel Barlaser 64' M 6.90
14 Miguel Changa Chaiwa Miguel Changa Chaiwa M 6.90
25 Felix Passlack Felix Passlack 48' M 6.00
17 J. McGrath J. McGrath 1 👟 64' F 7.20
47 Owen Elding Owen Elding 50' F 6.30
10 Martin Boyle Martin Boyle 1 ⚽ 64' F 7.30
Bench
77 Ante Šuto Ante Šuto 31' F 6.20
44 Dane Scarlett Dane Scarlett F
15 Jack Iredale Jack Iredale D
11 Joe Newell Joe Newell 31' M 6.70
32 Josh Campbell Josh Campbell 31' M 6.30
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 3-4-1-2
25
G 6.30
19
D 6.30
4
D 7.20
15 Michael Steinwender Michael Steinwender 58' D 7.30
3 Stephen Kingsley Stephen Kingsley M 6.90
6
M 6.50
49 Marc Leonard Marc Leonard M 7.70
23 Jordi Altena Jordi Altena 45' M 6.70
10 Cláudio Braga Cláudio Braga F 5.20
11 Pierre Landry Kaboré Pierre Landry Kaboré 58' F 6.30
9 Lawrence Shankland Lawrence Shankland F 6.00
Bench
89 Alexandros Kyziridis Alexandros Kyziridis 37' F 6.20
16 Blair Spittal Blair Spittal 1 ⚽ 37' M 7.90
99 Islam Chesnokov Islam Chesnokov 2' M
Best on the pitch
Blair Spittal
Blair Spittal
M · Heart
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Marc Leonard
Marc Leonard
M · Heart
7.70
3 shots · 82 pass
Michael Steinwender
Michael Steinwender
D · Heart
7.30
1 shots · 35 pass
Martin Boyle
Martin Boyle
F · Hibernian
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 3 pass
D · Heart
7.20
1 shots · 69 pass
J. McGrath
J. McGrath
F · Hibernian
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
Hibernian Hibernian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Raphael Sallinger G 14 3.00 — — — 2 1% — — 1
Jordan Obita D 95 6.70 — — — 24 12% 3 — —
Rocky Bushiri D 95 6.60 — — — 10 4% 1 1 —
Warren O'Hora D 95 6.30 1 — — 28 18% 1 1 —
Nicky Cadden M 15 6.70 — — — 4 2% 1 — —
Daniel Barlaser M 64 6.90 — — — 14 5% 2 — —
Miguel Changa Chaiwa M 95 6.90 — — 1 7 3% 3 — —
Felix Passlack M 48 6.00 — — — 13 3% 4 2 1
J. McGrath F 64 7.20 — 1 — 8 5% — — —
Owen Elding F 50 6.30 — — — 6 1% 2 — —
Martin Boyle F 64 7.30 1 — 3 3 1% 1 — —
Ante Šuto F 31 6.20 — — — 5 5% — — —
Joe Newell M 31 6.70 — — — 9 5% 1 1 —
Josh Campbell M 31 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
D 95 6.30 — — — 65 56% — — —
D 95 7.20 — — 1 69 50% — — —
Michael Steinwender D 58 7.30 — — 1 35 30% 2 — —
Stephen Kingsley M 90 6.90 — — 2 54 44% — 1 —
M 95 6.50 — — — 38 35% 1 — —
Marc Leonard M 95 7.70 — — 3 82 68% 5 1 —
Jordi Altena M 45 6.70 — — — 22 18% — — —
Cláudio Braga F 93 5.20 — — 5 19 13% — — —
Pierre Landry Kaboré F 58 6.30 — — — 14 10% 1 — —
Lawrence Shankland F 95 6.00 — — — 31 27% 1 1 —
Alexandros Kyziridis F 37 6.20 — — — 17 13% — — —
Blair Spittal M 37 7.90 1 — 1 23 20% — — —
Islam Chesnokov M 2 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Hibernian win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.