HNL
· Regular Season - 30
April 18, 2026 20:45
V. Rozic
(ast. S. Loncar)
21'
36'
(ast. M. Zivkovic)
S. Butic
(pen.)
75'
J. Puljic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Istra 1961 a 41% win probability (draw 38%, Vukovar 20%). The final result was Istra 1961 1–2 Vukovar. In 3 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Vukovar.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
1.63
1
Saves
2
72%
Possession
28%
8
Corners
3
10
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽V. Rozic
· ast. S. Loncar
21'
31'
J. Puljic
36'
ast. M. Zivkovic ·
S. Butic⚽
45'
V. Caic
S. Loncar
49'
E. Frederiksen
/ S. Gorican
67'
75'
(pen.)
J. Puljic⚽
78'
L. Kulusic
/
L. Banovec
L. Stulac
/ G. Albarracin
81'
V. Rozic
/ A. Obando
81'
81'
L. Kulusic
87'
A. Jurilj
/
S. Butic
90'+6
K. Calhanoglu
/
K. Cabrajic
90'+7
M. Bulat
90'+14
A. Obando
90'+18
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.13%
Istra
38.2%
X
20.67%
Vukovar ←
we assigned to the actual result (Vukovar)
20.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
1.27
+0.29
0.79
1.63
+0.84
Vukovar dominated by xG (1.63 vs 1.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
26
M. Heister
D
M. Heister
D
38
Raul Kumar
D
Raul Kumar
D
24
D
97
Advan Kadušić
D
Advan Kadušić
D
23
Leo Štulac
80'
M
Leo Štulac
80'
M
10
S. Lončar
1 👟
M
S. Lončar
1 👟
M
7
Vinko Rozić
1 ⚽
81'
M
Vinko Rozić
1 ⚽
81'
M
8
Antonio Maurić
M
Antonio Maurić
M
17
E. Frederiksen
67'
M
E. Frederiksen
67'
M
9
S. Prevljak
F
S. Prevljak
F
Bench
29
Allen Obando
9'
F
Allen Obando
9'
F
77
Charles Adah Agada
F
Charles Adah Agada
F
20
Dukan Ahmeti
M
Dukan Ahmeti
M
25
Gustavo Albarracín
10'
M
Gustavo Albarracín
10'
M
44
Rene Hrvatin
D
Rene Hrvatin
D
16
Samuli Miettinen
D
Samuli Miettinen
D
1
M. Bulat
G
20
K. Cabrajic
89'
D
14
M. Zivkovic
1 👟
D
35
J. Gurlica
M
5
D
13
V. Caic
D
77
E. Shabani
M
28
L. Banovec
78'
M
10
R. Gonzales
M
R. Gonzales
M
27
S. Butic
1 ⚽
87'
M
21
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Jurilj
21'
M
26
J. Elez
D
33
L. Klanac
F
11
L. Kulusic
12'
F
Best on the pitch
E. Frederiksen
M · Istra
7.90
· 34 pass
S. Butic
M · Vukovar
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Vinko Rozić
M · Istra
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
E. Shabani
M · Vukovar
7.30
· 23 pass
Leo Štulac
M · Istra
7.20
1 shots
· 53 pass
M. Zivkovic
D · Vukovar
7.20
1 👟
· 6 pass
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| M. Heister | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Raul Kumar | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 86 | 77% | 1 | — | — | |
| Advan Kadušić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Štulac | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Lončar | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 39% | — | 1 | — |
| Vinko Rozić | M | 81 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Maurić | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Frederiksen | M | 67 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Allen Obando | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Albarracín | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
Vukovar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bulat | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Cabrajic | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Zivkovic | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Gurlica | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| V. Caic | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Shabani | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Banovec | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Gonzales | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Butic | M | 87 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Puljić | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Jurilj | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Kulusic | F | 12 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Vukovar?
The final score was Istra 1961 1–2 Vukovar.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs Vukovar?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 38% to a draw, and 20% to an Vukovar win.