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← Primera RFEF - Group 1

Pontevedra - UD Ourense

Primera RFEF - Group 1 November 07, 2026 16:30
Pontevedra
#8 · 15 pts
vs
UD Ourense
#19 · 8 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.53%
Win
Pontevedra
26.38%
Draw
16.09%
Win
UD Ourense
0.92
Expected xG
0.34
Most likely outcome
Pontevedra
57.53%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 4 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (20.63%)
1X2 Result
1 58%
X 26%
2 16%
Double Chance
1X 84%
X2 43%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 45%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pontevedra a 57% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 16% for UD Ourense. Expected goals are 0.9 for Pontevedra and 0.3 for UD Ourense (total 1.3), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 20.63% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Pontevedra have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for UD Ourense.

Season Stats

Pontevedra
5W 6D 4L
UD Ourense
2W 2D 6L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.4
1.1
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
30%
53%
BTTS
20%
33%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera RFEF - Group 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Pontevedra
5W 3D 2L · at home
UD Ourense
0W 1D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.4
1.1
Conceded
2.2
50%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
20%
90%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
40%
50%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pontevedra UD Ourense →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 28.2% 9.7% 1.7% 0.2% — —
1 26.0% 8.9% 1.5% 0.2% — —
2 12.0% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% — —
3 3.7% 1.3% 0.2% — — —
4 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.2% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Pontevedra Pontevedra
D Barakaldo 0–0
W Cultural Leonesa 1–2
W Cacereño 1–0
L Mérida AD 1–2
L Racing Ferrol 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
UD Ourense UD Ourense
W Cultural Leonesa 1–0
L Arenas Getxo 2–0
L Real Avilés 3–0
W Barakaldo 1–0
D Real Unión 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Pontevedra Pontevedra
Attack
22
Defence
70
Form
45
UD Ourense UD Ourense
Attack
13
Defence
64
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Pontevedra
1
Draw
0
UD Ourense
29 Oct 2025 Copa del Rey 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lugo Lugo 11 28
2 UD Logroñés UD Logroñés 10 20
3 Real Avilés Real Avilés 11 17
4 Mirandes Mirandes 10 17
5 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 10 17
6 Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924 11 16
7 Athletic Club II Athletic Club II 10 15
8 Pontevedra Pontevedra 10 15
9 Cacereño Cacereño 11 15
10 Ponferradina Ponferradina 10 14
11 Real Unión Real Unión 10 13
12 Mérida AD Mérida AD 10 13
13 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 10 12
14 Zamora Zamora 10 12
15 Barakaldo Barakaldo 10 11
16 Deportivo La Coruña II Deportivo La Coruña II 10 11
17 Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca 10 10
18 CD Coria CD Coria 10 9
19 UD Ourense UD Ourense 10 8
20 Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo 10 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?
The model gives Pontevedra a 57% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 16% for an UD Ourense win.
How many goals are expected in Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?
Expected goals: Pontevedra 0.9, UD Ourense 0.3 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.63%.