Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 30
April 19, 2026 17:15
G. Kvilitaia
(ast. S. Sane)
31'
21'
A. Gory
69'
(ast. C. Immobile)
Otavio
89'
(ast. D. Coppola)
I. Kebbal
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris FC a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Metz 27%). The final result was Metz 1–3 Paris FC. In 1 previous meetings, Metz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris FC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
7
1.08
Actual xG
1.48
4
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
5
16
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
U. Mboula
13'
21'
A. Gory⚽
H. Diallo
/ G. Kvilitaia
30'
⚽G. Kvilitaia
· ast. S. Sane
31'
K. Kouao
38'
45'+1
I. Kebbal
U. Mboula
/ B. Sarr
57'
62'
A. Gory
66'
V. Marchetti
/
A. Gory
69'
ast. C. Immobile ·
Otavio⚽
T. Yegbe
/ J. Pandore
74'
N. Mbala
/ L. Michal
75'
J. Deminguet
/ B. Stambouli
75'
78'
W. Geubbels
/
C. Immobile
78'
A. Camara
/
H. Traore
88'
M. Cafaro
/
L. Koleosho
88'
N. Sangui
/
T. De Smet
89'
ast. D. Coppola ·
I. Kebbal⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.68%
Metz
25.4%
X
46.92%
Paris ←
we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC)
46.92%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
1.08
-0.06
1.57
1.48
-0.09
Paris FC dominated by xG (1.48 vs 1.08).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
61
G
4
Urie-Michel Mboula
57'
D
Urie-Michel Mboula
57'
D
15
Terry Yegbe
74'
D
Terry Yegbe
74'
D
38
Sadibou Sané
1 👟
D
Sadibou Sané
1 👟
D
39
K. Kouao
D
K. Kouao
D
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
M
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
M
20
Jessy Deminguet
75'
M
Jessy Deminguet
75'
M
7
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
M
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
M
10
G. Hein
M
G. Hein
M
34
Nathan Mbala
75'
M
Nathan Mbala
75'
M
30
Habibou Diallo
30'
F
Habibou Diallo
30'
F
Bench
12
Alpha Touré
M
Alpha Touré
M
21
Benjamin Stambouli
15'
M
Benjamin Stambouli
15'
M
70
Bouna Sarr
33'
D
Bouna Sarr
33'
D
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia
1 ⚽
60'
F
35
Jahyann Pandore
16'
F
Jahyann Pandore
16'
F
19
L. Michal
15'
F
16
G
28
Thibault De Smet
88'
D
Thibault De Smet
88'
D
6
Otávio
1 ⚽
D
Otávio
1 ⚽
D
42
1 👟
D
14
Hamari Traoré
78'
D
Hamari Traoré
78'
D
31
M
24
Luca Koleosho
88'
M
Luca Koleosho
88'
M
23
Rudy Matondo
M
Rudy Matondo
M
10
I. Kebbal
1 ⚽
M
I. Kebbal
1 ⚽
M
7
Alimami Gory
1 ⚽
66'
M
Alimami Gory
1 ⚽
66'
M
36
C. Immobile
1 👟
78'
F
C. Immobile
1 👟
78'
F
Bench
17
A. Camara
12'
M
A. Camara
12'
M
93
J. Ikoné
F
J. Ikoné
F
35
Kevin Trapp
G
Kevin Trapp
G
18
Marshall Munetsi
M
5
Moustapha Mbow
D
Moustapha Mbow
D
9
Willem Geubbels
12'
F
Willem Geubbels
12'
F
Best on the pitch
Otávio
D · Paris
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 82 pass
I. Kebbal
M · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 59 pass
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
M · Metz
7.50
3 shots
· 22 pass
Giorgi Kvilitaia
F · Metz
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 19 pass
D · Paris
7.30
1 👟
· 55 pass
G · Metz
7.30
· 30 pass
Metz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — | |
| Urie-Michel Mboula | D | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Terry Yegbe | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Sadibou Sané | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 64 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Kouao | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean-Philippe Gbamin | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Jessy Deminguet | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgi Tsitaishvili | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| G. Hein | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Mbala | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Habibou Diallo | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Stambouli | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Bouna Sarr | D | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Giorgi Kvilitaia | F | 60 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jahyann Pandore | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Michal | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Paris FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| Thibault De Smet | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Otávio | D | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 82 | 70% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 55 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| Hamari Traoré | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — | |
| Luca Koleosho | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Rudy Matondo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 35% | — | — | — |
| I. Kebbal | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 59 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| Alimami Gory | M | 66 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Immobile | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Camara | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Willem Geubbels | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metz vs Paris FC?
The final score was Metz 1–3 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Metz vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Metz win, 25% to a draw, and 46% to an Paris FC win.