MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 04:30
P. Zinckernagel
(ast. J. Bamba)
1'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Nashville SC 34%). The final result was Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
0.70
4
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
1
Corners
3
16
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Zinckernagel
· ast. J. Bamba
1'
61'
W. Madrigal
/
A. Muyl
61'
P. Yazbek
/
M. Corcoran
J. Elliott
/ C. Cupps
62'
A. Saletros
72'
D. D'Avilla
78'
78'
A. Qasem
/
C. Espinoza
78'
R. Baker-Whiting
/
D. Lovitz
80'
E. Tagseth
M. Haile-Selassie
/ J. Shokalook
81'
89'
W. Pacius
/
E. Tagseth
P. Zinckernagel
/ V. Radojevic
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
35.29%
Chicago ←
30.52%
X
34.19%
Nashville
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
35.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
1.13
-0.31
1.43
0.70
-0.73
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.70).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
Andrew Gutman
D
Andrew Gutman
D
4
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D
3
Jack Elliott
62'
D
Jack Elliott
62'
D
2
L. Barroso
D
19
Jonathan Bamba
1 👟
M
Jonathan Bamba
1 👟
M
6
Anton Salétros
M
Anton Salétros
M
42
T. D'Avilla
M
T. D'Avilla
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
89'
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
89'
M
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
81'
F
Maren Haile-Selassie
81'
F
17
Robin Lod
F
Robin Lod
F
Bench
20
Jason Shokalook
9'
F
Jason Shokalook
9'
F
24
J. Dean
M
J. Dean
M
22
Mauricio Pineda
D
Mauricio Pineda
D
12
P. Dithejane
F
P. Dithejane
F
35
S. Oregel
M
14
Viktor Radojević
8'
D
Viktor Radojević
8'
D
99
Brian Schwake
G
Brian Schwake
G
2
Daniel Lovitz
78'
D
Daniel Lovitz
78'
D
3
D
4
D
31
Andy Najar
D
Andy Najar
D
19
Alex Muyl
61'
M
Alex Muyl
61'
M
20
E. Tagseth
89'
M
16
M. Corcoran
61'
M
M. Corcoran
61'
M
7
C. Espinoza
78'
M
C. Espinoza
78'
M
9
S. Surridge
F
S. Surridge
F
10
H. Mukhtar
F
H. Mukhtar
F
Bench
37
Ahmed Qasem
12'
F
Ahmed Qasem
12'
F
6
Bryan Acosta
M
Bryan Acosta
M
8
P. Yazbek
29'
M
41
Warren Madrigal
29'
F
Warren Madrigal
29'
F
17
Woobens Pacius
10'
F
Woobens Pacius
10'
F
Best on the pitch
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
D · Chicago
7.90
· 56 pass
Jonathan Bamba
M · Chicago
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 28 pass
Andy Najar
D · Nashville
7.90
· 82 pass
Andrew Gutman
D · Chicago
7.30
· 33 pass
G · Chicago
7.20
· 26 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Mbekezeli Mbokazi | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Jack Elliott | D | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| L. Barroso | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Anton Salétros | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | F | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Robin Lod | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 84 | 72% | 4 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 93 | 83% | — | — | — | |
| Andy Najar | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Muyl | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Espinoza | M | 78 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Mukhtar | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| P. Yazbek | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Woobens Pacius | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?
The final score was Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Nashville SC win.