Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 34
April 26, 2026 17:30
M. Boyle
(ast. J. McGrath)
7'
(og)
65'
W. O'Hora
86'
(ast. S. Kerjota)
B. Spittal
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Heart Of Midlothian 31%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian. In 3 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
6
0.52
Actual xG
1.83
24%
Possession
76%
0
Corners
11
19
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Boyle
· ast. J. McGrath
7'
R. Sallinger
14'
N. Cadden
/ J. Smith
15'
W. O'Hora
45'+1
45'+2
S. Kingsley
F. Passlack
45'+3
46'
S. Kerjota
/
J. Altena
F. Passlack
48'
F. Passlack
48'
O. Elding
/ K. Megwa
50'
58'
B. Spittal
/
M. Steinwender
58'
A. Kyziridis
/
P. Kabore
D. Barlaser
/ J. Newell
64'
J. McGrath
/ J. Campbell
64'
M. Boyle
/ A. Suto
64'
65'
(og)
W. O'Hora⚽
86'
ast. S. Kerjota ·
B. Spittal⚽
J. Newell
90'+1
90'+2
L. Shankland
90'+2
M. Leonard
R. Bushiri
90'+2
90'+3
I. Chesnokov
/
C. Braga
90'
J. McCart
/
S. Kingsley
Pre-match prediction
37.19%
Hibernian
30.88%
X
31.94%
Heart ←
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian)
31.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
0.52
-0.58
0.98
1.83
+0.85
Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Raphael Sallinger
14'
G
Raphael Sallinger
14'
G
21
J. Obita
D
J. Obita
D
33
Rocky Bushiri
D
Rocky Bushiri
D
5
Warren O'Hora
1 ⚽
D
Warren O'Hora
1 ⚽
D
19
Nicky Cadden
15'
M
Nicky Cadden
15'
M
22
Daniel Barlaser
64'
M
Daniel Barlaser
64'
M
14
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
M
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
M
25
Felix Passlack
48'
M
Felix Passlack
48'
M
17
J. McGrath
1 👟
64'
F
J. McGrath
1 👟
64'
F
47
Owen Elding
50'
F
Owen Elding
50'
F
10
M. Boyle
1 ⚽
64'
F
M. Boyle
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
77
A. Šuto
31'
F
A. Šuto
31'
F
44
Dane Scarlett
F
Dane Scarlett
F
15
Jack Iredale
D
Jack Iredale
D
11
Joe Newell
31'
M
Joe Newell
31'
M
32
Josh Campbell
31'
M
Josh Campbell
31'
M
25
G
19
D
4
D
15
Michael Steinwender
58'
D
Michael Steinwender
58'
D
3
Stephen Kingsley
M
Stephen Kingsley
M
6
M
49
Marc Leonard
M
Marc Leonard
M
23
J. Altena
45'
M
J. Altena
45'
M
10
Cláudio Braga
F
Cláudio Braga
F
11
Pierre Landry Kaboré
58'
F
9
Lawrence Shankland
F
Lawrence Shankland
F
Bench
89
A. Kyziridis
37'
F
A. Kyziridis
37'
F
16
Blair Spittal
1 ⚽
37'
M
Blair Spittal
1 ⚽
37'
M
99
I. Chesnokov
2'
M
I. Chesnokov
2'
M
Best on the pitch
Blair Spittal
M · Heart
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Marc Leonard
M · Heart
7.70
3 shots
· 82 pass
Michael Steinwender
D · Heart
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
M. Boyle
F · Hibernian
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 3 pass
D · Heart
7.20
1 shots
· 69 pass
J. McGrath
F · Hibernian
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 14 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Obita | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Rocky Bushiri | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Warren O'Hora | D | 95 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicky Cadden | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Barlaser | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| Felix Passlack | M | 48 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 3% | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| J. McGrath | F | 64 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 64 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Joe Newell | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Josh Campbell | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 50% | — | — | — | |
| Michael Steinwender | D | 58 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Marc Leonard | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 82 | 68% | 5 | 1 | — |
| J. Altena | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 93 | 5.20 | — | — | 5 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Lawrence Shankland | F | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Kyziridis | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Blair Spittal | M | 37 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| I. Chesnokov | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Hibernian win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.