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Conference League · Semi-finals May 07, 2026 21:00
Strasbourg
#1 · 16 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Rayo Vallecano
#5 · 13 pts
42' Alemao

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 40% win probability (draw 24%, Strasbourg 34%). The final result was Strasbourg 0–1 Rayo Vallecano. In 1 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rayo Vallecano.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
18
3
Shots on target
8
1.59
Actual xG
1.63
7
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
6
11
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
B. Chilwell
25'
42'
Alemao⚽
↕ B. Chilwell / S. Nanasi
46'
65'
S. Camello / Alemao ↕
↕ S. El Mourabet / S. Amo-Ameyaw
67'
78'
P. Diaz / I. Palazon ↕
78'
I. Balliu / J. de Frutos ↕
D. Moreira
80'
85'
A. Garcia / Pacha ↕
86'
U. Lopez
86'
G. Gumbau / U. Lopez ↕
86'
O. Valentin
88'
A. Batalla
⚽J. Enciso (missed pen.)
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
34.85%
Strasbourg
24.73%
X
40.42%
Rayo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rayo Vallecano) 40.42% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Strasbourg
1.25
1.59
+0.34
Rayo
1.64
1.63
-0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.59 – 1.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Strasbourg Strasbourg 6 16
2 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 6 14
3 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 6 13
4 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 6 13
5 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 6 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6 13
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 6 13
8 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 6 12
9 Lausanne Lausanne 6 11
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 6 10
11 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 6 10
12 Samsunspor Samsunspor 6 10
13 Celje Celje 6 10
14 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 10
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 6 9
16 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 6 9
17 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 6 9
18 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 6 8
19 FC Noah FC Noah 6 8
20 Drita Drita 6 8
21 KuPS KuPS 6 7
22 Shkendija Shkendija 6 7
23 Zrinjski Zrinjski 6 7
24 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 6 7
25 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 6 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC 6 7
27 Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 6 6
28 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 6 6
29 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 6 6
30 Breidablik Breidablik 6 5
31 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 6 4
32 BK Hacken BK Hacken 6 3
33 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 6 3
34 Shelbourne Shelbourne 6 2
35 Aberdeen Aberdeen 6 2
36 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 6 1
Lineups
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-1-4-1
39
G 9.60
3 Ben Chilwell Ben Chilwell 45' D 6.50
2 Andrew Omobamidele Andrew Omobamidele D 6.20
6 Ismael Doukouré Ismael Doukouré D 6.90
22 Guéla Doué Guéla Doué D 6.60
29 Samir El Mourabet Samir El Mourabet 67' M 6.90
20 M. Godo M. Godo M 7.00
42 Abdoul Ouattara Abdoul Ouattara M 6.90
32 Valentín Barco Valentín Barco M 6.60
7 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira M 6.50
19 Julio Enciso Julio Enciso F 5.30
Bench
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine F
24 Lucas Høgsberg Lucas Høgsberg D
17 Mathis Amougou Mathis Amougou M
8 Maxi Oyedele Maxi Oyedele M
27 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 30' F 6.90
11 Sebastian Nanasi Sebastian Nanasi 52' M 6.30
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
13 Augusto Batalla Augusto Batalla G 7.90
3
D 7.00
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 7.20
24 Florian Lejeune Florian Lejeune D 7.50
2 A. Rațiu A. Rațiu D 7.20
23 Óscar Valentín Óscar Valentín M 7.20
17 Unai López Unai López 86' M 6.90
22 Pacha Pacha 85' M 6.90
7 Isi Palazón Isi Palazón 78' M 6.30
19 Jorge de Frutos Jorge de Frutos 78' M 6.30
9 Alemão Alemão 1 ⚽ 65' F 8.20
Bench
18 Álvaro García Álvaro García 12' M 6.50
1 Dani Cárdenas Dani Cárdenas G
15 Gerard Gumbau Gerard Gumbau 11' M 6.70
32 Nobel Mendy Nobel Mendy D
4 Pedro Díaz Pedro Díaz 19' M 6.50
10 Sergio Camello Sergio Camello 32' F 7.20
Best on the pitch
G · Strasbourg
9.60
· 58 pass
Alemão
Alemão
F · Rayo
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 13 pass
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla
G · Rayo
7.90
· 37 pass
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune
D · Rayo
7.50
2 shots · 60 pass
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello
F · Rayo
7.20
1 shots · 6 pass
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín
M · Rayo
7.20
· 49 pass
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 9.60 — — — 58 50% — — —
Ben Chilwell D 45 6.50 — — — 17 16% — 1 —
Andrew Omobamidele D 97 6.20 — — — 62 59% — — —
Ismael Doukouré D 97 6.90 — — 1 65 59% — — —
Guéla Doué D 97 6.60 — — 2 41 31% 1 — —
Samir El Mourabet M 67 6.90 — — 1 29 24% 3 — —
M. Godo M 97 7.00 — — — 22 14% — — —
Abdoul Ouattara M 97 6.90 — — 1 34 30% 1 — —
Valentín Barco M 97 6.60 — — — 42 33% 2 — —
Diego Moreira M 97 6.50 — — 1 27 18% 3 1 —
Julio Enciso F 97 5.30 — — 1 10 8% — — —
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw F 30 6.90 — — — 4 4% — — —
Sebastian Nanasi M 52 6.30 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Augusto Batalla G 97 7.90 — — — 37 22% — 1 —
D 97 7.00 — — — 38 29% 1 — —
Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 97 7.20 — — 1 60 57% 1 — —
Florian Lejeune D 97 7.50 — — 2 60 51% 3 — —
A. Rațiu D 97 7.20 — — — 38 33% 3 — —
Óscar Valentín M 97 7.20 — — — 49 43% 9 1 —
Unai López M 86 6.90 — — 1 48 44% — 1 —
Pacha M 85 6.90 — — 2 30 25% 3 — —
Isi Palazón M 78 6.30 — — 3 38 33% — — —
Jorge de Frutos M 78 6.30 — — 4 16 13% 1 — —
Alemão F 65 8.20 1 — 3 13 10% 3 — —
Álvaro García M 12 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Gerard Gumbau M 11 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
Pedro Díaz M 19 6.50 — — 1 6 6% 1 — —
Sergio Camello F 32 7.20 — — 1 6 5% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano?
The final score was Strasbourg 0–1 Rayo Vallecano.
What did the model predict before Strasbourg vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Strasbourg win, 24% to a draw, and 40% to an Rayo Vallecano win.