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MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 05, 2026 04:30
Chicago Fire
#4 · 20 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Nashville SC
#1 · 27 pts
P. Zinckernagel (ast. J. Bamba) 1'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Nashville SC 34%). The final result was Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
0.70
4
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
1
Corners
3
16
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Zinckernagel · ast. J. Bamba
1'
61'
W. Madrigal / A. Muyl ↕
61'
P. Yazbek / M. Corcoran ↕
↕ J. Elliott / C. Cupps
62'
A. Saletros
72'
D. D'Avilla
78'
78'
A. Qasem / C. Espinoza ↕
78'
R. Baker-Whiting / D. Lovitz ↕
80'
E. Tagseth
↕ M. Haile-Selassie / J. Shokalook
81'
89'
W. Pacius / E. Tagseth ↕
↕ P. Zinckernagel / V. Radojevic
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
35.29%
Chicago ←
30.52%
X
34.19%
Nashville
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire) 35.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Chicago
1.44
1.13
-0.31
Nashville
1.43
0.70
-0.73
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.70). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-4-2
1
G 7.20
15 Andrew Gutman Andrew Gutman D 7.30
4 Mbekezeli Mbokazi Mbekezeli Mbokazi D 7.90
3 Jack Elliott Jack Elliott 62' D 6.60
2
L. Barroso D 6.70
19 Jonathan Bamba Jonathan Bamba 1 👟 M 7.90
6
A. Saletros M 6.60
42 Dje Tah D'Avilla Dje Tah D'Avilla M 6.70
11 Philip Zinckernagel Philip Zinckernagel 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.30
7 Maren Haile-Selassie Maren Haile-Selassie 81' F 6.60
17 Robin Lod Robin Lod F 6.90
Bench
20 Jason Shokalook Jason Shokalook 9' F 6.20
24 Jonathan Dean Jonathan Dean M
22 Mauricio Pineda Mauricio Pineda D
12 Puso Dithejane Puso Dithejane F
35
S. Oregel M
14 Viktor Radojević Viktor Radojević 8' D 6.70
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-4-2
99 Brian Schwake Brian Schwake G 6.60
2 Daniel Lovitz Daniel Lovitz 78' D 6.20
3
D 7.20
4
D 6.90
31 Andy Najar Andy Najar D 7.90
19 Alex Muyl Alex Muyl 61' M 6.20
20
E. Tagseth 89' M 6.70
16 Matthew Corcoran Matthew Corcoran 61' M 6.90
7 Cristian Espinoza Cristian Espinoza 78' M 5.70
9
S. Surridge F 6.00
10 Hany Mukhtar Hany Mukhtar F 6.90
Bench
37 Ahmed Qasem Ahmed Qasem 12' F 6.30
6 Bryan Acosta Bryan Acosta M
8
P. Yazbek 29' M 6.60
41 Warren Madrigal Warren Madrigal 29' F 6.30
17 Woobens Pacius Woobens Pacius 10' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Philip Zinckernagel
Philip Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 24 pass
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D · Chicago
7.90
· 56 pass
Jonathan Bamba
Jonathan Bamba
M · Chicago
7.90
1 👟
3 shots · 28 pass
Andy Najar
Andy Najar
D · Nashville
7.90
· 82 pass
Andrew Gutman
Andrew Gutman
D · Chicago
7.30
· 33 pass
G · Chicago
7.20
· 26 pass
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 26 16% — — —
Andrew Gutman D 90 7.30 — — — 33 22% 2 — —
Mbekezeli Mbokazi D 90 7.90 — — — 56 51% 2 — —
Jack Elliott D 62 6.60 — — — 43 39% — — —
L. Barroso D 90 6.70 — — — 28 17% 1 — —
Jonathan Bamba M 90 7.90 — 1 3 28 23% 1 — —
A. Saletros M 90 6.60 — — — 46 37% — 1 —
Dje Tah D'Avilla M 90 6.70 — — — 44 37% 1 1 —
Philip Zinckernagel M 89 8.30 1 — 2 24 21% 5 — —
Maren Haile-Selassie F 81 6.60 — — — 16 14% — — —
Robin Lod F 90 6.90 — — — 18 11% 4 — —
Jason Shokalook F 9 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
Viktor Radojević D 8 6.70 — — — — — — — —
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Brian Schwake G 90 6.60 — — — 20 13% — — —
Daniel Lovitz D 78 6.20 — — — 43 35% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 84 72% 4 — —
D 90 6.90 — — 2 93 83% — — —
Andy Najar D 90 7.90 — — — 82 71% 2 — —
Alex Muyl M 61 6.20 — — — 23 18% 2 — —
E. Tagseth M 89 6.70 — — — 58 50% 2 1 —
Matthew Corcoran M 61 6.90 — — 1 39 36% 1 — —
Cristian Espinoza M 78 5.70 — — — 31 17% 1 — —
S. Surridge F 90 6.00 — — 2 17 12% — — —
Hany Mukhtar F 90 6.90 — — 1 35 27% — — —
Ahmed Qasem F 12 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
P. Yazbek M 29 6.60 — — — 20 18% — — —
Warren Madrigal F 29 6.30 — — 2 9 6% 2 — —
Woobens Pacius F 10 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?
The final score was Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Nashville SC win.