✗Model wrong — prediction Union St. Gilloise, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 62% win probability (draw 22%, Gent 15%). The final result was Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Gent. In 3 previous meetings, Union St. Gilloise have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Gent.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
2
5
Shots on target
0
1.24
Actual xG
0.26
0
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
1
18
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
16'
M. Skoras
56'
A. Kadri
/
H. Goore
56'
M. Dean
/
M. Skoras
62'
T. De Vlieger
Guilherme Smith
/ O. Niang
63'
66'
J. Duverne
A. Ait El Hadj
/ M. Fuseini
74'
K. Rodriguez
/ R. Florucz
74'
A. Khalaili
/ L. Patris
82'
K. Van De Perre
/ R. Schoofs
82'
85'
I. Cisse
/
W. Kanga
85'
A. Ito
/
A. Omgba
90'+1
H. Essaouabi
/
J. Duverne
Pre-match prediction
62.76%
Union
22.08%
X ←
15.16%
Gent
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
1.24
-0.71
0.84
0.26
-0.58
Union St. Gilloise dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.26).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
37
G
26
Ross Sykes
D
16
C. Burgess
D
C. Burgess
D
5
K. Mac Allister
D
K. Mac Allister
D
11
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
63'
M
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
63'
M
6
K. Van de Perre
82'
M
K. Van de Perre
82'
M
8
A. Zorgane
M
A. Zorgane
M
25
A. Khalaili
82'
M
A. Khalaili
82'
M
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
74'
F
Anouar Ait El Hadj
74'
F
9
F
13
K. Rodríguez
74'
F
K. Rodríguez
74'
F
Bench
14
I. Pavlić
M
I. Pavlić
M
29
M. Sylla
D
M. Sylla
D
22
O. Niang
33'
M
O. Niang
33'
M
30
R. Florucz
22'
F
R. Florucz
22'
F
17
R. Schoofs
14'
M
R. Schoofs
14'
M
33
G
44
S. Van der Heyden
D
S. Van der Heyden
D
57
D
4
D. Hashioka
D
D. Hashioka
D
20
Tiago Araújo
M
Tiago Araújo
M
27
T. De Vlieger
M
T. De Vlieger
M
10
A. Omgba
85'
M
A. Omgba
85'
M
29
J. Duverne
M
J. Duverne
M
45
B. Goore
56'
F
B. Goore
56'
F
7
W. Kanga
85'
F
W. Kanga
85'
F
8
M. Skóraś
56'
F
M. Skóraś
56'
F
Bench
37
A. Kadri
40'
M
A. Kadri
40'
M
24
Hong Hyun-Seok
M
Hong Hyun-Seok
M
21
Max Dean
40'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Gent
8.50
· 29 pass
A. Khalaili
M · Union
7.90
1 shots
· 34 pass
Ross Sykes
D · Union
7.70
3 shots
· 58 pass
A. Zorgane
M · Union
7.60
· 62 pass
C. Burgess
D · Union
7.30
· 59 pass
D · Gent
7.30
· 41 pass
Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Ross Sykes | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 58 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Burgess | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Mac Allister | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Van de Perre | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Zorgane | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Khalaili | M | 82 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Anouar Ait El Hadj | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| K. Rodríguez | F | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| O. Niang | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Florucz | F | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Schoofs | M | 14 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Gent — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| S. Van der Heyden | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — | |
| D. Hashioka | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Araújo | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| T. De Vlieger | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Omgba | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Duverne | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Goore | F | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| W. Kanga | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Skóraś | F | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Kadri | M | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Max Dean | F | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
The final score was Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Gent.
What did the model predict before Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Union St. Gilloise win, 22% to a draw, and 15% to an Gent win.