MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 02:30
P. Zinckernagel
(ast. J. Bamba)
1'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Chicago Fire a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Nashville SC 34%). The final result was Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC. In 1 previous meetings, Chicago Fire have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nashville SC.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
0.70
4
Saves
2
39%
Possession
61%
1
Corners
3
16
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Zinckernagel
· ast. J. Bamba
1'
61'
W. Madrigal
/
A. Muyl
61'
P. Yazbek
/
M. Corcoran
J. Elliott
/ C. Cupps
62'
A. Saletros
72'
D. D'Avilla
78'
78'
A. Qasem
/
C. Espinoza
78'
R. Baker-Whiting
/
D. Lovitz
80'
E. Tagseth
M. Haile-Selassie
/ J. Shokalook
81'
89'
W. Pacius
/
E. Tagseth
P. Zinckernagel
/ V. Radojevic
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
35.29%
Chicago ←
30.52%
X
34.19%
Nashville
we assigned to the actual result (Chicago Fire)
35.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
1.13
-0.31
1.43
0.70
-0.73
Chicago Fire dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.70).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
15
A. Gutman
D
A. Gutman
D
4
M. Mbokazi
D
M. Mbokazi
D
3
J. Elliott
62'
D
J. Elliott
62'
D
2
Leonardo Barroso
D
Leonardo Barroso
D
19
J. Bamba
1 👟
M
J. Bamba
1 👟
M
6
A. Salétros
M
A. Salétros
M
42
T. D'Avilla
M
T. D'Avilla
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
89'
M
P. Zinckernagel
1 ⚽
89'
M
7
M. Haile-Selassie
81'
F
M. Haile-Selassie
81'
F
17
R. Lod
F
R. Lod
F
Bench
20
Jason Shokalook
9'
F
Jason Shokalook
9'
F
24
J. Dean
M
J. Dean
M
22
M. Pineda
D
M. Pineda
D
12
Puso Dithejane
F
Puso Dithejane
F
35
S. Oregel
M
S. Oregel
M
14
Viktor Radojević
8'
D
Viktor Radojević
8'
D
99
Brian Schwake
G
Brian Schwake
G
2
D. Lovitz
78'
D
D. Lovitz
78'
D
3
D
4
D
31
A. Najar
D
A. Najar
D
19
A. Muyl
61'
M
A. Muyl
61'
M
20
E. Tagseth
89'
M
E. Tagseth
89'
M
16
M. Corcoran
61'
M
M. Corcoran
61'
M
7
C. Espinoza
78'
M
C. Espinoza
78'
M
9
S. Surridge
F
S. Surridge
F
10
H. Mukhtar
F
H. Mukhtar
F
Bench
37
Ahmed Qasem
12'
F
Ahmed Qasem
12'
F
6
B. Acosta
M
B. Acosta
M
8
Patrick Yazbek
29'
M
Patrick Yazbek
29'
M
41
Warren Madrigal
29'
F
Warren Madrigal
29'
F
17
Woobens Pacius
10'
F
Woobens Pacius
10'
F
Best on the pitch
P. Zinckernagel
M · Chicago
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
M. Mbokazi
D · Chicago
7.90
· 56 pass
J. Bamba
M · Chicago
7.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 28 pass
A. Najar
D · Nashville
7.90
· 82 pass
A. Gutman
D · Chicago
7.30
· 33 pass
G · Chicago
7.20
· 26 pass
Chicago Fire — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| A. Gutman | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mbokazi | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Elliott | D | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bamba | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Salétros | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | M | 89 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Haile-Selassie | F | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Lod | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 84 | 72% | 4 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 93 | 83% | — | — | — | |
| A. Najar | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Muyl | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Espinoza | M | 78 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Mukhtar | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Yazbek | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Woobens Pacius | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?
The final score was Chicago Fire 1–0 Nashville SC.
What did the model predict before Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Chicago Fire win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Nashville SC win.