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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33 May 11, 2026 21:15 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Benfica
#14 · 1 pts
2 – 2
Final score
SC Braga
#6 · 1 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Benfica, result Draw
Rafa Silva 46'
V. Pavlidis 90'+5 (pen.)
48' (ast. V. Gomez) P. Victor
88' (ast. M. Dorgeles) Gorby
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 64% win probability (draw 19%, SC Braga 15%). The final result was Benfica 2–2 SC Braga. In 1 previous meetings, Benfica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SC Braga.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
2
3.17
Actual xG
0.21
0
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
2
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Rafa Silva
46'
48'
ast. V. Gomez · P. Victor⚽
56'
L. Hornicek
57'
L. Lelo
↕ F. Ivanovic / V. Pavlidis
61'
64'
67'
M. Dorgeles / G. Martinez ↕
74'
R. Zalazar / F. Navarro ↕
↕ L. Barreiro / D. Lukebakio
76'
82'
Gabriel Moscardo / L. Lelo ↕
A. Dedic
87'
88'
ast. M. Dorgeles · Gorby⚽
90'+3
Vitor Carvalho
⚽V. Pavlidis (pen.)
90'+5
90'+6
V. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
64.67%
Benfica
19.88%
X ←
15.45%
SC
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.88% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Benfica
1.95
3.17
+1.22
SC
0.73
0.21
-0.52
Benfica dominated by xG (3.17 vs 0.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 1 3
2 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 1 3
3 Maritimo Maritimo 1 3
4 Arouca Arouca 1 3
5 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 1
6 SC Braga SC Braga 1 1
7 Nacional Nacional 1 1
8 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1 1
9 Famalicao Famalicao 1 1
10 Estrela Estrela 1 1
11 Estoril Estoril 1 1
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1 1
13 Moreirense Moreirense 1 1
14 Benfica Benfica 1 1
15 Vitória SC Vitória SC 1 0
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1 0
17 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1 0
18 Alverca Alverca 1 0
Lineups
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 Anatoliy Trubin Anatoliy Trubin G 6.00
26 Samuel Dahl Samuel Dahl D 6.90
4
António Silva D 7.20
44 Tomás Araújo Tomás Araújo D 7.00
17 A. Dedić A. Dedić D 6.60
18 Leandro Barreiro Leandro Barreiro 76' M 6.60
8 Fredrik Aursnes Fredrik Aursnes M 7.30
21 A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup M 8.50
27 Rafa Silva Rafa Silva 1 ⚽ M 7.70
25 G. Prestianni G. Prestianni M 7.30
9 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović 61' F 6.60
Bench
6 Alexander Bah Alexander Bah D
7 Bruma Bruma F
11 D. Lukebakio D. Lukebakio 14' F 6.90
5 E. Barrenechea E. Barrenechea M
64
Gonçalo Oliveira D
10 H. Sudakov H. Sudakov M
16 Manu Silva Manu Silva M
24 Samuel Soares Samuel Soares G
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.20
SC Braga SC Braga 3-4-2-1
1
Lukáš Horníček G 7.60
5 Leonardo Lelo Leonardo Lelo 82' D 6.30
6 Vitor Carvalho Vitor Carvalho D 6.00
14 Gustaf Lagerbielke Gustaf Lagerbielke D 7.00
77 Gabriel Martínez Gabriel Martínez 67' M 6.60
34 E. Tıknaz E. Tıknaz M 7.20
8 João Moutinho João Moutinho M 5.50
2 Victor Gómez Victor Gómez 1 👟 M 6.90
18 Pau Victor Pau Victor 1 ⚽ F 7.90
29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby Jean-Baptiste Gorby 1 ⚽ F 7.30
39 Fran Navarro Fran Navarro 74' F 6.30
Bench
9 Amine El Ouazzani Amine El Ouazzani F
17 Gabriel Moscardo Gabriel Moscardo 8' M 6.30
53
Jonatás Noro D
90 Luís Pinto Luís Pinto M
20 Mario Dorgeles Mario Dorgeles 1 👟 23' M 6.90
15 Paulo Oliveira Paulo Oliveira D
10 R. Zalazar R. Zalazar 16' M 6.20
12 Tiago Sá Tiago Sá G
41 Yanis da Rocha Yanis da Rocha M
Best on the pitch
A. Schjelderup
A. Schjelderup
M · Benfica
8.50
1 shots · 31 pass
Pau Victor
Pau Victor
F · SC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 47 pass
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva
M · Benfica
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
Lukáš Horníček
G · SC
7.60
· 34 pass
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
F · SC
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
G. Prestianni
G. Prestianni
M · Benfica
7.30
3 shots · 29 pass
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anatoliy Trubin G 90 6.00 — — — 16 12% — — —
Samuel Dahl D 90 6.90 — — — 70 62% 2 — —
António Silva D 90 7.20 — — 2 79 67% 3 — —
Tomás Araújo D 90 7.00 — — 1 64 58% 2 — —
A. Dedić D 90 6.60 — — — 41 34% 3 1 —
Leandro Barreiro M 76 6.60 — — 1 31 27% 2 — —
Fredrik Aursnes M 90 7.30 — — 2 53 47% 2 — —
A. Schjelderup M 90 8.50 — — 1 31 20% — — —
Rafa Silva M 90 7.70 1 — 2 25 16% 2 — —
G. Prestianni M 90 7.30 — — 3 29 23% 1 — —
F. Ivanović F 61 6.60 — — 1 16 12% — — —
D. Lukebakio F 14 6.90 — — — 3 2% — — —
V. Pavlidis F 29 7.20 1 — 3 11 5% — — —
SC Braga SC Braga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Horníček G 90 7.60 — — — 34 14% — 1 —
Leonardo Lelo D 82 6.30 — — — 46 38% 1 1 —
Vitor Carvalho D 90 6.00 — — — 38 35% — 1 —
Gustaf Lagerbielke D 90 7.00 — — — 40 32% 2 — —
Gabriel Martínez M 67 6.60 — — 1 27 20% — — —
E. Tıknaz M 90 7.20 — — — 43 39% 5 — —
João Moutinho M 90 5.50 — — — 54 47% 2 — —
Victor Gómez M 90 6.90 — 1 — 38 30% 2 1 —
Pau Victor F 90 7.90 1 — 1 47 37% 1 — —
Jean-Baptiste Gorby F 90 7.30 1 — 1 35 31% 2 — —
Fran Navarro F 74 6.30 — — — 16 12% — — —
Gabriel Moscardo M 8 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Mario Dorgeles M 23 6.90 — 1 — 8 7% 1 — —
R. Zalazar M 16 6.20 — — — 11 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs SC Braga?
The final score was Benfica 2–2 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Benfica win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an SC Braga win.