Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
April 30, 2026 00:00
F. Mimbacas
(ast. A. Cruz)
6'
L. Roldan
25'
F. Mimbacas
45'+1
(pen.)
P. Lago
(ast. A. Cruz)
45'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Juventud a 52% win probability (draw 30%, Puerto Cabello 17%). The final result was Juventud 4–0 Puerto Cabello.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
1
2.14
Actual xG
0.47
1
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
5
19
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽F. Mimbacas
· ast. A. Cruz
6'
14'
⚽L. Roldan
25'
42'
44'
J. Ramos
⚽F. Mimbacas
(pen.)
45'+1
⚽P. Lago
· ast. A. Cruz
45'+3
46'
G. Melendez
/
R. D. Flores Barrios
46'
J. Marchan
/
G. Gonzalez
R. Peralta
/ R. Chagas
46'
E. Cecchini
/ F. Perez
46'
F. Perez
57'
59'
P. Lima
61'
R. Rosales
64'
J. Castillo
/
E. Pernia
71'
H. Linares
/
R. Rosales
R. Rabino
/ F. Barrandeguy
73'
F. Mimbacas
/ S. Guerrero
73'
P. Lago
/ G. Gomez
78'
83'
H. Contreras
/
J. Ramos
87'
G. Melendez
Pre-match prediction
52.06%
Juventud ←
30.15%
X
17.79%
Puerto
we assigned to the actual result (Juventud)
52.06%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
2.14
+0.76
0.63
0.47
-0.16
Juventud dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.47).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
16
Renzo Rabino
73'
D
23
Emmanuel Más
D
2
Patricio Pernicone
D
5
David Morosini
D
37
Ramiro Peralta
45'
M
19
E. Cecchini
45'
M
14
L. Roldán
1 ⚽
M
L. Roldán
1 ⚽
M
15
A. Cruz
2 👟
F
A. Cruz
2 👟
F
80
Fernando Mimbacas
2 ⚽
73'
F
11
P. Lago
1 ⚽
78'
F
P. Lago
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
21
Facundo Perez
45'
M
28
Franco Risso
D
26
Gastón Pereiro
M
30
Gonzalo Gomez
12'
M
27
Juan Boselli
F
9
Marcelo Perez
F
8
Mateo Izaguirre
M
1
G
16
R. Rosales
71'
D
14
G. Bortagaray
D
26
J. Ramos
83'
D
30
L. Casiani
D
47
G. Bamba
M
7
M
6
P. Lima
M
P. Lima
M
5
G. Gonzalez
45'
M
70
R. Flores
45'
M
R. Flores
45'
M
11
E. Pernia
64'
F
Bench
9
A. Ponce
F
44
G. Melendez
45'
D
27
H. Linares
19'
D
19
J. Castillo
26'
F
J. Castillo
26'
F
20
J. Marchan
45'
M
8
J. Moreno
M
29
J. Vargas
D
Best on the pitch
Fernando Mimbacas
F · Juventud
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
A. Cruz
F · Juventud
8.30
2 👟
2 shots
· 35 pass
David Morosini
D · Juventud
7.70
· 14 pass
L. Roldán
M · Juventud
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Patricio Pernicone
D · Juventud
7.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
Renzo Rabino
D · Juventud
7.20
· 19 pass
Juventud — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Renzo Rabino | D | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Más | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Patricio Pernicone | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| David Morosini | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 7 | — | — |
| Ramiro Peralta | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Cecchini | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Roldán | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cruz | F | 90 | 8.30 | — | 2 | 2 | 35 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando Mimbacas | F | 73 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| P. Lago | F | 78 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Perez | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Gomez | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Puerto Cabello — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| R. Rosales | D | 71 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Bortagaray | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 65 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ramos | D | 83 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 76 | 63% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Casiani | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Bamba | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| P. Lima | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Gonzalez | M | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Flores | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| E. Pernia | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| G. Melendez | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Linares | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Castillo | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Marchan | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?
The final score was Juventud 4–0 Puerto Cabello.
What did the model predict before Juventud vs Puerto Cabello?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Juventud win, 30% to a draw, and 17% to an Puerto Cabello win.