I. Tavares
(ast. I. Canjuga)
12'
I. Mamut
77'
(pen.)
39'
L. Crepulja
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 44% win probability (draw 34%, NK Slaven Belupo 20%). The final result was NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo. In 4 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for NK Slaven Belupo.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
6
1.56
Actual xG
1.41
5
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
5
11
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽I. Tavares
· ast. I. Canjuga
12'
35'
G. Sivalec
/
A. Grgic
39'
L. Crepulja⚽
47'
Ljuban Crepulja
I. Tavares
/ P. Bockaj
64'
L. Mamic
/ T. Duvnjak
64'
Ivan Mamut
65'
66'
I. Lepinjica
/
F. Mazar
66'
L. Bosnjak
/
I. Cubelic
68'
Leon Bošnjak
⚽I. Mamut
(pen.)
77'
D. Puclin
/ S. Ilinkovic
79'
A. Borsic
/ G. Sikosek
79'
I. Mamut
/ M. Mladenovski
83'
86'
K. Isasegi
/
F. Kruselj
86'
M. Ascic
/
J. Mitrovic
Luka Škaričić
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
44.94%
NK ←
34.6%
X
20.47%
NK
we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin)
44.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
1.56
+0.33
0.84
1.41
+0.57
xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
25
Antonio Boršić
79'
D
4
Luka Škaričić
D
Luka Škaričić
D
14
Roberto Punčec
D
Roberto Punčec
D
23
D
6
David Puclin
79'
M
David Puclin
79'
M
38
Iuri Tavares
1 ⚽
64'
M
Iuri Tavares
1 ⚽
64'
M
22
Luka Mamić
64'
M
Luka Mamić
64'
M
28
I. Canjuga
1 👟
M
I. Canjuga
1 👟
M
7
M. Vuk
M
M. Vuk
M
17
I. Mamut
1 ⚽
83'
F
I. Mamut
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
20
G. Sikošek
11'
D
G. Sikošek
11'
D
44
Mateo Barać
D
Mateo Barać
D
24
M. Marina
M
M. Marina
M
13
M. Mladenovski
11'
D
M. Mladenovski
11'
D
16
Novak Tepšić
D
Novak Tepšić
D
2
Sven Lesjak
D
Sven Lesjak
D
8
Tomislav Duvnjak
26'
M
Tomislav Duvnjak
26'
M
31
G
22
F. Jovic
D
4
D. Kovačić
D
D. Kovačić
D
6
Tomislav Božić
D
Tomislav Božić
D
18
Filip Krušelj
86'
D
Filip Krušelj
86'
D
21
L. Crepulja
1 ⚽
M
L. Crepulja
1 ⚽
M
15
I. Ćubelić
66'
M
I. Ćubelić
66'
M
27
A. Grgić
35'
F
A. Grgić
35'
F
17
F. Mažar
66'
M
F. Mažar
66'
M
11
Josip Mitrović
86'
F
Josip Mitrović
86'
F
7
M. Dabro
F
M. Dabro
F
Bench
26
Gabrijel Šivalec
55'
F
Gabrijel Šivalec
55'
F
23
Igor Lepinjica
24'
M
Igor Lepinjica
24'
M
33
Karlo Išasegi
8'
D
Karlo Išasegi
8'
D
24
Leon Bošnjak
24'
M
Leon Bošnjak
24'
M
20
Marko Petrović
D
Marko Petrović
D
Best on the pitch
L. Crepulja
M · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 69 pass
Iuri Tavares
M · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
G · NK
7.60
· 17 pass
Luka Škaričić
D · NK
7.30
· 56 pass
I. Canjuga
M · NK
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
F. Mažar
M · NK
7.20
1 shots
· 19 pass
NK Varazdin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Antonio Boršić | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Luka Škaričić | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| Roberto Punčec | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| David Puclin | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Iuri Tavares | M | 64 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Luka Mamić | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| I. Canjuga | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Vuk | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Mamut | F | 83 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Sikošek | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Mladenovski | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tomislav Duvnjak | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
NK Slaven Belupo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| F. Jovic | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kovačić | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomislav Božić | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Filip Krušelj | D | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Crepulja | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 69 | 57% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Ćubelić | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Grgić | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Mažar | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Josip Mitrović | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Dabro | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabrijel Šivalec | F | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Igor Lepinjica | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Karlo Išasegi | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Leon Bošnjak | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?
The final score was NK Varazdin 2–1 NK Slaven Belupo.
What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?
The model assigned 44% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 34% to a draw, and 20% to an NK Slaven Belupo win.