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Torpedo Moskva - FK Neftekhimik

First League November 07, 2026 15:00 Eduard Streltsov Stadium, Moscow
Torpedo Moskva
#4 · 29 pts
vs
FK Neftekhimik
#17 · 13 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 0.4°C 💨 8 km/h · Moscow
⚡ Pre-match analysis
67.94%
Win
Torpedo Moskva
21.09%
Draw
10.97%
Win
FK Neftekhimik
1.8
Expected xG
0.47
Most likely outcome
Torpedo Moskva
67.94%
Probability
58.8%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (19.11%)
1X2 Result
1 68%
X 21%
2 11%
Double Chance
1X 89%
X2 32%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Torpedo Moskva a 67% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 10% for FK Neftekhimik. Expected goals are 1.8 for Torpedo Moskva and 0.5 for FK Neftekhimik (total 2.3), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.11% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Torpedo Moskva have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FK Neftekhimik.

Season Stats

Torpedo Moskva
7W 5D 3L
FK Neftekhimik
4W 1D 10L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
0.7
0.9
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
60%
53%
O 2.5
27%
67%
BTTS
33%
27%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in First League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Torpedo Moskva
4W 4D 2L · at home
FK Neftekhimik
3W 0D 7L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.6
1.0
Conceded
1.6
40%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
30%
90%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
20%
20%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
20%
30%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Torpedo Moskva FK Neftekhimik →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% — —
1 18.7% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3% — —
2 16.8% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% — —
3 10.1% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% — —
4 4.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
D KAMAZ 1–1
D Rotor Volgograd 1–1
W Enisey 1–2
W Leningradets 1–3
D FC UFA 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
L Ska-khabarovsk 0–2
D Leningradets 1–1
L KAMAZ 2–1
L Chelyabinsk 2–4
L Ural 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva
Attack
40
Defence
75
Form
52
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
Attack
19
Defence
61
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Torpedo Moskva
1
Draw
0
FK Neftekhimik
16 Mar 2026 First League 3–0
27 Jul 2025 First League 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 16 43
2 FC Sochi FC Sochi 16 32
3 Ural Ural 16 31
4 Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva 16 29
5 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 16 28
6 Veles Veles 17 28
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl 16 23
8 FC UFA FC UFA 16 22
9 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 17 22
10 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 16 20
11 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 16 19
12 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk 16 18
13 Leningradets Leningradets 16 17
14 KAMAZ KAMAZ 16 14
15 Enisey Enisey 16 14
16 Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk 16 13
17 FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik 16 13
18 Tekstilshchik Tekstilshchik 16 11
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
The model gives Torpedo Moskva a 67% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 10% for an FK Neftekhimik win.
How many goals are expected in Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
Expected goals: Torpedo Moskva 1.8, FK Neftekhimik 0.5 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.11%.