Europa League
· Semi-finals
May 07, 2026 21:00
L. Kubler
19'
J. Manzambi
(ast. P. Treu)
41'
L. Kubler
(ast. V. Grifo)
72'
79'
(ast. V. Gomez)
P. Victor
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 43% win probability (draw 25%, SC Braga 30%). The final result was SC Freiburg 3–1 SC Braga. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Braga.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
1.71
Actual xG
1.41
2
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
4
Corners
7
14
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
6'
M. Dorgeles
⚽L. Kubler
19'
⚽J. Manzambi
· ast. P. Treu
41'
62'
P. Victor
65'
Gorby
65'
Gabriel Moscardo
/
Vitor Carvalho
65'
F. Navarro
/
R. Zalazar
71'
D. E. Tiknaz
⚽L. Kubler
· ast. V. Grifo
72'
77'
G. Martinez
/
D. E. Tiknaz
79'
ast. V. Gomez ·
P. Victor⚽
L. Kubler
/ J. Makengo
81'
J. Beste
/ B. Ogbus
81'
V. Grifo
/ L. Holer
90'+2
90'+4
G. Martinez
Pre-match prediction
43.49%
SC ←
25.88%
X
30.64%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg)
43.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
1.71
+0.3
1.26
1.41
+0.15
xG dominance was balanced (1.71 – 1.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
N. Atubolu
G
N. Atubolu
G
29
Philipp Treu
1 👟
D
Philipp Treu
1 👟
D
3
Philipp Lienhart
D
Philipp Lienhart
D
28
Matthias Ginter
D
Matthias Ginter
D
17
Lukas Kübler
2 ⚽
80'
D
Lukas Kübler
2 ⚽
80'
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
M
Nicolas Höfler
M
8
Maximilian Eggestein
M
Maximilian Eggestein
M
32
Vincenzo Grifo
1 👟
M
Vincenzo Grifo
1 👟
M
44
J. Manzambi
1 ⚽
M
J. Manzambi
1 ⚽
M
19
Jan-Niklas Beste
81'
M
Jan-Niklas Beste
81'
M
31
Igor Matanović
F
Igor Matanović
F
Bench
30
Christian Günter
D
Christian Günter
D
22
Cyriaque Irié
F
Cyriaque Irié
F
7
Derry Scherhant
F
Derry Scherhant
F
43
I. Ogbus
14'
D
I. Ogbus
14'
D
33
Jordy Makengo
15'
D
Jordy Makengo
15'
D
9
Lucas Höler
3'
F
Lucas Höler
3'
F
1
L. Horníček
G
L. Horníček
G
6
Vítor Carvalho
65'
D
Vítor Carvalho
65'
D
15
Paulo Oliveira
D
Paulo Oliveira
D
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
20
Mario Dorgeles
6'
M
Mario Dorgeles
6'
M
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
77'
M
Demir Ege Tıknaz
77'
M
8
João Moutinho
M
João Moutinho
M
2
Victor Gómez
1 👟
M
Victor Gómez
1 👟
M
10
R. Zalazar
65'
F
R. Zalazar
65'
F
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
F
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
F
18
Pau Víctor
1 ⚽
F
Pau Víctor
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
A. El Ouazzani
F
A. El Ouazzani
F
39
Fran Navarro
30'
F
Fran Navarro
30'
F
77
Gabriel Martínez
18'
F
Gabriel Martínez
18'
F
17
Gabriel Moscardo
30'
M
Gabriel Moscardo
30'
M
5
Leonardo Lelo
D
Leonardo Lelo
D
90
Luisinho
M
21
Ricardo Horta
F
Ricardo Horta
F
Best on the pitch
Lukas Kübler
D · SC
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 56 pass
Pau Víctor
F · SC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Matthias Ginter
D · SC
7.70
2 shots
· 96 pass
Jan-Niklas Beste
M · SC
7.70
1 shots
· 31 pass
Nicolas Höfler
M · SC
7.50
1 shots
· 52 pass
J. Manzambi
M · SC
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 25 pass
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Atubolu | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 96 | 89% | 2 | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 80 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximilian Eggestein | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Vincenzo Grifo | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 43 | 33% | — | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 5 | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | M | 81 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ogbus | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Höler | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Vítor Carvalho | D | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Mario Dorgeles | M | 6 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
| Demir Ege Tıknaz | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 5 | 1 | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Victor Gómez | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| R. Zalazar | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pau Víctor | F | 95 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 30 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Martínez | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs SC Braga?
The final score was SC Freiburg 3–1 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 43% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an SC Braga win.