Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 14
March 31, 2026 03:20
✗Model wrong — prediction Millonarios, result Draw
L. Castro
29'
S. Valencia
(ast. S. Viveros)
41'
13'
(ast. J. Marulanda)
J. Herrera
57'
(ast. J. Marulanda)
J. Herrera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 75% win probability (draw 12%, Fortaleza FC 12%). The final result was Millonarios 2–2 Fortaleza FC.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
5
1.22
Actual xG
0.74
3
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
13
Corners
2
9
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
7
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
13'
ast. J. Marulanda ·
J. Herrera⚽
⚽L. Castro
29'
Jorge Arias
30'
⚽S. Valencia
· ast. S. Viveros
41'
46'
Juan Sebastian Herrera
57'
ast. J. Marulanda ·
J. Herrera⚽
62'
Kevin Balanta
Rodrigo Contreras
64'
64'
Yesid Díaz
64'
Jonathan Marulanda
S. Viveros
/ S. Vega
64'
70'
Jhon Balanta
72'
J. Cajares
/
R. D. Rivas Torres
80'
J. Salas
/
J. Velasquez
D. Silva
/ D. Quintero
81'
M. Garcia
/ B. D. Castro Espinosa
81'
84'
Kevin Balanta
84'
Kevin Balanta
S. Valencia
/ D. Banguero
90'+4
Leonardo Castro
90'+6
90'+6
Leonardo Pico
Diego Novoa
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
75.07%
Millonarios
12.22%
X ←
12.72%
Fortaleza
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
12.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.37
1.22
-2.15
0.52
0.74
+0.22
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
D. Novoa
G
D. Novoa
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
1 ⚽
89'
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
1 ⚽
89'
D
17
J. Arias
D
J. Arias
D
4
Edgar Elizalde
D
26
A. Llinás
D
A. Llinás
D
30
S. Viveros
1 👟
14
D. Silva
81'
M
D. Silva
81'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. García
81'
M
M. García
81'
M
23
L. Castro
1 ⚽
F
L. Castro
1 ⚽
F
27
R. Contreras
F
R. Contreras
F
Bench
11
B. Castro
9'
F
B. Castro
9'
F
20
D. Banguero
1'
D
D. Banguero
1'
D
7
D. Quintero
9'
M
D. Quintero
9'
M
1
Guillermo De Amores
G
Guillermo De Amores
G
3
M. Diaz Samuel
D
M. Diaz Samuel
D
32
G
15
S. Cuero
D
S. Cuero
D
6
Y. Díaz
D
Y. Díaz
D
18
Jhon Balanta
D
Jhon Balanta
D
4
Jonathan Marulanda
2 👟
D
17
K. Balanta
84'
M
K. Balanta
84'
M
14
L. Pico
M
L. Pico
M
26
Richardson Rivas
72'
M
Richardson Rivas
72'
M
33
A. Arroyo
M
A. Arroyo
M
10
Jhon Velásquez
80'
M
Jhon Velásquez
80'
M
9
Sebastian Herrera
2 ⚽
F
Sebastian Herrera
2 ⚽
F
Bench
20
C. Orozco
D
16
Joan Cajares
18'
D
Joan Cajares
18'
D
24
J. Salas
10'
F
J. Salas
10'
F
8
S. Navarro
M
S. Navarro
M
Best on the pitch
Sebastian Herrera
F · Fortaleza
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Jonathan Marulanda
D · Fortaleza
8.20
2 👟
· 56 pass
L. Castro
F · Millonarios
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D · Millonarios
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 24 pass
Edgar Elizalde
D · Millonarios
7.20
1 shots
· 50 pass
R. Ureña
M · Millonarios
7.20
1 shots
· 32 pass
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Novoa | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 24 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Arias | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Edgar Elizalde | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Llinás | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Viveros | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D. Silva | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. García | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Castro | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Banguero | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Quintero | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Fortaleza FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| S. Cuero | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Díaz | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jhon Balanta | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Marulanda | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | 2 | — | 56 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Balanta | M | 84 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| L. Pico | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| Richardson Rivas | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Arroyo | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Jhon Velásquez | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Herrera | F | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Joan Cajares | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Salas | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC?
The final score was Millonarios 2–2 Fortaleza FC.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Millonarios win, 12% to a draw, and 12% to an Fortaleza FC win.