V. Rozic
(ast. S. Loncar)
21'
36'
(ast. M. Zivkovic)
S. Butic
(pen.)
75'
J. Puljic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Istra 1961 a 41% win probability (draw 38%, Vukovar 20%). The final result was Istra 1961 1–2 Vukovar. In 3 previous meetings, Istra 1961 have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Vukovar.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
1.63
1
Saves
2
72%
Possession
28%
8
Corners
3
10
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽V. Rozic
· ast. S. Loncar
21'
31'
J. Puljic
36'
ast. M. Zivkovic ·
S. Butic⚽
45'
V. Caic
S. Loncar
49'
E. Frederiksen
/ S. Gorican
67'
75'
(pen.)
J. Puljic⚽
78'
L. Kulusic
/
L. Banovec
L. Stulac
/ G. Albarracin
81'
V. Rozic
/ A. Obando
81'
81'
L. Kulusic
87'
A. Jurilj
/
S. Butic
90'+6
K. Calhanoglu
/
K. Cabrajic
90'+7
M. Bulat
90'+14
A. Obando
90'+18
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.13%
Istra
38.2%
X
20.67%
Vukovar ←
we assigned to the actual result (Vukovar)
20.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
1.27
+0.29
0.79
1.63
+0.84
Vukovar dominated by xG (1.63 vs 1.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
26
M. Heister
D
M. Heister
D
38
R. Kumar
D
R. Kumar
D
24
D
97
A. Kadušić
D
A. Kadušić
D
23
Leo Štulac
80'
M
10
S. Lončar
1 👟
M
S. Lončar
1 👟
M
7
V. Rozić
1 ⚽
81'
M
V. Rozić
1 ⚽
81'
M
8
A. Maurić
M
A. Maurić
M
17
E. Frederiksen
67'
M
E. Frederiksen
67'
M
9
S. Prevljak
F
S. Prevljak
F
Bench
29
A. Obando
9'
F
A. Obando
9'
F
77
Charles Adah Agada
F
Charles Adah Agada
F
20
D. Ahmeti
M
D. Ahmeti
M
25
G. AlbarracÃn
10'
M
G. AlbarracÃn
10'
M
44
R. Hrvatin
D
R. Hrvatin
D
16
S. Miettinen
D
S. Miettinen
D
1
Marino Bulat
G
Marino Bulat
G
20
K. Čabrajić
89'
D
K. Čabrajić
89'
D
14
M. Živković
1 👟
D
M. Živković
1 👟
D
35
J. Gurlica
M
J. Gurlica
M
5
D
13
V. Čaić
D
V. Čaić
D
77
E. Shabani
M
E. Shabani
M
28
L. Banovec
78'
M
L. Banovec
78'
M
10
R. Gonzales
M
R. Gonzales
M
27
Š. Butić
1 ⚽
87'
M
21
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
J. Puljić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Jurilj
21'
M
26
J. Elez
D
11
Lovre Kulušić
12'
F
Lovre Kulušić
12'
F
33
Luka Klanac
F
Luka Klanac
F
Best on the pitch
E. Frederiksen
M · Istra
7.90
· 34 pass
Š. Butić
M · Vukovar
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
V. Rozić
M · Istra
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
E. Shabani
M · Vukovar
7.30
· 23 pass
Leo Štulac
M · Istra
7.20
1 shots
· 53 pass
M. Živković
D · Vukovar
7.20
1 👟
· 6 pass
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| M. Heister | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Kumar | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 86 | 77% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Kadušić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Štulac | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Lončar | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 47 | 39% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Rozić | M | 81 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Maurić | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Frederiksen | M | 67 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Obando | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| G. AlbarracÃn | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
Vukovar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino Bulat | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Čabrajić | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Živković | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Gurlica | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| V. Čaić | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Shabani | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Banovec | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Gonzales | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Š. Butić | M | 87 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Puljić | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Jurilj | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Lovre Kulušić | F | 12 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Vukovar?
The final score was Istra 1961 1–2 Vukovar.
What did the model predict before Istra 1961 vs Vukovar?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Istra 1961 win, 38% to a draw, and 20% to an Vukovar win.