Skip to main content
← Primera RFEF - Group 1

Barakaldo - Real Unión

Primera RFEF - Group 1 November 07, 2026 16:30
Barakaldo
#15 · 11 pts
vs
Real Unión
#11 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.33%
Win
Barakaldo
28.18%
Draw
27.49%
Win
Real Unión
0.99
Expected xG
0.86

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.73%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 28%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 56%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 49%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Barakaldo a 44% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Real Unión. Expected goals are 1.0 for Barakaldo and 0.9 for Real Unión (total 1.9), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.73% probability.

Season Stats

Barakaldo
5W 6D 4L
Real Unión
3W 4D 3L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.9
0.9
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
90%
27%
O 2.5
70%
33%
BTTS
70%
47%
Clean Sht
10%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera RFEF - Group 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Barakaldo
4W 6D 0L · at home
Real Unión
1W 2D 2L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.6
0.6
Conceded
1.8
40%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
80%
20%
O 2.5
60%
10%
O 3.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Barakaldo Real Unión →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.6% 13.5% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.7% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 2.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Barakaldo Barakaldo
D Pontevedra 0–0
D Ponferradina 0–0
W Mirandes 2–0
L UD Ourense 1–0
D Arenas Getxo 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
Real Unión Real Unión
L Real Avilés 0–3
W Lugo 4–1
D Extremadura 1924 2–2
D Athletic Club II 0–0
D UD Ourense 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Barakaldo Barakaldo
Attack
21
Defence
82
Form
46
Real Unión Real Unión
Attack
34
Defence
57
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lugo Lugo 11 28
2 UD Logroñés UD Logroñés 10 20
3 Real Avilés Real Avilés 11 17
4 Mirandes Mirandes 10 17
5 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 10 17
6 Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924 11 16
7 Athletic Club II Athletic Club II 10 15
8 Pontevedra Pontevedra 10 15
9 Cacereño Cacereño 11 15
10 Ponferradina Ponferradina 10 14
11 Real Unión Real Unión 10 13
12 Mérida AD Mérida AD 10 13
13 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 10 12
14 Zamora Zamora 10 12
15 Barakaldo Barakaldo 10 11
16 Deportivo La Coruña II Deportivo La Coruña II 10 11
17 Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca 10 10
18 CD Coria CD Coria 10 9
19 UD Ourense UD Ourense 10 8
20 Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo 10 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barakaldo vs Real Unión?
The model gives Barakaldo a 44% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an Real Unión win.
How many goals are expected in Barakaldo vs Real Unión?
Expected goals: Barakaldo 1.0, Real Unión 0.9 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Barakaldo vs Real Unión?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.73%.