Conference League
· Semi-finals
April 30, 2026 21:00
Alemao
(ast. I. Palazon)
54'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 48% win probability (draw 22%, Strasbourg 28%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Strasbourg. In 1 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Strasbourg.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
0
1.40
Actual xG
0.21
0
Saves
7
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
1
15
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
11'
S. El Mourabet
P. Ciss
38'
45'+6
E. Emegha
⚽Alemao
· ast. I. Palazon
54'
Alemao
/ P. Diaz
64'
67'
S. Amo-Ameyaw
/
M. Godo
I. Akhomach
74'
74'
B. Chilwell
F. Lejeune
76'
78'
D. Moreira
D. Cardenas
82'
84'
S. Nanasi
/
E. Emegha
I. Palazon
/ S. Camello
88'
J. de Frutos
/ Pacha
89'
U. Lopez
/ G. Gumbau
90'+4
90'+5
M. Oyedele
/
S. El Mourabet
90'+7
M. Oyedele
Pre-match prediction
48.85%
Rayo ←
22.6%
X
28.55%
Strasbourg
we assigned to the actual result (Rayo Vallecano)
48.85%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
1.40
-0.55
1.42
0.21
-1.21
Rayo Vallecano dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Augusto Batalla
G
Augusto Batalla
G
3
D
6
P. Ciss
D
P. Ciss
D
24
F. Lejeune
D
F. Lejeune
D
2
A. Rațiu
D
A. Rațiu
D
23
Óscar Valentín
M
Óscar Valentín
M
17
Unai López
M
Unai López
M
12
Ilias Akhomach
M
Ilias Akhomach
M
7
Isi Palazón
1 👟
88'
M
Isi Palazón
1 👟
88'
M
19
Jorge de Frutos
89'
M
Jorge de Frutos
89'
M
9
Alemão
1 ⚽
64'
F
Alemão
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
1
Dani Cárdenas
G
Dani Cárdenas
G
15
Gerard Gumbau
5'
M
Gerard Gumbau
5'
M
32
N. Mendy
D
N. Mendy
D
22
Pacha
10'
D
Pacha
10'
D
4
Pedro Díaz
35'
M
Pedro Díaz
35'
M
10
Sergio Camello
11'
F
Sergio Camello
11'
F
39
G
3
B. Chilwell
D
B. Chilwell
D
6
I. Doukouré
D
I. Doukouré
D
2
A. Omobamidele
D
A. Omobamidele
D
24
L. Høgsberg
D
L. Høgsberg
D
42
A. Ouattara
M
A. Ouattara
M
29
S. El Mourabet
M
S. El Mourabet
M
20
M. Godo
67'
M
M. Godo
67'
M
19
Julio Enciso
M
Julio Enciso
M
7
Diego Moreira
M
Diego Moreira
M
10
Emmanuel Emegha
84'
F
Emmanuel Emegha
84'
F
Bench
80
Gessime Yassine
F
Gessime Yassine
F
17
M. Amougou
M
M. Amougou
M
8
Maxi Oyedele
4'
M
Maxi Oyedele
4'
M
27
S. Amo-Ameyaw
32'
F
S. Amo-Ameyaw
32'
F
11
S. Nanasi
15'
M
S. Nanasi
15'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Strasbourg
7.50
· 38 pass
Isi Palazón
M · Rayo
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 34 pass
Alemão
F · Rayo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
F. Lejeune
D · Rayo
7.20
6 shots
· 36 pass
A. Rațiu
D · Rayo
7.20
· 32 pass
Sergio Camello
F · Rayo
7.00
· 3 pass
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augusto Batalla | G | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 39% | 3 | — | — | |
| P. Ciss | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Lejeune | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 6 | 36 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Rațiu | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Unai López | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Ilias Akhomach | M | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Isi Palazón | M | 88 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alemão | F | 64 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Pacha | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Strasbourg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Chilwell | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Doukouré | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| A. Omobamidele | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 43% | — | — | — |
| L. Høgsberg | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ouattara | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Godo | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Julio Enciso | M | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Moreira | M | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Emmanuel Emegha | F | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maxi Oyedele | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Amo-Ameyaw | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Nanasi | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg?
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Strasbourg.
What did the model predict before Rayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Rayo Vallecano win, 22% to a draw, and 28% to an Strasbourg win.