← HNL
HNL · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 18:00
NK Varazdin
#4 · 48 pts
2 – 1
Final score
NK Slaven Belupo
#7 · 41 pts
I. Tavares (ast. I. Canjuga) 12'
I. Mamut 77' (pen.)
39' L. Crepulja

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 44% win probability (draw 34%, NK Slaven Belupo 20%). The final result was NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo. In 3 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for NK Slaven Belupo.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
6
1.56
Actual xG
1.41
5
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
5
11
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽I. Tavares · ast. I. Canjuga
12'
35'
G. Sivalec / A. Grgic ↕
39'
L. Crepulja⚽
47'
Ljuban Crepulja
↕ I. Tavares / P. Bockaj
64'
↕ L. Mamic / T. Duvnjak
64'
Ivan Mamut
65'
66'
I. Lepinjica / F. Mazar ↕
66'
L. Bosnjak / I. Cubelic ↕
68'
Leon Bošnjak
⚽I. Mamut (pen.)
77'
↕ D. Puclin / S. Ilinkovic
79'
↕ A. Borsic / G. Sikosek
79'
↕ I. Mamut / M. Mladenovski
83'
86'
K. Isasegi / F. Kruselj ↕
86'
M. Ascic / J. Mitrovic ↕
Luka Škaričić
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
44.94%
NK ←
34.6%
X
20.47%
NK
we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin) 44.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
1.23
1.56
+0.33
NK
0.84
1.41
+0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 4-1-4-1
1
G 7.60
25
A. Borsic 79' D 6.90
4
L. Skaricic D 7.30
14
R. Puncec D 6.90
23
D 6.30
6
D. Puclin 79' M 7.00
38
I. Tavares 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.90
22
L. Mamic 64' M 7.20
28
I. Canjuga 1 👟 M 7.30
7
M. Vuk M 6.90
17 I. Mamut I. Mamut 1 ⚽ 83' F 6.90
Bench
20
Gregor Sikosek 11' D 6.90
13
Mario Mladenovski 11' D 6.60
44
M. Barac D
24
M. Marina M
16
Novak Tepšić D
2
S. Lesjak D
8 T. Duvnjak T. Duvnjak 26' M 6.30
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 4-2-3-1
31
G 7.00
22
F. Jovic D 6.20
4 Dominik Kovačić Dominik Kovačić D 6.50
6
Tomislav Božić D 6.30
18 Filip Krušelj Filip Krušelj 86' D 6.50
21 L. Crepulja L. Crepulja 1 ⚽ M 7.90
15 Ivan Ćubelić Ivan Ćubelić 66' M 6.30
27
A. Grgic 35' F 6.50
17
F. Mazar 66' M 7.20
11 J. Mitrović J. Mitrović 86' F 6.20
7
M. Dabro F 6.30
Bench
26 Gabrijel Šivalec Gabrijel Šivalec 55' F 6.30
23 Igor Lepinjica Igor Lepinjica 24' M 6.50
33 Karlo Išasegi Karlo Išasegi 8' D 6.70
24 Leon Bošnjak Leon Bošnjak 24' M 6.20
20 Marko Petrovic Marko Petrovic D
Best on the pitch
L. Crepulja
L. Crepulja
M · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 69 pass
I. Tavares
M · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
G · NK
7.60
· 17 pass
L. Skaricic
D · NK
7.30
· 56 pass
I. Canjuga
M · NK
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 31 pass
F. Mazar
M · NK
7.20
1 shots · 19 pass
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 17 10% — — —
A. Borsic D 79 6.90 — — 1 49 41% — — —
L. Skaricic D 90 7.30 — — — 56 51% — 1 —
R. Puncec D 90 6.90 — — — 39 34% — — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 37 23% 1 — —
D. Puclin M 79 7.00 — — — 33 28% 2 — —
I. Tavares M 64 7.90 1 — 2 21 19% 3 — —
L. Mamic M 64 7.20 — — 1 22 22% — — —
I. Canjuga M 90 7.30 — 1 1 31 26% 3 — —
M. Vuk M 90 6.90 — — — 31 23% 2 — —
I. Mamut F 83 6.90 1 — 4 16 15% — 1 —
Gregor Sikosek D 11 6.90 — — — 6 4% — — —
Mario Mladenovski D 11 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
T. Duvnjak M 26 6.30 — — 1 14 10% — — —
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 20 12% — — —
F. Jovic D 90 6.20 — — — 21 16% 1 — —
Dominik Kovačić D 90 6.50 — — — 42 34% 2 — —
Tomislav Božić D 90 6.30 — — — 33 26% 2 — —
Filip Krušelj D 86 6.50 — — 1 25 24% 4 — —
L. Crepulja M 90 7.90 1 — 2 69 57% 2 1 —
Ivan Ćubelić M 66 6.30 — — — 30 22% 1 — —
A. Grgic F 35 6.50 — — — 6 6% — — —
F. Mazar M 66 7.20 — — 1 19 18% — — —
J. Mitrović F 86 6.20 — — — 26 18% 2 — —
M. Dabro F 90 6.30 — — 3 12 11% 2 — —
Gabrijel Šivalec F 55 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
Igor Lepinjica M 24 6.50 — — — 9 5% — — —
Karlo Išasegi D 8 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Leon Bošnjak M 24 6.20 — — — 16 10% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?
The final score was NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo.
What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?
The model assigned 44% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 34% to a draw, and 20% to an NK Slaven Belupo win.