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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 17:15
Metz
1 – 3
Final score
Paris FC
#3 · 7 pts
G. Kvilitaia (ast. S. Sane) 31'
21' A. Gory
69' (ast. C. Immobile) Otavio
89' (ast. D. Coppola) I. Kebbal
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris FC a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Metz 27%). The final result was Metz 1–3 Paris FC. In 1 previous meetings, Metz have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris FC.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
7
1.08
Actual xG
1.48
4
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
5
16
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
U. Mboula
13'
21'
A. Gory⚽
↕ H. Diallo / G. Kvilitaia
30'
⚽G. Kvilitaia · ast. S. Sane
31'
K. Kouao
38'
45'+1
I. Kebbal
↕ U. Mboula / B. Sarr
57'
62'
A. Gory
66'
V. Marchetti / A. Gory ↕
69'
ast. C. Immobile · Otavio⚽
↕ T. Yegbe / J. Pandore
74'
↕ N. Mbala / L. Michal
75'
↕ J. Deminguet / B. Stambouli
75'
78'
W. Geubbels / C. Immobile ↕
78'
A. Camara / H. Traore ↕
88'
M. Cafaro / L. Koleosho ↕
88'
N. Sangui / T. De Smet ↕
89'
ast. D. Coppola · I. Kebbal⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.68%
Metz
25.4%
X
46.92%
Paris ←
we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC) 46.92% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Metz
1.14
1.08
-0.06
Paris
1.57
1.48
-0.09
Paris FC dominated by xG (1.48 vs 1.08). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Metz Metz 4-2-3-1
61
G 7.30
4 U. Mboula U. Mboula 57' D 6.50
15 T. Yegbe T. Yegbe 74' D 6.30
38 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané 1 👟 D 7.20
39 K. Kouao K. Kouao D 5.90
5
J. Gbamin M 6.60
20 J. Deminguet J. Deminguet 75' M 6.90
7 G. Tsitaishvili G. Tsitaishvili M 7.50
10 G. Hein G. Hein M 6.00
34 N. Mbala N. Mbala 75' M 6.60
30 H. Diallo H. Diallo 30' F 6.30
Bench
12 Alpha Touré Alpha Touré M
21 Benjamin Stambouli Benjamin Stambouli 15' M 6.70
70 B. Sarr B. Sarr 33' D 6.60
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.30
35 J. Pandore J. Pandore 16' F 6.50
19 L. Michal L. Michal 15' F 6.50
Paris FC Paris FC 4-1-4-1
16
G 6.50
28 Thibault De Smet Thibault De Smet 88' D 6.20
6 Otávio Otávio 1 ⚽ D 8.30
42
1 👟 D 7.30
14 H. Traoré H. Traoré 78' D 6.70
31
M 6.90
24 L. Koleosho L. Koleosho 88' M 6.70
23 R. Matondo R. Matondo M 6.90
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 1 ⚽ M 7.90
7 A. Gory A. Gory 1 ⚽ 66' M 6.90
36 C. Immobile C. Immobile 1 👟 78' F 6.30
Bench
17 A. Camara A. Camara 12' M 6.70
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné F
35 K. Trapp K. Trapp G
5 M. Mbow M. Mbow D
18 M. Munetsi M. Munetsi M
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 12' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Otávio
Otávio
D · Paris
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 82 pass
I. Kebbal
I. Kebbal
M · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 59 pass
G. Tsitaishvili
G. Tsitaishvili
M · Metz
7.50
3 shots · 22 pass
Giorgi Kvilitaia
F · Metz
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 19 pass
D · Paris
7.30
1 👟
· 55 pass
G · Metz
7.30
· 30 pass
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
U. Mboula D 57 6.50 — — — 37 34% 1 1 —
T. Yegbe D 74 6.30 — — — 64 59% 1 — —
Sadibou Sané D 90 7.20 — 1 — 64 58% 1 — —
K. Kouao D 90 5.90 — — — 45 39% 1 1 —
J. Gbamin M 90 6.60 — — — 67 60% 2 — —
J. Deminguet M 75 6.90 — — — 38 34% 1 — —
G. Tsitaishvili M 90 7.50 — — 3 22 15% — — —
G. Hein M 90 6.00 — — — 50 40% 1 — —
N. Mbala M 75 6.60 — — 1 18 16% 2 — —
H. Diallo F 30 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Benjamin Stambouli M 15 6.70 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
B. Sarr D 33 6.60 — — — 24 22% 3 — —
Giorgi Kvilitaia F 60 7.30 1 — 4 19 14% 1 — —
J. Pandore F 16 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
L. Michal F 15 6.50 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 39 30% — — —
Thibault De Smet D 88 6.20 — — — 29 25% 1 — —
Otávio D 90 8.30 1 — 1 82 70% 3 — —
D 90 7.30 — 1 — 55 51% — — —
H. Traoré D 78 6.70 — — — 37 34% 3 — —
M 90 6.90 — — — 29 27% 2 — —
L. Koleosho M 88 6.70 — — 2 35 28% 2 — —
R. Matondo M 90 6.90 — — 2 42 35% — — —
I. Kebbal M 90 7.90 1 — 2 59 47% — 1 —
A. Gory M 66 6.90 1 — 1 29 27% — 1 —
C. Immobile F 78 6.30 — 1 2 29 20% — — —
A. Camara M 12 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
Willem Geubbels F 12 6.20 — — 2 7 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metz vs Paris FC?
The final score was Metz 1–3 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Metz vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Metz win, 25% to a draw, and 46% to an Paris FC win.