Scottish Premiership
· Championship Group - 34
April 26, 2026 17:30
M. Boyle
(ast. J. McGrath)
7'
(og)
65'
W. O'Hora
86'
(ast. S. Kerjota)
B. Spittal
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hibernian a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Heart Of Midlothian 31%). The final result was Hibernian 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian. In 4 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
6
0.52
Actual xG
1.83
24%
Possession
76%
0
Corners
11
19
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽M. Boyle
· ast. J. McGrath
7'
R. Sallinger
14'
N. Cadden
/ J. Smith
15'
W. O'Hora
45'+1
45'+2
S. Kingsley
F. Passlack
45'+3
46'
S. Kerjota
/
J. Altena
F. Passlack
48'
F. Passlack
48'
O. Elding
/ K. Megwa
50'
58'
B. Spittal
/
M. Steinwender
58'
A. Kyziridis
/
P. Kabore
D. Barlaser
/ J. Newell
64'
J. McGrath
/ J. Campbell
64'
M. Boyle
/ A. Suto
64'
65'
(og)
W. O'Hora⚽
86'
ast. S. Kerjota ·
B. Spittal⚽
J. Newell
90'+1
90'+2
L. Shankland
90'+2
M. Leonard
R. Bushiri
90'+2
90'+3
I. Chesnokov
/
C. Braga
90'
J. McCart
/
S. Kingsley
Pre-match prediction
37.19%
Hibernian
30.88%
X
31.94%
Heart ←
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian)
31.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
0.52
-0.58
0.98
1.83
+0.85
Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Sallinger
14'
G
R. Sallinger
14'
G
21
J. Obita
D
J. Obita
D
33
Rocky Bushiri
D
Rocky Bushiri
D
5
W. O'Hora
1 ⚽
D
19
N. Cadden
15'
M
N. Cadden
15'
M
22
D. Barlaser
64'
M
14
M. Chaiwa
M
M. Chaiwa
M
25
F. Passlack
48'
M
F. Passlack
48'
M
17
J. McGrath
1 👟
64'
F
J. McGrath
1 👟
64'
F
47
O. Elding
50'
F
O. Elding
50'
F
10
M. Boyle
1 ⚽
64'
F
M. Boyle
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
77
A. Šuto
31'
F
A. Šuto
31'
F
44
D. Scarlett
F
32
J. Campbell
31'
M
J. Campbell
31'
M
15
J. Iredale
D
J. Iredale
D
11
J. Newell
31'
M
J. Newell
31'
M
25
G
19
D
4
D
15
M. Steinwender
58'
D
M. Steinwender
58'
D
3
Stephen Kingsley
M
Stephen Kingsley
M
6
M
49
Marc Leonard
M
Marc Leonard
M
23
J. Altena
45'
M
J. Altena
45'
M
10
Cláudio Braga
F
Cláudio Braga
F
11
P. Kabore
58'
F
P. Kabore
58'
F
9
L. Shankland
F
L. Shankland
F
Bench
89
A. Kyziridis
37'
F
A. Kyziridis
37'
F
16
B. Spittal
1 ⚽
37'
M
B. Spittal
1 ⚽
37'
M
99
I. Chesnokov
2'
M
I. Chesnokov
2'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Spittal
M · Heart
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Marc Leonard
M · Heart
7.70
3 shots
· 82 pass
M. Steinwender
D · Heart
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
M. Boyle
F · Hibernian
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 3 pass
D · Heart
7.20
1 shots
· 69 pass
J. McGrath
F · Hibernian
7.20
1 👟
· 8 pass
Hibernian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sallinger | G | 14 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Obita | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Rocky Bushiri | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. O'Hora | D | 95 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 28 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Cadden | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Barlaser | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Passlack | M | 48 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 3% | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| J. McGrath | F | 64 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Elding | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Boyle | F | 64 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Campbell | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Newell | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | — | — | — | |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 50% | — | — | — | |
| M. Steinwender | D | 58 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Marc Leonard | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 82 | 68% | 5 | 1 | — |
| J. Altena | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 93 | 5.20 | — | — | 5 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Kabore | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Shankland | F | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Kyziridis | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Spittal | M | 37 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| I. Chesnokov | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Hibernian 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Hibernian win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.