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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33 May 11, 2026 21:15 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Benfica
#2 · 16 pts
2 – 2
Final score
SC Braga
#6 · 11 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Benfica, result Draw
Rafa Silva 46'
V. Pavlidis 90'+5 (pen.)
48' (ast. V. Gomez) P. Victor
88' (ast. M. Dorgeles) Gorby
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 64% win probability (draw 19%, SC Braga 15%). The final result was Benfica 2–2 SC Braga. In 1 previous meetings, Benfica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SC Braga.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
2
3.17
Actual xG
0.21
0
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
2
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Rafa Silva
46'
48'
ast. V. Gomez · P. Victor⚽
56'
L. Hornicek
57'
L. Lelo
↕ F. Ivanovic / V. Pavlidis
61'
64'
67'
M. Dorgeles / G. Martinez ↕
74'
R. Zalazar / F. Navarro ↕
↕ L. Barreiro / D. Lukebakio
76'
82'
Gabriel Moscardo / L. Lelo ↕
A. Dedic
87'
88'
ast. M. Dorgeles · Gorby⚽
90'+3
Vitor Carvalho
⚽V. Pavlidis (pen.)
90'+5
90'+6
V. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
64.67%
Benfica
19.88%
X ←
15.45%
SC
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.88% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Benfica
1.95
3.17
+1.22
SC
0.73
0.21
-0.52
Benfica dominated by xG (3.17 vs 0.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 7 21
2 Benfica Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 7 15
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 7 15
5 Arouca Arouca 7 11
6 SC Braga SC Braga 6 11
7 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 7 11
8 Estrela Estrela 7 10
9 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 6 8
10 Alverca Alverca 7 8
11 Maritimo Maritimo 7 8
12 Moreirense Moreirense 7 8
13 Famalicao Famalicao 7 7
14 Vitória SC Vitória SC 7 5
15 Nacional Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 7 4
17 Casa Pia Casa Pia 7 4
18 Estoril Estoril 7 2
Lineups
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin A. Trubin G 6.00
26 S. Dahl S. Dahl D 6.90
4 António Silva António Silva D 7.20
44 Tomás Araújo Tomás Araújo D 7.00
17 A. Dedić A. Dedić D 6.60
18 L. Barreiro L. Barreiro 76' M 6.60
8 F. Aursnes F. Aursnes M 7.30
21 A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup M 8.50
27 Rafa Rafa 1 ⚽ M 7.70
25 G. Prestianni G. Prestianni M 7.30
9 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović 61' F 6.60
Bench
6 A. Bah A. Bah D
7 Bruma Bruma F
11 D. Lukebakio D. Lukebakio 14' F 6.90
5 Enzo Barrenechea Enzo Barrenechea M
64 Gonçalo Oliveira Gonçalo Oliveira D
10 H. Sudakov H. Sudakov M
16 Manu Manu M
24 Samuel Soares Samuel Soares G
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.20
SC Braga SC Braga 3-4-2-1
1 L. Horníček L. Horníček G 7.60
5 Leonardo Lelo Leonardo Lelo 82' D 6.30
6 Vitor Carvalho Vitor Carvalho D 6.00
14 G. Lagerbielke G. Lagerbielke D 7.00
77 Gabri Martínez Gabri Martínez 67' M 6.60
34 E. Tıknaz E. Tıknaz M 7.20
8 João Moutinho João Moutinho M 5.50
2 Víctor Gómez Víctor Gómez 1 👟 M 6.90
18 Pau Victor Pau Victor 1 ⚽ F 7.90
29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby Jean-Baptiste Gorby 1 ⚽ F 7.30
39 Fran Navarro Fran Navarro 74' F 6.30
Bench
9 A. El Ouazzani A. El Ouazzani F
17 Gabriel Moscardo Gabriel Moscardo 8' M 6.30
53
Jonatás Noro D
90
Luisinho M
20 M. Dorgeles M. Dorgeles 1 👟 23' M 6.90
15 Paulo Oliveira Paulo Oliveira D
10 Rodrigo Zalazar Rodrigo Zalazar 16' M 6.20
12 Tiago Sá Tiago Sá G
41
Yanis da Rocha M
Best on the pitch
A. Schjelderup
A. Schjelderup
M · Benfica
8.50
1 shots · 31 pass
Pau Victor
Pau Victor
F · SC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 47 pass
Rafa
Rafa
M · Benfica
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
L. Horníček
L. Horníček
G · SC
7.60
· 34 pass
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
F · SC
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
G. Prestianni
G. Prestianni
M · Benfica
7.30
3 shots · 29 pass
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Trubin G 90 6.00 — — — 16 12% — — —
S. Dahl D 90 6.90 — — — 70 62% 2 — —
António Silva D 90 7.20 — — 2 79 67% 3 — —
Tomás Araújo D 90 7.00 — — 1 64 58% 2 — —
A. Dedić D 90 6.60 — — — 41 34% 3 1 —
L. Barreiro M 76 6.60 — — 1 31 27% 2 — —
F. Aursnes M 90 7.30 — — 2 53 47% 2 — —
A. Schjelderup M 90 8.50 — — 1 31 20% — — —
Rafa M 90 7.70 1 — 2 25 16% 2 — —
G. Prestianni M 90 7.30 — — 3 29 23% 1 — —
F. Ivanović F 61 6.60 — — 1 16 12% — — —
D. Lukebakio F 14 6.90 — — — 3 2% — — —
V. Pavlidis F 29 7.20 1 — 3 11 5% — — —
SC Braga SC Braga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Horníček G 90 7.60 — — — 34 14% — 1 —
Leonardo Lelo D 82 6.30 — — — 46 38% 1 1 —
Vitor Carvalho D 90 6.00 — — — 38 35% — 1 —
G. Lagerbielke D 90 7.00 — — — 40 32% 2 — —
Gabri Martínez M 67 6.60 — — 1 27 20% — — —
E. Tıknaz M 90 7.20 — — — 43 39% 5 — —
João Moutinho M 90 5.50 — — — 54 47% 2 — —
Víctor Gómez M 90 6.90 — 1 — 38 30% 2 1 —
Pau Victor F 90 7.90 1 — 1 47 37% 1 — —
Jean-Baptiste Gorby F 90 7.30 1 — 1 35 31% 2 — —
Fran Navarro F 74 6.30 — — — 16 12% — — —
Gabriel Moscardo M 8 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
M. Dorgeles M 23 6.90 — 1 — 8 7% 1 — —
Rodrigo Zalazar M 16 6.20 — — — 11 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs SC Braga?
The final score was Benfica 2–2 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Benfica win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an SC Braga win.