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#5 · 11 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Model correct — prediction HNK Rijeka
D. Adu Adjei (ast. M. Devetak) 41'
S. Radeljic (ast. J. Lasickas) 50'
T. Fruk (ast. M. Devetak) 90'+4
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Rijeka a 63% win probability (draw 22%, Vukovar 14%). The final result was HNK Rijeka 3–0 Vukovar. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Rijeka have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vukovar.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
1
1.49
Actual xG
0.41
1
Saves
6
67%
Possession
33%
9
Corners
1
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
D. Adu Adjei · ast. M. Devetak
41'
44'
M. Zivkovic
S. Radeljic · ast. J. Lasickas
50'
J. Lasickas / T. Fruk
55'
66'
J. Gurlica
T. Dantas / S. Vignato
72'
A. Gojak / D. Legbo
72'
A. Majstorovic
75'
76'
D. Vinkovic / S. Butic
76'
J. Spoljaric / R. Gonzalez
76'
J. Biljan / E. Shabani
B. Pavic / M. Ndockyt
87'
D. Adu Adjei / D. Cop
87'
90'+2
N. Pajvancic / J. Puljic
T. Fruk · ast. M. Devetak
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
63.39%
HNK ←
22.23%
X
14.38%
Vukovar
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (HNK Rijeka) 63.39% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
HNK
1.70
1.49
-0.21
Vukovar
0.66
0.41
-0.25
HNK Rijeka dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 7 16
2 NK Osijek NK Osijek 7 15
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 7 14
4 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 6 13
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 6 11
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 7 9
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7 7
8 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 7 6
9 Rudes Rudes 7 3
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 7 2
Lineups
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
13
G 6.90
34 M. Devetak M. Devetak 2 👟 D 6.90
6 S. Radeljić S. Radeljić 1 ⚽ D 8.70
45 A. Majstorović A. Majstorović D 7.50
22 A. Oreč A. Oreč D 7.00
55 A. Barco A. Barco M 6.60
66
87' M 7.20
14 A. Gojak A. Gojak 72' M 7.20
26 Tiago Dantas Tiago Dantas 72' M 6.90
23 J. Lasickas J. Lasickas 1 👟 55' M 7.30
18 D. Adu-Adjei D. Adu-Adjei 1 ⚽ 87' F 8.20
Bench
24 Christian Ouguehi Legbo Christian Ouguehi Legbo 20' F 6.70
9 Duje Čop Duje Čop 5' F
20 Merveille Ndockyt Merveille Ndockyt 5' M
10 T. Fruk T. Fruk 1 ⚽ 37' M 6.70
Vukovar Vukovar 4-2-3-1
42
G 7.00
20 K. Čabrajić K. Čabrajić D 6.30
13 V. Čaić V. Čaić D 6.20
5
D 7.90
14 M. Živković M. Živković D 6.50
35 J. Gurlica J. Gurlica M 6.30
77 E. Shabani E. Shabani 76' M 6.70
28 L. Banovec L. Banovec M 6.90
10 R. Gonzales R. Gonzales 76' M 6.60
27
Š. Butić 76' M 6.30
21 J. Puljić J. Puljić F 6.50
Bench
11 Lovre Kulušić Lovre Kulušić F
33 Luka Klanac Luka Klanac F
1 Marino Bulat Marino Bulat G
34 Mario Tadić Mario Tadić D
Best on the pitch
S. Radeljić
S. Radeljić
D · HNK
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 68 pass
D. Adu-Adjei
D. Adu-Adjei
F · HNK
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 6 pass
D · Vukovar
7.90
· 32 pass
A. Majstorović
A. Majstorović
D · HNK
7.50
1 shots · 68 pass
J. Lasickas
J. Lasickas
M · HNK
7.30
1 👟
· 21 pass
M · HNK
7.20
1 shots · 43 pass
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 6.90 25 16%
M. Devetak D 92 6.90 2 45 39% 1
S. Radeljić D 92 8.70 1 1 68 62%
A. Majstorović D 92 7.50 1 68 64% 1 1
A. Oreč D 92 7.00 46 40% 3
A. Barco M 92 6.60 49 44% 1
M 87 7.20 1 43 40% 2
A. Gojak M 72 7.20 1 29 25% 2
Tiago Dantas M 72 6.90 1 27 23%
J. Lasickas M 55 7.30 1 21 11% 3
D. Adu-Adjei F 87 8.20 1 4 6 5% 2
Christian Ouguehi Legbo F 20 6.70 6 4%
Duje Čop F 5 1 1%
Merveille Ndockyt M 5 3 3% 2
T. Fruk M 37 6.70 1 1 13 13% 1
Vukovar Vukovar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 7.00 18 9%
K. Čabrajić D 92 6.30 1 24 19% 1
V. Čaić D 92 6.20 37 28% 1
D 92 7.90 32 20% 1
M. Živković D 92 6.50 19 14% 2 1
J. Gurlica M 92 6.30 17 12% 1 1
E. Shabani M 76 6.70 16 15% 3
L. Banovec M 92 6.90 18 15% 2
R. Gonzales M 76 6.60 1 17 11%
Š. Butić M 76 6.30 1 7 5% 1
J. Puljić F 92 6.50 1 17 14% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar?
The final score was HNK Rijeka 3–0 Vukovar.
What did the model predict before HNK Rijeka vs Vukovar?
The model assigned 63% probability to a HNK Rijeka win, 22% to a draw, and 14% to an Vukovar win.