Kwara United - Katsina United
NPFL
September 13, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.17%
Win
Kwara United
32.01%
Draw
31.82%
Win
Katsina United
2.66
0.76
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.34%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
✓ 50.0% hit rate (16 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kwara United a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Katsina United. Expected goals are 2.7 for Kwara United and 0.8 for Katsina United (total 3.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.34% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Kwara United have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Katsina United.
Season Stats
6W
5D
4L
5W
5D
5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in NPFL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
6W
4D
0L
· at home
0W
4D
6L
· away
1.5
gls/g
0.6
0.6
Conceded
1.8
60%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
40%
70%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
30%
10%
O 3.5
10%
50%
BTTS
30%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Kwara United
Katsina United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 1 | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 11.6% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 10.3% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Kwara United
Attack
21
Defence
47
Form
31
Katsina United
Attack
18
Defence
42
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Doma United
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Barau FC
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Kano Pillars
|
2 | 4 |
| 4 |
Ranchers Bees
|
2 | 3 |
| 5 |
Ikorodu City
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Rivers United
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Shooting Stars
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Niger Tornadoes
|
2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Bendel Insurance
|
2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Nasarawa United
|
2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Plateau United
|
2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Kun Khalifat FC
|
2 | 2 |
| 13 |
Enugu Rangers
|
1 | 1 |
| 14 |
Katsina United
|
1 | 1 |
| 15 |
Kwara United
|
2 | 1 |
| 16 |
Abia Warriors
|
2 | 1 |
| 17 |
Enyimba
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Warri Wolves
|
1 | 0 |
| 19 |
Inter Lagos
|
2 | 0 |
| 20 |
Sporting Lagos
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Kwara United vs Katsina United?
The model gives Kwara United a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Katsina United win.
How many goals are expected in Kwara United vs Katsina United?
Expected goals: Kwara United 2.7, Katsina United 0.8 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Kwara United vs Katsina United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.34%.