Skip to main content
← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 17:15
Metz
1 – 3
Final score
Paris FC
#4 · 17 pts
G. Kvilitaia (ast. S. Sane) 31'
21' A. Gory
69' (ast. C. Immobile) Otavio
89' (ast. D. Coppola) I. Kebbal
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris FC a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Metz 27%). The final result was Metz 1–3 Paris FC. In 1 previous meetings, Metz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris FC.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
7
1.08
Actual xG
1.48
4
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
5
16
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
U. Mboula
13'
21'
A. Gory⚽
↕ H. Diallo / G. Kvilitaia
30'
⚽G. Kvilitaia · ast. S. Sane
31'
K. Kouao
38'
45'+1
I. Kebbal
↕ U. Mboula / B. Sarr
57'
62'
A. Gory
66'
V. Marchetti / A. Gory ↕
69'
ast. C. Immobile · Otavio⚽
↕ T. Yegbe / J. Pandore
74'
↕ N. Mbala / L. Michal
75'
↕ J. Deminguet / B. Stambouli
75'
78'
W. Geubbels / C. Immobile ↕
78'
A. Camara / H. Traore ↕
88'
M. Cafaro / L. Koleosho ↕
88'
N. Sangui / T. De Smet ↕
89'
ast. D. Coppola · I. Kebbal⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.68%
Metz
25.4%
X
46.92%
Paris ←
we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC) 46.92% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Metz
1.14
1.08
-0.06
Paris
1.57
1.48
-0.09
Paris FC dominated by xG (1.48 vs 1.08). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 9 20
2 Lille Lille 9 18
3 Lyon Lyon 9 17
4 Paris FC Paris FC 9 17
5 Rennes Rennes 9 16
6 Marseille Marseille 9 15
7 Monaco Monaco 9 15
8 Nice Nice 9 14
9 Lens Lens 9 13
10 Toulouse Toulouse 10 13
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 9 12
12 Lorient Lorient 9 12
13 Strasbourg Strasbourg 10 10
14 Auxerre Auxerre 9 10
15 Angers Angers 9 8
16 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 9 8
17 Le Mans Le Mans 9 7
18 Le Havre Le Havre 9 2
Lineups
Metz Metz 4-2-3-1
61
G 7.30
4 U. Mboula U. Mboula 57' D 6.50
15 T. Yegbe T. Yegbe 74' D 6.30
38 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané 1 👟 D 7.20
39 K. Kouao K. Kouao D 5.90
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin Jean-Philippe Gbamin M 6.60
20 J. Deminguet J. Deminguet 75' M 6.90
7 G. Tsitaishvili G. Tsitaishvili M 7.50
10 G. Hein G. Hein M 6.00
34 N. Mbala N. Mbala 75' M 6.60
30 H. Diallo H. Diallo 30' F 6.30
Bench
12 A. Touré A. Touré M
21 Benjamin Stambouli Benjamin Stambouli 15' M 6.70
70 B. Sarr B. Sarr 33' D 6.60
11 G. Kvilitaia G. Kvilitaia 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.30
35 J. Pandore J. Pandore 16' F 6.50
19 Lucas Michal Lucas Michal 15' F 6.50
Paris FC Paris FC 4-1-4-1
16
G 6.50
28 T. De Smet T. De Smet 88' D 6.20
6 Otávio Otávio 1 ⚽ D 8.30
42
1 👟 D 7.30
14 H. Traoré H. Traoré 78' D 6.70
31
M 6.90
24 L. Koleosho L. Koleosho 88' M 6.70
23 R. Matondo R. Matondo M 6.90
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 1 ⚽ M 7.90
7 A. Gory A. Gory 1 ⚽ 66' M 6.90
36 C. Immobile C. Immobile 1 👟 78' F 6.30
Bench
17 A. Camara A. Camara 12' M 6.70
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné F
35 K. Trapp K. Trapp G
5 M. Mbow M. Mbow D
18 M. Munetsi M. Munetsi M
9 W. Geubbels W. Geubbels 12' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Otávio
Otávio
D · Paris
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 82 pass
I. Kebbal
I. Kebbal
M · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 59 pass
G. Tsitaishvili
G. Tsitaishvili
M · Metz
7.50
3 shots · 22 pass
G. Kvilitaia
G. Kvilitaia
F · Metz
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
D · Paris
7.30
1 👟
· 55 pass
G · Metz
7.30
· 30 pass
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
U. Mboula D 57 6.50 — — — 37 34% 1 1 —
T. Yegbe D 74 6.30 — — — 64 59% 1 — —
Sadibou Sané D 90 7.20 — 1 — 64 58% 1 — —
K. Kouao D 90 5.90 — — — 45 39% 1 1 —
Jean-Philippe Gbamin M 90 6.60 — — — 67 60% 2 — —
J. Deminguet M 75 6.90 — — — 38 34% 1 — —
G. Tsitaishvili M 90 7.50 — — 3 22 15% — — —
G. Hein M 90 6.00 — — — 50 40% 1 — —
N. Mbala M 75 6.60 — — 1 18 16% 2 — —
H. Diallo F 30 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Benjamin Stambouli M 15 6.70 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
B. Sarr D 33 6.60 — — — 24 22% 3 — —
G. Kvilitaia F 60 7.30 1 — 4 19 14% 1 — —
J. Pandore F 16 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Lucas Michal F 15 6.50 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 39 30% — — —
T. De Smet D 88 6.20 — — — 29 25% 1 — —
Otávio D 90 8.30 1 — 1 82 70% 3 — —
D 90 7.30 — 1 — 55 51% — — —
H. Traoré D 78 6.70 — — — 37 34% 3 — —
M 90 6.90 — — — 29 27% 2 — —
L. Koleosho M 88 6.70 — — 2 35 28% 2 — —
R. Matondo M 90 6.90 — — 2 42 35% — — —
I. Kebbal M 90 7.90 1 — 2 59 47% — 1 —
A. Gory M 66 6.90 1 — 1 29 27% — 1 —
C. Immobile F 78 6.30 — 1 2 29 20% — — —
A. Camara M 12 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
W. Geubbels F 12 6.20 — — 2 7 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metz vs Paris FC?
The final score was Metz 1–3 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Metz vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Metz win, 25% to a draw, and 46% to an Paris FC win.