Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 33
May 11, 2026 21:15
✗Model wrong — prediction Benfica, result Pareggio
Rafa Silva
46'
V. Pavlidis
90'+5
(pen.)
48'
(ast. V. Gomez)
P. Victor
88'
(ast. M. Dorgeles)
Gorby
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 64% win probability (draw 19%, SC Braga 15%). The final result was Benfica 2–2 SC Braga. In 1 previous meetings, Benfica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SC Braga.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
2
3.17
Actual xG
0.21
0
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
8
Corners
2
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Rafa Silva
46'
48'
ast. V. Gomez ·
P. Victor⚽
56'
L. Hornicek
57'
L. Lelo
F. Ivanovic
/ V. Pavlidis
61'
64'
67'
M. Dorgeles
/
G. Martinez
74'
R. Zalazar
/
F. Navarro
L. Barreiro
/ D. Lukebakio
76'
82'
Gabriel Moscardo
/
L. Lelo
A. Dedic
87'
88'
ast. M. Dorgeles ·
Gorby⚽
90'+3
Vitor Carvalho
⚽V. Pavlidis
(pen.)
90'+5
90'+6
V. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
64.67%
Benfica
19.88%
X ←
15.45%
SC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
3.17
+1.22
0.73
0.21
-0.52
Benfica dominated by xG (3.17 vs 0.21).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Anatoliy Trubin
G
Anatoliy Trubin
G
26
Samuel Dahl
D
Samuel Dahl
D
4
António Silva
D
António Silva
D
44
Tomás Araújo
D
Tomás Araújo
D
17
Amar Dedić
D
Amar Dedić
D
18
L. Barreiro
76'
M
L. Barreiro
76'
M
8
Fredrik Aursnes
M
Fredrik Aursnes
M
21
A. Schjelderup
M
A. Schjelderup
M
27
Rafa Silva
1 ⚽
M
Rafa Silva
1 ⚽
M
25
Gianluca Prestianni
M
Gianluca Prestianni
M
9
Franjo Ivanović
61'
F
Franjo Ivanović
61'
F
Bench
6
Alexander Bah
D
Alexander Bah
D
7
Bruma
F
Bruma
F
11
D. Lukebakio
14'
F
D. Lukebakio
14'
F
5
Enzo Barrenechea
M
Enzo Barrenechea
M
10
Georgiy Sudakov
M
Georgiy Sudakov
M
64
Gonçalo Oliveira
D
Gonçalo Oliveira
D
16
Manu Silva
M
Manu Silva
M
24
Samuel Soares
G
Samuel Soares
G
14
V. Pavlidis
1 ⚽
29'
F
V. Pavlidis
1 ⚽
29'
F
1
Lukáš Horníček
G
Lukáš Horníček
G
5
Leonardo Lelo
82'
D
Leonardo Lelo
82'
D
6
Vítor Carvalho
D
Vítor Carvalho
D
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
77
Gabri Martínez
67'
M
Gabri Martínez
67'
M
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
M
Demir Ege Tıknaz
M
8
João Moutinho
M
João Moutinho
M
2
Víctor Gómez
1 👟
M
Víctor Gómez
1 👟
M
18
Pau Victor
1 ⚽
F
Pau Victor
1 ⚽
F
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
1 ⚽
F
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
1 ⚽
F
39
Fran Navarro
74'
F
Fran Navarro
74'
F
Bench
9
Amine El Ouazzani
F
Amine El Ouazzani
F
17
Gabriel Moscardo
8'
M
Gabriel Moscardo
8'
M
53
Jonatás Noro
D
Jonatás Noro
D
90
Luís Pinto
M
Luís Pinto
M
20
Mario Dorgeles
1 👟
23'
M
Mario Dorgeles
1 👟
23'
M
15
Paulo Oliveira
D
Paulo Oliveira
D
10
R. Zalazar
16'
M
R. Zalazar
16'
M
12
Tiago Sá
G
Tiago Sá
G
41
Yanis da Rocha
M
Yanis da Rocha
M
Best on the pitch
A. Schjelderup
M · Benfica
8.50
1 shots
· 31 pass
Pau Victor
F · SC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 47 pass
Rafa Silva
M · Benfica
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Lukáš Horníček
G · SC
7.60
· 34 pass
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
F · SC
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
Gianluca Prestianni
M · Benfica
7.30
3 shots
· 29 pass
Benfica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoliy Trubin | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Dahl | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 70 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| António Silva | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 67% | 3 | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Amar Dedić | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Fredrik Aursnes | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | M | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Rafa Silva | M | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Gianluca Prestianni | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Franjo Ivanović | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 29 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Horníček | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Lelo | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vítor Carvalho | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabri Martínez | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Demir Ege Tıknaz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 5 | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Víctor Gómez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pau Victor | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mario Dorgeles | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Zalazar | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Benfica vs SC Braga?
The final score was Benfica 2–2 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before Benfica vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Benfica win, 19% to a draw, and 15% to an SC Braga win.