Skip to main content
← Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33 May 11, 2026 21:15 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Benfica
#3 · 80 pts
2 – 2
Final score
SC Braga
#4 · 59 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Benfica, result Draw
Rafa Silva 46'
V. Pavlidis 90'+5 (pen.)
48' (ast. V. Gomez) P. Victor
88' (ast. M. Dorgeles) Gorby
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 64% win probability (draw 19%, SC Braga 15%). The final result was Benfica 2–2 SC Braga. In 1 previous meetings, Benfica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SC Braga.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
2
3.17
Actual xG
0.21
0
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
2
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Rafa Silva
46'
48'
ast. V. Gomez · P. Victor⚽
56'
L. Hornicek
57'
L. Lelo
↕ F. Ivanovic / V. Pavlidis
61'
64'
67'
M. Dorgeles / G. Martinez ↕
74'
R. Zalazar / F. Navarro ↕
↕ L. Barreiro / D. Lukebakio
76'
82'
Gabriel Moscardo / L. Lelo ↕
A. Dedic
87'
88'
ast. M. Dorgeles · Gorby⚽
90'+3
Vitor Carvalho
⚽V. Pavlidis (pen.)
90'+5
90'+6
V. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
64.67%
Benfica
19.88%
X ←
15.45%
SC
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.88% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Benfica
1.95
3.17
+1.22
SC
0.73
0.21
-0.52
Benfica dominated by xG (3.17 vs 0.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 34 82
3 Benfica Benfica 34 80
4 SC Braga SC Braga 34 59
5 Famalicao Famalicao 34 56
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 34 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 34 43
8 Arouca Arouca 34 42
9 Guimaraes Guimaraes 34 42
10 Estoril Estoril 34 39
11 Alverca Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave 34 36
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara 34 36
14 Nacional Nacional 34 34
15 Estrela Estrela 34 30
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 34 30
17 Tondela Tondela 34 28
18 AVS AVS 34 21
Lineups
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 Anatoliy Trubin Anatoliy Trubin G 6.00
26 Samuel Dahl Samuel Dahl D 6.90
4 António Silva António Silva D 7.20
44 Tomás Araújo Tomás Araújo D 7.00
17 A. Dedić A. Dedić D 6.60
18 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro 76' M 6.60
8 Fredrik Aursnes Fredrik Aursnes M 7.30
21 Andreas Schjelderup Andreas Schjelderup M 8.50
27 Rafa Silva Rafa Silva 1 ⚽ M 7.70
25 G. Prestianni G. Prestianni M 7.30
9 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović 61' F 6.60
Bench
6 Alexander Bah Alexander Bah D
7 Bruma Bruma F
11 Dodi Lukebakio Dodi Lukebakio 14' F 6.90
5 Enzo Barrenechea Enzo Barrenechea M
64
Gonçalo Oliveira D
10 H. Sudakov H. Sudakov M
16 Manu Silva Manu Silva M
24 Samuel Soares Samuel Soares G
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.20
SC Braga SC Braga 3-4-2-1
1 Lukáš Horníček Lukáš Horníček G 7.60
5 Leonardo Lelo Leonardo Lelo 82' D 6.30
6 Vítor Carvalho Vítor Carvalho D 6.00
14 G. Lagerbielke G. Lagerbielke D 7.00
77 Gabri Martínez Gabri Martínez 67' M 6.60
34 Demir Ege Tıknaz Demir Ege Tıknaz M 7.20
8 João Moutinho João Moutinho M 5.50
2 Víctor Gómez Víctor Gómez 1 👟 M 6.90
18 Pau Victor Pau Victor 1 ⚽ F 7.90
29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby Jean-Baptiste Gorby 1 ⚽ F 7.30
39 Fran Navarro Fran Navarro 74' F 6.30
Bench
9 Amine El Ouazzani Amine El Ouazzani F
17 Gabriel Moscardo Gabriel Moscardo 8' M 6.30
53 Jonatás Noro Jonatás Noro D
90 Luís Pinto Luís Pinto M
20 M. Dorgeles M. Dorgeles 1 👟 23' M 6.90
15 Paulo Oliveira Paulo Oliveira D
10 Rodrigo Zalazar Rodrigo Zalazar 16' M 6.20
12 Tiago Sá Tiago Sá G
41 Yanis da Rocha Yanis da Rocha M
Best on the pitch
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup
M · Benfica
8.50
1 shots · 31 pass
Pau Victor
Pau Victor
F · SC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 47 pass
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva
M · Benfica
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
Lukáš Horníček
Lukáš Horníček
G · SC
7.60
· 34 pass
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
F · SC
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
G. Prestianni
G. Prestianni
M · Benfica
7.30
3 shots · 29 pass
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anatoliy Trubin G 90 6.00 — — — 16 12% — — —
Samuel Dahl D 90 6.90 — — — 70 62% 2 — —
António Silva D 90 7.20 — — 2 79 67% 3 — —
Tomás Araújo D 90 7.00 — — 1 64 58% 2 — —
A. Dedić D 90 6.60 — — — 41 34% 3 1 —
L. Barreiro M 76 6.60 — — 1 31 27% 2 — —
Fredrik Aursnes M 90 7.30 — — 2 53 47% 2 — —
Andreas Schjelderup M 90 8.50 — — 1 31 20% — — —
Rafa Silva M 90 7.70 1 — 2 25 16% 2 — —
G. Prestianni M 90 7.30 — — 3 29 23% 1 — —
F. Ivanović F 61 6.60 — — 1 16 12% — — —
Dodi Lukebakio F 14 6.90 — — — 3 2% — — —
V. Pavlidis F 29 7.20 1 — 3 11 5% — — —
SC Braga SC Braga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Horníček G 90 7.60 — — — 34 14% — 1 —
Leonardo Lelo D 82 6.30 — — — 46 38% 1 1 —
Vítor Carvalho D 90 6.00 — — — 38 35% — 1 —
G. Lagerbielke D 90 7.00 — — — 40 32% 2 — —
Gabri Martínez M 67 6.60 — — 1 27 20% — — —
Demir Ege Tıknaz M 90 7.20 — — — 43 39% 5 — —
João Moutinho M 90 5.50 — — — 54 47% 2 — —
Víctor Gómez M 90 6.90 — 1 — 38 30% 2 1 —
Pau Victor F 90 7.90 1 — 1 47 37% 1 — —
Jean-Baptiste Gorby F 90 7.30 1 — 1 35 31% 2 — —
Fran Navarro F 74 6.30 — — — 16 12% — — —
Gabriel Moscardo M 8 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
M. Dorgeles M 23 6.90 — 1 — 8 7% 1 — —
Rodrigo Zalazar M 16 6.20 — — — 11 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs SC Braga?
The final score was Benfica 2–2 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Benfica win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an SC Braga win.