← HNL
HNL · Regular Season - 33 May 02, 2026 18:45
#10 · 28 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#9 · 32 pts
J. Puljic (ast. L. Banovec) 56'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vukovar a 32% win probability (draw 36%, NK Osijek 31%). The final result was Vukovar 1–0 NK Osijek. In 3 previous meetings, Vukovar have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for NK Osijek.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.48
Actual xG
1.06
5
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
4
19
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
J. Puljic
26'
M. Zivkovic
45'+1
V. Caic
48'
J. Puljic · ast. L. Banovec
56'
57'
V. Bubanja / O. Petrusenko
57'
I. Baric / D. Bukvic
68'
D. M. Mejia Moscoso
L. Banovec / A. Bosec
75'
S. Butic / L. Kulusic
76'
79'
L. Vrbancic / T. Teklic
79'
R. Jurisic / J. Mersinaj
80'
B. Barisic
89'
J. Dedic / N. Omerovic
J. Gurlica / M. Tadic
90'+1
J. Puljic / J. Spoljaric
90'+1
L. Kulusic
90'+4
E. Shabani / J. Biljan
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
32.55%
Vukovar ←
36.33%
X
31.12%
NK
we assigned to the actual result (Vukovar) 32.55% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vukovar
0.90
0.48
-0.43
NK
0.89
1.06
+0.17
NK Osijek dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
Vukovar Vukovar 4-2-3-1
42
G 7.60
20
K. Cabrajic D 7.70
13
V. Caic D 7.90
5
D 6.90
14
M. Zivkovic D 7.30
77
E. Shabani 89' M 7.30
35
J. Gurlica 89' M 7.20
28
L. Banovec 1 👟 76' M 6.70
10 R. Gonzales R. Gonzales M 7.30
27
S. Butic 76' M 6.60
21 J. Puljić J. Puljić 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.30
Bench
8
A. Bosec 14' D 7.20
19
A. Jurilj M
33
L. Klanac F
11
L. Kulusic 14' F 6.50
1
M. Bulat G
34
M. Tadic 1' D
NK Osijek NK Osijek 4-2-3-1
31
G 6.70
3 Borna Barišić Borna Barišić D 6.70
26 Luka Jelenić Luka Jelenić D 7.00
5 Jon Mersinaj Jon Mersinaj 79' D 6.50
29
D 6.60
16 Oleksandr Petrusenko Oleksandr Petrusenko 57' M 6.20
6 D. Mejía D. Mejía M 6.70
11 Nail Omerović Nail Omerović 89' M 6.20
99
T. Teklic 78' M 6.20
39 Domagoj Bukvić Domagoj Bukvić 57' M 6.30
57 Samuel Akere Samuel Akere F 6.60
Bench
38 David Čolina David Čolina D
49 Ivano Kolarik Ivano Kolarik D
23 Luka Vrbančić Luka Vrbančić 12' M 7.00
98 Miloš Jovičić Miloš Jovičić F
21 Vladan Bubanja Vladan Bubanja 33' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
V. Caic
D · Vukovar
7.90
· 31 pass
K. Cabrajic
D · Vukovar
7.70
· 31 pass
G · Vukovar
7.60
· 22 pass
M. Zivkovic
D · Vukovar
7.30
· 21 pass
E. Shabani
M · Vukovar
7.30
1 shots · 31 pass
R. Gonzales
R. Gonzales
M · Vukovar
7.30
· 24 pass
Vukovar Vukovar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 22 14%
K. Cabrajic D 90 7.70 31 23% 2
V. Caic D 90 7.90 31 25% 2 1
D 90 6.90 30 21% 1
M. Zivkovic D 90 7.30 21 14% 2 1
E. Shabani M 89 7.30 1 31 22% 2
J. Gurlica M 89 7.20 1 34 30% 2
L. Banovec M 76 6.70 1 2 16 12%
R. Gonzales M 90 7.30 24 21% 3
S. Butic M 76 6.60 1 11 6% 1
J. Puljić F 89 7.30 1 2 21 12% 1 1
A. Bosec D 14 7.20 4 2% 3
L. Kulusic F 14 6.50 3 1% 1
M. Tadic D 1 1
NK Osijek NK Osijek — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 23 15%
Borna Barišić D 90 6.70 49 44% 1
Luka Jelenić D 90 7.00 63 61% 1
Jon Mersinaj D 79 6.50 46 40%
D 90 6.60 37 24% 3
Oleksandr Petrusenko M 57 6.20 16 15% 1
D. Mejía M 90 6.70 2 42 34% 1 1
Nail Omerović M 89 6.20 1 32 24% 1
T. Teklic M 78 6.20 1 33 25% 1
Domagoj Bukvić M 57 6.30 1 8 5%
Samuel Akere F 90 6.60 2 13 11% 3
Luka Vrbančić M 12 7.00 13 10% 1
Vladan Bubanja M 33 6.30 1 20 17% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vukovar vs NK Osijek?
The final score was Vukovar 1–0 NK Osijek.
What did the model predict before Vukovar vs NK Osijek?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Vukovar win, 36% to a draw, and 31% to an NK Osijek win.