HNL · Regular Season - 30 April 17, 2026 17:30

HNK Gorica

#8 · 38 pts

0 – 2

Final score

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

#6 · 42 pts

36' (ast. L. Belcar) M. Susak

68' (ast. A. Stojakovic) J. Vasilj

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Gorica a 47% win probability (draw 32%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 20%). The final result was HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. In 3 previous meetings, HNK Gorica have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Match statistics

5

Total shots

7

1

Shots on target

4

0.25

Actual xG

2.42

2

Saves

1

53%

Possession

47%

6

Corners

1

12

Tackles

11

1

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

36'

ast. L. Belcar · M. Susak⚽

↕ W. Sule / A. Erceg

46'

J. Prsir

52'

↕ T. Epailly / I. Fiolic

64'

↕ O. Bakic / S. Kucis

64'

68'

I. Sabra / M. Susak ↕

68'

ast. A. Stojakovic · J. Vasilj⚽

↕ A. Kavelj / L. Vrzic

78'

78'

D. Vukovic / A. Stojakovic ↕

81'

D. Kolinger

↕ B. Bogojevic / M. Gashi

84'

89'

T. Kralevski / M. Subotic ↕

89'

M. Lorber / J. Vasilj ↕

Pre-match prediction

47.68%

HNK

32.01%

X

20.31%

NK ←

we assigned to the actual result (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) 20.31% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

HNK

1.41

0.25

-1.16

NK

0.65

2.42

+1.77

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb dominated by xG (2.42 vs 0.25). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Zagreb	34	82
2	HNK Hajduk Split	34	64
3	HNK Rijeka	34	49
4	NK Varazdin	34	48
5	Istra 1961	34	42
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	34	42
7	NK Slaven Belupo	34	41
8	HNK Gorica	34	38
9	NK Osijek	34	32
10	Vukovar	34	28

Lineups

HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1

71

G 6.90

19 M. Čabraja D 7.30

4

D 6.50

45 Stefan Perić D 6.30

25 Bruno Bogojević 84' M 6.20

7 Ognjen Bakić 64' M 6.50

36 Ante Kavelj 78' M 7.20

22 Žan Trontelj M 6.30

64 Theo Epailly 64' F 6.50

10 J. Pršir F 6.90

11 Wisdom Aondowase Sule 45' F 6.50

Bench

50 Ante Erceg 51' F 6.90

5 Mateo Leš D

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1

12

G 7.50

17 M. Pajač D 7.30

16

L. Dajcer D 7.20

20 D. Kolinger D 6.90

23

M. Vesovic D 7.20

10

M. Subotic 89' M 7.20

6

B. Boskovic M 6.90

28

L. Belcar 1 👟 M 7.30

29

J. Vasilj 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.20

11

M. Susak 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.30

15 A. Stojaković 1 👟 78' F 7.60

Bench

33

D. Kamenovic D

30

D. Vukovic 18' F 6.70

9

I. Sabra 28' F 6.60

Best on the pitch

A. Stojaković

F · NK

7.60

1 👟

· 26 pass

G · NK

7.50

· 38 pass

M. Čabraja

D · HNK

7.30

· 65 pass

M. Susak

M · NK

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 11 pass

L. Belcar

M · NK

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 32 pass

M. Pajač

D · NK

7.30

· 44 pass

HNK Gorica — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	6.90	—	—	—	25	21%	—	—	—
M. Čabraja	D	96	7.30	—	—	—	65	55%	1	—	—
	D	96	6.50	—	—	1	55	49%	—	—	—
Stefan Perić	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	78	66%	1	—	—
Bruno Bogojević	M	84	6.20	—	—	—	19	16%	1	—	—
Ognjen Bakić	M	64	6.50	—	—	—	36	30%	—	—	—
Ante Kavelj	M	78	7.20	—	—	—	35	29%	2	—	—
Žan Trontelj	M	96	6.30	—	—	—	36	31%	—	—	—
Theo Epailly	F	64	6.50	—	—	1	8	7%	1	—	—
J. Pršir	F	96	6.90	—	—	1	42	39%	5	1	—
Wisdom Aondowase Sule	F	45	6.50	—	—	1	3	3%	1	—	—
Ante Erceg	F	51	6.90	—	—	1	10	8%	—	—	—

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	7.50	—	—	—	38	24%	—	—	—
M. Pajač	D	96	7.30	—	—	—	44	39%	1	—	—
L. Dajcer	D	96	7.20	—	—	—	56	53%	—	—	—
D. Kolinger	D	96	6.90	—	—	1	38	32%	1	1	—
M. Vesovic	D	96	7.20	—	—	—	26	23%	1	—	—
M. Subotic	M	89	7.20	—	—	—	57	51%	—	—	—
B. Boskovic	M	96	6.90	—	—	2	39	30%	1	—	—
L. Belcar	M	96	7.30	—	1	1	32	25%	—	—	—
J. Vasilj	M	89	7.20	1	—	1	35	29%	—	—	—
M. Susak	M	68	7.30	1	—	2	11	8%	6	—	—
A. Stojaković	F	78	7.60	—	1	—	26	19%	—	—	—
D. Vukovic	F	18	6.70	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
I. Sabra	F	28	6.60	—	—	—	5	3%	1	—	—